RADIO
Aaron Radziucz's League of Leagues (LoL) analysis and LCS DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings on 7/12/20. He discusses the LC LoL slate and his top targets for cash games and GPPs.
Hello there, LoL enthusiasts, and welcome back to RotoBaller's coverage of LCS for the Summer split on FanDuel and DraftKings.
I'm going, to be honest with you guys to start this one. I got smoked yesterday, I was wrong on multiple games and as we have all learned this season that the LCS is far from predictable. The only thing we can do is move on and fight for the next slate so let's get into this one. These games start the first matchup of the second round robin so teams will need these second matchups for seeding purposes as we get closer to the playoffs.
Today I'll be bringing you my League of Legends DFS picks, advice, and analysis for the four-game LCS slate on FanDuel and DraftKings that locks on Sunday, July 12th, at 4:00 PM. Feel free to follow me on Twitter @Governor98. Thanks for reading, now let's get to the strategy and picks!
League of Legends DFS Basics
Since LCS contests are being offered on both FanDuel and DraftKings, it's important to note some pricing discrepancies from site to site, but the roster slots, scoring, and roster construction rules are almost entirely identical with the only exception being that FanDuel forces you to roster at least one player (or team slot) from a third team, while you can play only two teams among your seven roster slots on DraftKings.
- Stacking in LoL DFS lineups is very important. 4-3 stacks are the order of the day (on DraftKings) with 3-3-1 becoming more popular (and necessary on FanDuel) as people try to differentiate their lineups in these suddenly large-field GPPs.
- In LoL DFS, it is very important to focus on players from winning teams. Think in terms of baseball, one side of the matchup is like a pitcher and the other side the batter. This means there is a very negative correlation between teams in the same match. Players score by accumulating kills, which costs the other side points in deaths. Just like earned runs bring down your pitcher’s score.
- Along with this another mistake I see beginners making is trusting average scoring. Players' scoring potential is only realized in games that are won. If player X averages 50 DKP, that likely comes from scoring 70 in a 2-0 win and 30 in an 0-2 defeat. What this means is that someone who looks like a value at $4800 suddenly might not end up being such a great point-per-dollar play.
- Finally, you're going to want to do your best you fill your captain slot with an ADC or MID. Depending on which teams and players you decide to stack that might not be feasible. The order of preference for your captain slot is generally ADC, MID, JNG, TOP, SUP. Some players in some positions may stand out above the others so consider stats like kill share before you make your final decision.
Game 1: IMT vs. TSM (-245)
In this first matchup, we have teams both coming off of losses in their last matchups. IMT lost to DIG on Friday night and TSM lost to C9 on Saturday. I thought TSM played okay against C9 and they stayed with them for the majority of the game. I wasn't a big fan of the varus pick as it was terrible against the tanks that C9 had.
I like TSM in this one against IMT. I think they win this one handily and the have potential to put up big kill totals. I'll take all the Bjergsen along with Doublelift and BrokenBlade close behind. I think the only thing you have to worry about here for TSM is them ending too fast.
Top TSM plays: Bjergsen. Doublelift, BrokenBlade, Spica, Biofrost, TSM team
Game 2: 100T vs. C9(-1400)
Alright, so C9 went undefeated in their first-round robin and I don't see how they lose this one here. 100T has been pretty good since their roster changes at a record of 2-1. Unfortunately, they're going up against the best team that NA has ever seen. C9 has been down early in multiple games but has come back every single time. They have virtually no weak points and although I think there are teams that can beat them, 100T isn't one of them. Lock in your shares of C9.
Top C9 PLays: Nisqy, Blaber, Zven, Vulcan, Licorice, C9 Team
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS eSports subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Aaron by using promo code BALLER when purchasing an eSports Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium eSports cheat sheets, DFS research tools, and optimizer!
Game 3: GGS vs. TL (-275)
GGS broke the slate yesterday in the first game versus EG. Two players scored 60 and one scored almost 50. It was tough to cash anything significant without them in your lineup. With that being said, I'd be careful locking them into your lineups here on Sunday. TL is a lot more controlled and slow-paced team than EG is.
On average, TL only dies 8.7 times a game so I have a tough time seeing GGS putting up fireworks again. I like TL in this one and I expect Jensen and Tactical to be the main suspects to secure the kills here. If GGS has any chance of winning, it would probably have to be through a jungle gap game from Closer, roaming the map, and getting the team ahead.
Top TL plays: Tactical, Jensen, CoreJJ, Broxah, Impact, TL team
Game 4: CLG vs. EG (-280)
The last matchup is similar to the first matchup of this slate as both of these teams are coming off of losses. This is probably the closest game on the slate in my opinion and could end up being a shootout if each team makes mistakes. If EG makes mistakes that CLG is good enough to capitalize on, then they might be able to squeak this one out.
However, if EG cleans up some of their mid-game mistakes then they could potentially make this game a bloody one to end off the weekend. Give me Jizuke and Svenskeren in this one. I think Bang has shown some signs that he's due for a real breakout game and this game might be the one.
Top EG plays: Jizuke, Svenskeren, Bang, Zeyzal, Kumo, EG team
Summary
- Favorite stacks: TSM,C9, TL, EG
- I think that EG has a pretty significant kill upside but they also have the biggest chance to lose. If they can clean it up watch out.
- Players are listed in the order that I prefer playing them.
On that note, if anyone has any questions or needs some suggestions, feel free to @ me in the RotoBaller Slack chatrooms.
RotoBaller Testimonials
Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and more here!
Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!
Another profitable night after a few break even or off nights due to trying to get too cute with lineup construction. @RotoBaller free articles remain ? as they have been. @mr_malmanger @ThunderDanDFS @grownfool pic.twitter.com/l015HO49GX
— John Deacon (@Jdeacdfs) April 24, 2020
Be sure to check back throughout the week as we'll be publishing daily ESports DFS articles, analysis and lineup picks for Call of Duty, League Of Legends, and Counter-Strike. Thanks for reading, and good luck RotoBallers!
More ESports DFS Analysis
RotoBaller Testimonials
Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!
Did you read a RotoBaller article and win too? Send us your screenshots on Twitter @RotoBaller and we'll add it to our winners Hall Of Fame!
Had a member of slack take down the Insomnia Special last night. Pretty cool seeing that @RotoBaller logo up at the top! #Esports #LOL #Draftkings pic.twitter.com/S5FFRSUNB1
— "Thunder Dan" Palyo (@ThunderDanDFS) April 16, 2020
