NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monday (10/19/20) - Monkey Knife Fight

For the third time in six weeks this season, there will be two NFL games played on Monday night. It’s easy to get used to this kind of action and it also means twice as many chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.

The first game sees the defending-champion Kansas City Chiefs visiting the emerging Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs are 4-1 but coming off a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders last week. The Bills are also 4-1 and coming off a lopsided loss at Tennessee.

The later game has the 3-2 Arizona Cardinals, third place in the NFC West, visiting the Dallas Cowboys. America’s Team is 2-3 yet still in first place in the NFC East. Both teams have some significant injuries to overcome.

Arizona has lost star pass rusher Chandler Jones for the rest of the season due to a torn biceps while Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is done for the season after breaking his ankle against the Giants in Week 5. Andy Dalton takes over at quarterback for the Cowboys.

Here are some angles to consider for yet another Monday night NFL double-header on Monkey Knife Fight:

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KANSAS CITY-BUFFALO

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Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 319.5 PASSING YARDS

Mahomes is averaging 294.8 passing yards per game this season, throwing for more than 320 yards in two of five contests. The Bills Defense hasn’t been up to expectations to this point and still they have allowed 263.2 passing yards per game and 6.7 net yards per pass attempt. The status of injured Bills cornerback Tre’Davious White could play a big part in this but it’s asking a lot for Mahomes to throw for 320-plus.

Josh Allen LESS THAN 290.5 PASSING YARDS

While Allen is enjoying a breakthrough campaign, averaging 317.8 passing yards per game, the Chiefs aren’t going to be easy pickings. Kansas City has allowed just 225.5 passing yards per game, 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, so Allen will have to work for whatever he can accomplish in this game.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire LESS THAN 72.5 RUSHING YARDS

The Chiefs rookie is facing the prospect of losing playing time to newly-signed Le’Veon Bell but not this week. Even so, Edwards-Helaire is averaging 68.8 rushing yards per game and has been held under 65 yards in each of the past four games.

RAPID FIRE

Stefon Diggs -6.5 receiving yards vs. Travis Kelce

Diggs has made a seamless transition to the Bills offense and is averaging 101.8 receiving yards per game, a lofty total that is out of reach for tight ends, including Kelce, who is averaging 81.0 receiving yards per game. There may be an extra look or two towards Kelce with wide receiver Sammy Watkins out but not enough to prefer him over Diggs this week.

Cole Beasley +0.5 receptions vs. Tyreek Hill

Hill is a playmaker but he’s not a high-volume receiver. He hasn’t had more than five catches in any game this season and that makes him a risky selection as the favorite against Beasley, Buffalo’s effective slot receiver. Beasley is averaging 4.8 receptions per game so getting an extra half reception gives him a worthwhile lead in terms of value.

ARIZONA-DALLAS

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Andy Dalton LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

This is a great opportunity for Dalton, the longtime Bengals starter who steps in as the Cowboys quarterback in the wake of Dak Prescott’s injury. Last season, in Cincinnati, Dalton passed for 289 yards or more four times in 13 games.

Kyler Murray LESS THAN 288.5 PASSING YARDS

The Cardinals quarterback is doing more in his sophomore season but he’s averaging 259.8 passing yards per game even after going for 380 yards against the Jets last week. Dallas’ defense has been pretty much average against the pass so far, allowing 248.6 passing yards per game and 6.8 net yards per pass attempt.

DeAndre Hopkins MORE THAN 6.5 RECEPTIONS

D-Hop had a season-low six receptions last week but is still averaging nine catches per game since landing in the desert. He’s easily the No. 1 receiver on the Cardinals depth chart and should be busy against Dallas.

Amari Cooper MORE THAN 69.5 RECEIVING YARDS

The Cowboys’ top receiver was invisible last week but had more than 80 yards receiving in the first four games of the season. Arizona has good numbers against the pass, allowing just 222.4 passing yards per game, 6.1 net yards per attempt, and while losing Chandler Jones likely means that the Cardinals won’t be as effective when rushing the passer, they will provide a tough test for the Cowboys. Still, Cooper has been a consistent threat for Dallas and should remain that way even after the quarterback change.

RAPID FIRE

Kenyan Drake +30.5 rushing yards vs. Ezekiel Elliott

Drake has been a disappointment for the Cardinals this season but is still active enough that he has averaged 62.8 rushing yards per game. Elliott has not been thriving in Dallas either, averaging 72.8 rushing yards per contest. Maybe there is a bigger role for Zeke with Dak Prescott sidelined but banking on more than a 30-yard gap against Drake is a big ask.

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