RADIO
Welcome back to my League of Legends DFS column here at RotoBaller! We will continue to extend our analysis for LoL DFS across different leagues and sites, bringing you the insight you need to succeed.
With five more games on the docket tonight in the LPL and LCK and the LCS and LEC playoffs in full swing, it's an excellent time for ESports DFS enthusiasts like myself. The number of contests on FanDuel and DraftKings continues to grow. There are three LPL matches, and two in the LCK that grace the slate tonight.
Today, I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LPL/LCK slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 2:00 AM on Saturday, April 11th, 2020. Make sure you are following me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.
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LCK Matches
4:00 AM: Hanwa Life Esports (-145) vs. APK Prince
Two of the bottom half teams in the LCK face off in our first matchup. HLE is fresh off a 2-0 sweep of Afreeca, but we now know that AFS was beyond distracted with the health problems of Mystic's wife. APK is on a two-game slide losing 2-1 to both Gen G and GRF.
APK as an underdog, here is a spot I like. They have better numbers both early and late, along with better vision numbers and objective control. APK is just a bit better all around for my tastes, so I like them to win this though probably only 2-1
Ikksu - TOP ($5,800)
APK's top-laner Ikksu is known for some of his creative picks, but he remains a solid top-laner even in standard matchups. With a 62.8% KP and an advantageous matchup vs. Cuvee who has struggled this year I like the value on Ikksu. Flawless APK's jungler has been excellent in their recent run of form, and they have a decided advantage in rift herald %, first blood %, and first turret %. He will already be on the top side of the map, so that makes him an excellent pair for an APK stack.
HyBriD - ADC ($6,800)
The other biggest advantage that APK will have in this match is in the bot lane. HyBriD has the highest kill share in the league finishing off a full 42.3% of his team's kills. Game log watching isn't always a great look, but in this case, I'll allow it because, in APK's previous three wins, the lowest score that HyBriD put up was 105.
7:00 AM: Sandbox Gaming vs. KT Rolster (-260)
KT Rolster shocked the world yesterday by getting all the way up for a huge legacy showdown vs. T1 in the renowned Telecom War and finishing them 2-0. They are the better team than SBG, and I would fully expect them to win this game in a vacuum. That being said I'm going with my gut on this one. Its a classic let down spot, and I like the underdogs here as well.
Summit - TOP ($5,600)
Summit is second among all LCK top-laners in KP% and will have a decided advantage in his matchup with SoHwan. He will be able to outpace his opposite number in terms of CSM, gold generation, and damage output. With his ability to play carry champions and bully out his lane opponent, this might be one of my favorite plays.
Punch - JNG ($5,600)
I usually don't like recommending a play with a sub risk, but if SBG is going to come through for us today, it's going to be on the back of Punch. His 80% KP and nearly 50% first blood go so well with Summit's 30% first blood that I have to talk about the two together. Since coming into the starting line up on March 31st he has played all the games and not been subbed once, so I'm confident enough that he will play all the games.
LPL Matches
2:00 AM: OMG (-230) vs. LGD
Looking at this matchup, I think the week full of upsets continue. The teams are very close in stats OMG better in CSM, gold generation, and baron numbers. LGD has the advantage in damage output, drake %, and vision control.
Up and down the lineups, the players are themselves very closely matched as well. The difference-maker for me is the philosophy of each team. LGD is a more aggressive team; they press their advantage when ahead and look to fight their way back into things when behind.
LGD is the type of team OMG has struggled with so far this season, and I expect that to continue.
Peanut - JNG ($6,000)
The jungle carry from LGD is having a rebirth here in the LPL this year, and he has found the aggressive style of the league to his liking. He brings a 73.2% KP to this matchup and has gone over 100 DKP on several occasions this year. Lee Sin has been both his and H4cker's favorite champion this split, and I expect it to be hotly contested in this game. If LGD secures or bans that pick away, Peanut can still excel on Jarvan, another very meta champion. Or better yet, they can force that pick on to OMG's jungler as he has yet to find a win when fielding Prince Jarvan the Fourth.
