Ricky Stenhouse Jr. A Great DFS Play At Las Vegas
5 years agoJTG-Daugherty Racing's Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will start from the 33rd position in Sunday night's South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Stenhouse is coming off of a rough race in Bristol, where he crashed out early and received his third last-place finish of the season. Back in February, Stenhouse scored a third-place finish at LVMS after leading 30 laps, but it is important to know that a gamble paid off on pit strategy, aiding the finish. Still, Stenhouse had a solid showing, running just outside the top-10 all race. Outside of Stenhouse's first Vegas race with JTG-Daugherty, he only has one other top-10 finish, in 10 total starts, but that doesn't matter when it comes to selecting him for DFS. Stenhouse will have a massive position differential upside, and his salary is below average making him a great lineup choice.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Likely Needs Attrition To Earn A Good Darlington Result
7 days agoRicky Stenhouse Jr.'s career pretty much lives and dies on his performances on drafting tracks now, as he is never anything more than anonymous anywhere else these days. Don't expect that to change at Darlington, where he only earned a single top-10 finish in the 2022 spring race and has never led a lap. Even in that race, he didn't run that well since his average running position was 17th, and he mostly benefited from the fact that 13 cars didn't finish -- that normally doesn't happen here. Since he's starting 28th and only costs $6,500, the case is there that he could be valuable for DFS play if you think he could back into a decent finish at all, but he would likely have to back into it due to attrition or wild strategy. It's unlikely to happen.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Consistently Slow At Martinsville
2 weeks agoRicky Stenhouse Jr. qualified 34th at Martinsville, worst of all the established veterans in competitive cars. However, this isn't particularly a good track for him, as he has never led a lap and has only earned three top-10 finishes with an average finish of 24.1 despite only crashing once here. He did earn his best finish here in the 2023 spring race when he finished eighth, but his speed declined significantly in the second half of 2023 and never completely recovered, and his average running position even in that race was only 17th. From where he's starting, he'll probably gain a fair bit of place-differential points, but he won't even sniff the lead, so he won't score nearly enough lap-leader or fastest-lap points to be viable for DFS.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Unlikely To Gain Enough Positions For DFS Value
3 weeks agoDespite Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s reputation as a superspeedway driver, Homestead has arguably been his worst superspeedway. At all tracks where Stenhouse has failed to ever earn a top-10 finish in the NASCAR Cup Series, he has made more starts at Homestead than any other despite some solid qualifying runs. He might have some DFS value, as his average finish of 21.6 is better than his 27th-place starting position, suggesting he may gain a few positions on place differential. He's also rather cheap at $6,700, but even though he's still technically in the playoffs right now, he's also declined from his peak and it seems like right now the best he can do on a track like this is barely finishing in the top 20 and not leading at all, which won't give him enough points to be a leading DFS option.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Is One Of The Top Values For Las Vegas Lineups
4 weeks agoRicky Stenhouse Jr. earned a starting position of 31st for this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. This will mark the third time this season that Stenhouse will start lower than 30th in the Cup Series. In 19 starts at Las Vegas in his Cup career, Stenhouse has eight top-20 finishes, including last year's March race at the site. After four races so far this season, Stenhouse has four finishes of 21st or better and gained positive Place Differential every time. In practice, Stenhouse ranked 22nd in overall lap averages and displayed top-20 speeds in comparison to the field in the 15 and 20-consecutive-lap average categories. Considering his extremely high upside and practice speeds, Stenhouse is one of the top value options of the week and will compete for a top-20 finish.
Source: DriverAverages.com
Source: DriverAverages.com
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