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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 10 of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in a few of these games including the Jaguars at Packers, Chargers at Dolphins, and Bills at Cardinals.
Jaguars @ Packers Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, and James Robinson over 2.5 touchdowns
This is a game with a total currently sitting at 49.5 and should provide us a solid amount of scoring. The prop starts with Adams who has been an absolute nightmare for defenses when on the field in 2020. He has seen an average of 12 targets and caught an average of nine passes per game over the previous four weeks since returning from injury. He is without a doubt Aaron Rodgers's favorite target and this has also directly translated into end-zone appearances. In the previous four weeks, Adams has found himself in the end zone a whopping six times.
Aaron Jones is the next logical choice in this contest. He is involved in both the rushing and passing attack of the Green Bay offense as noted by his 15 carries per game and nearly four receptions per game. He will be facing a Jaguars Defense that has allowed nearly 90 rushing yards per game to running backs across the previous four weeks. They have also allowed a total of four rushing touchdowns to backs over their previous three games. The Packers are 13-point home favorites and should be able to grind away the clock by handing the ball to Jones later in the game. Jones has also managed to score seven total touchdowns in the six games he has played in 2020 with five coming on the ground and two through the air.
James Robinson is the final piece to this puzzle. He is not dissimilar to Aaron Jones in the fact that he is heavily involved in the Jaguars' rushing as well as passing attack. He averages nearly 17 carries per game as well as over three receptions per game. He will be facing a Packers Defense that is allowing over 106 rushing yards per game to running backs over the previous four weeks. They have also given up a league-leading six rushing touchdowns to backs over that same span and have also allowed two receiving touchdowns to backs over that span. Robinson has managed to score seven touchdowns on the season himself; five on the ground and two through the air. He makes perfect sense in this prop, because even if the Jaguars get down as they are expected to, Robinson should still be involved in the passing game.
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Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins More or Less Contest
Justin Herbert more than 275.5 passing yards and Tua Tagovailoa less than 245.5 passing yards
Justin Herbert has been outstanding in his rookie campaign as he is currently averaging nearly 307 passing yards per game and has thrown for 17 passing touchdowns. This game has a total of 48.5, which is rather average these days, but Herbert should be the one passing in this game. The Chargers currently rank fifth-best in the league in terms of passing yards per game. His favorite target, Keenan Allen, has a solid matchup in the slot vs. Dolphins' cornerback, Nik Needham, which should only improve his chances of going over a total he has surpassed in all but one game this season.
Tua will be facing one of the best pass defenses in the league and that is the main reason I like the less than here for him. The Chargers have been extremely stingy vs. the pass as they have only allowed 186 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks third-best in the league over that span. Tua also only managed to throw for 248 passing yards in a shootout win at Arizona last week and Arizona is ranked eighth-worst in the league over the previous four weeks by allowing over 280 passing yards per game. The Chargers are also allowing the fifth-most rushing yards to running backs over the previous four weeks, so this definitely seems like a spot for Miami to try and run the ball more so than throw it on the arm of Tua.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Bills @ Cardinals More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Josh Allen more than 298.5 passing yards and Kyler Murray more than 273.5 passing yards
The total in this game is through the roof at 56.5 and should feature plenty of passing from these two offenses, which both rank inside the top-12 in terms of passing yards per game. Josh Allen is coming off a career performance where he threw for 415 passing yards and three scores vs. the Seahawks. We all know the Seahawks are awful vs. the pass as they have allowed nearly 350 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, but the Cardinals are not exactly stout vs. the pass, either. In the previous four weeks, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 280 passing yards per game, which ranks eighth-worst in the league. Allen has thrown for over 300 yards five times this season and has solid weapons at his disposal in Stefon Diggs, John Brown, and Cole Beasley. This total started the week at 261.5 and has slowly risen throughout the week, but it still has value in hitting the over and that is what should happen in this contest.
After Tre'Davious White, the secondary in Buffalo is not immune to getting lit up. Add in the fact that Hopkins will see a large supply of White and you could have an immune matchup scenario similar to the way D.K. Metcalf went off against the Bills last week. Russell Wilson was able to able to light this defense up for 390 passing yards on the road last week, so clearly they can be beaten, and Murray may be the next guy to do it. Murray has gone over this total in half of his games in 2020 and has done it in three of his previous four contests. He should be able to get the ball to Hopkins in plenty of 1-on-1 situations with White as well as expose Levi Wallace and Taron Johnson with Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald, respectively.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
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