BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~138 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~157
ANALYSIS: The Panthers offense is going to be vastly different compared to last year. They signed Teddy Bridgewater to be the team’s starting quarterback and hired former LSU offensive coordinator Joe Brady to run the offense. That should translate into a high-tempo fantasy-boosted offense for multiple players, including Curtis Samuel.
WR Robby Anderson is now a Panther too and he brings good speed to stretch the field. This addition could open things up for the offense as teams will need to account for not only Anderson but D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Christian McCaffrey out of the backfield.
Samuel finished the season ranked 10th among all wide receivers with 27 deep targets. Unfortunately, he was unable to convert the deep ball attempts to production with just 163 yards on those attempts. Kyle Allen was the main issue. He completed just 11 percent of his deep ball attempts and would regularly overthrow his targets. Samuel was an air yards wizard in 2019 with eight games with over 100 air yards. He had a 14.9 average depth of target and a 30 percent share of the team’s total air yards.
If Carolina hosted better quarterback play, Samuel would’ve been more efficient. Even with that, though, he was able to rack up 171.7 PPR points last year after catching 54 of 105 targets for 627 yards and a very neat six scores. Entering 2020, PFF projects Samuel to have a similar year putting him at around 160 PPR points with a 90/50/655/4 line over the year. All of that for a paltry WR57 or 157 ADP overall that makes him a true bargain at the time of this writing. Don't wait until the last second to draft him if you don't want to get sniped, because Curtis is well worth a 10th-to-12th pick.
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