Kramer - ADC ($6,600)
With his years of experience and ability to carry late Kramer is LGD's insurance policy in this matchup. He has nearly a 75%KP, and a kill share over 30% Kramer also has 100 point DK upside on Friday. Since Killua joined the starting lineup as his lane partner LGD has gone 3-2 with wins over WE and RNG. OMG plays slowly and that might limit LGD'S upside a bit, but I think LGD can return plenty of value even in a loss.
5:00 AM: Team World Elite vs. EStar (-225)
These two teams are exceptionally similar, and I expect this match to be the most exciting one of the night. I have been wrong before and will be again, but I think its time to get back on the eStar bandwagon with this one.
Estar is just enough better in all the right places that they should be able to do what they want to do, fight, get objectives, and fight some more. Estar is a bit better at drakes, barons, and vision, which is what let them win so many of their fights.
The only concerns I have are the flexibility that Beishang brings to the table. If WE can disrupt Wei's narrow champion pool; Cryin's preference for scaling; or ShuiaC's incredible hook champions then they, not eStar, just might be the stack that breaks the slate today.
Cryin - MID ($8,000)
Cryin and Teacherma like to do the same thing get out of their lane and look to influence the rest of the map, especially the bottom lane. Cryin is just a bit better at it, though; he is better at gold generation and CSM. He should be the first to clear his waves and roam. He is second on the team in KP with 75%, and leads the team in kill share with nearly 30%.
Wink -ADC ($8,400)
Wink is the most expensive player on the slate, and he deserves it. With all the underdogs I like tonight, it shouldn't be hard to afford the eStar ADC and find a combo you like. He is just behind Cryin in kill-share, and has a very respectable 72.7% KP as well.
6:00 AM Royal Never Give Up (-1000) vs. Rogue Warriors
A huge favorite in the LPL, where have I heard this before? To that, I say not today, Satan. RNG should return to their winning ways on Saturday. They are better at CSM, gold generation, objectives, and vision. RW has the advantage in damage output, which makes sense as they like to fight more than does RNG.
RNG is coming off two straight defeats and will be looking to get right Saturday, and I think they will. They won't have the upside of the winner of the eStar WE match but are safer more cash game friendly.
XLB - JNG ($6,200)
My picks here are matchup based, which isn't always my favorite way to go about things. Head to head matchups typically only matter through the first 15 minutes of the game, but with the way Haro has been playing, XLB will have his hand full trying to track and match him. The good thing is that's what he's the best at, and he should be ready to counter any ganks that Haro will look to make.
Xiaohu - MID ($8,000)
Anyone who knows anything knows that I do not like Ruby. He is not an LPL Calibur mid-laner. Xiaohu will have an advantage in every aspect of this matchup. He is one of the biggest reasons that RNG will win this matchup. RW count on Haro and ZWuji to carry for them. XLB will track Haro, and Xiaohu will be able to roam early and often as Scout does from EDG. A glue guy, but with his advantages over Ruby might be enough to bring the action to him.
Summary
This week of crazy upsets continued on Friday, and I expect that trend to continue into Saturday. RNG is my favorite cash stack, which is to be expected as they are the highest favorite.
The winner of the eStar/WE match will be the top GPP play of the day, and if it goes three games, a stack might even be viable.
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Looking Forward
With LPL and LCK overnight slates continuing through mid-April, we here at RotoBaller have got you covered. The League of Legends DFS action never stops. The LEC and LCS playoffs are in full swing, and EU Masters will be back soon.
Be sure to check back throughout the week as we'll be publishing daily ESports DFS articles, analysis and lineup picks for League Of Legends, Counter Strike, Rocket League and eNASCAR. Thanks for reading, and good luck RotoBallers!
More ESports DFS Analysis
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Readers of RotoBaller's eSports DFS articles have been winning money on DraftKings and FanDuel regularly. Some of them are winning contests daily and bringing in some serious cheddar. Check one out below and lots more here!
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