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Chef's Special - Wild Card Weekend Edition

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Similar to Brady staying ageless at all costs, I have been fighting the 'Rona at all costs with meds, vitamins, and liquids.  All of this with one goal in mind - 100% energy and focus on Super Wild Card Weekend.  I am gitty over the NFL playoffs from all perspectives - sports fan, DFS, sports betting, etc.

Last week, the bets cooled off going 3-3, bringing the season total to 98-55.  No, this is not a glitch in the Matrix or typo, and everything is documented here on RB.  There are some spots that I wanted to pass on this weekend, but I'm going to stay aggressive because the year has been so great, and as I said, I'm gitty for Wild Card Weekend.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

 

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

  • Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
  • Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
  • Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

 

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Wild Card Weekend Card

Here, I will post my Wild Card weekend betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+56.15u) 98-55 Total [3-0 on 4&5U plays]

  • 0-1.5U Risk Record: 65-44
  • 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 30-11
  • 4-5U Risk Record: 3-0

I'm going to stay aggressive and play more games than I probably should.  Sunday plays will be added here on Saturday.

Last Updated: Sunday 11:15 ET

  • Colts +7 vs Bills - Risk 1.8u to win 1.5u - Win
  • Seahawks ML vs Rams  - Risk 1.65u to win 1u - Loss
  • Seahawks/Bucs ML Parlay - Risk 1u to win 1.1u - Loss
  • Devin Singletary Over 14.5 receiving yards - Risk 0.55u to win 0.5u - Win
  • Titans +3.5 vs Ravens - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Titans/Ravens Over 54 - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Titans/Steelers 7pt Teaser (Titans +10.5, Steelers Pick'em or + 0.5 or +1) - Risk 2.6u to win 2u
  • Bears +10.5 vs Saints - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
  • Ryan Tannehill Over 18.5 rushing yards - Risk 0.55u to win 0.5u
  • Mitchell Trubisky Over 13.5 rushing yards - Risk 0.72u to win 0.5u
  • Baker Mayfield Over 12.5 rushing yards - Risk 0.55u to win 0.5u


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