X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Hustle Beats Talent When Talent Doesn’t Hustle

As lovers of fantasy basketball, we often have eyes trained to identify the valuable box score stats. But that’s not to say that we don’t appreciate the nuances of the game of basketball. Many of the most important players on an NBA roster provide help in areas that don’t get credited. Today we’re going to give credit where it is due.

The NBA just recently started tracking box out statistics (and defense box scores), which made me nerd out in embarrassing fashion. Box outs ensure that the opposing team has less of an opportunity to get to key rebounds, but often this may lead to a teammate getting the credit for a rebound while another player is performing the box out (Helloooooo Westbrook). I got to thinking about how a hustle stat like box outs leads directly to a key fantasy category in rebounds. Looking at players who perform well in box outs could help determine potential at creating rebounds, even if the player changed teams. For example, Enes Kanter, who got moved to the New York Knicks this season, is second in the NBA in box outs. He now is top 10 in the league for per-game rebounds, a vast improvement from last season.  The predictive nature of statistics strikes again!

I also began to draw connections between other hustle stats that the NBA had already been curating. Contested shots lead to increased potential at blocks, and deflections lead to increased potential at steals. I added these to the analysis of hustle stats. Let’s see what narratives are being created through these hustle stats.

 

NBA Hustle Stats: Hustle Beats Talent When Talent Doesn’t Hustle

For each category of hustle stat, I created a list of the top 15 players and then a list of the top 15 players for the corresponding box score stat. Then I looked at the corresponding box score stat leaders from the previous season. Consistency is key in fantasy basketball, and you want to rely on players that can perform from season to season. I color coded the charts to show connections between the various lists. (See key). Let’s start with box outs and rebounds.

From looking at the chart, some general questions come to mind. If the player is a rebound leader but not a box out leader, then who on their team boxes out for them? For a player like Karl-Anthony Towns, he actually still leads his team in box outs, but he shares the responsibility with another big man (Taj Gibson), therefore splitting the numbers. This is a fairly common occurrence among teams. It is an interesting note to make that even with the addition of Gibson to the Timberwolves, Towns still retains the same level of rebounding. The second question: If the player is a box out leader but not a rebound leader, does this mean they are leaking potential for the future or are they just a bad rebounder? For some of the 30+ veteran players like Robin Lopez and Marcin Gortat, it seems to be a matter of them knowing their role and relinquishing the rebound to their teammates who can move the ball quicker back into transition. For relatively younger players like 20-year-old John Collins or even the 28-year-old Ed Davis, I believe it means potential. Davis had been showing much better rebounding numbers (8.3 per game over the past month) despite playing with another big in Jusuf Nurkic. John Collins has incredible bounce and seems to be a lynchpin in the tanking Hawks future so he could be up to double digit rebound averages next season.

Another key point to notice about rebounds is that Bam Adebayo and Kelly Olynyk have been taking some of Hassan Whiteside’s box outs (and his minutes, to be frank), and this has resulted in a slip in his monster rebounding. Lastly, I believe a team like the Rockets shows to be very healthy in sharing box outs between its big men (Ryan Anderson, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker, Nene, Tarik Black), meaning that even if a primary box out player is injured, it won’t impact the primary rebounder’s numbers (Capela). For fantasy basketball, it is important to target the players highlighted in yellow, for they show consistency as a top rebounder, despite changes to their team.

For the other two hustle stats, we are more fortunate since they have been tracked in previous seasons. It adds another layer of analysis. Blocks is a little trickier because it’s likely the least correlated of the hustle stats, just because of the difficult nature of blocking shots. However, one can see the consistency in the names across the list. Defensive stalwarts make their mark in this arena, and it’s hard to move up to the top of the league. The changes here usually happen due to injury or the introduction of a defensive big (ex. Taj Gibson and Domantas Sabonis)

Our last category is deflections and it is a more volatile category. The turnover of leaders from one season to the next is quick. Deflections and steals is mostly dominated by quick handed guards and 3&D specialists. But also it surprisingly includes Andre Drummond! Deflections is interesting because sometimes it leads to a steal being credited to a teammate who might end up with the deflected block. So teams with strong defense will end up having a greater number of steals. This wraps up our quick analysis on hustle stats and what they can affect. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter for more discussion!

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and Lineup Optimizers & Generators with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy sports.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Josh Giddey42 mins ago

Questionable Thursday
Lonzo Ball48 mins ago

Likely Out For Second Straight Game
Ayo Dosunmu55 mins ago

Questionable To Play On Thursday
Ron Holland II1 hour ago

Battling An Illness, Questionable For Thursday
Isaiah Stewart1 hour ago

Tagged As Questionable For Thursday
Jalen Duren1 hour ago

Listed As Probable For Meeting With Kings
Keyonte George1 hour ago

Iffy For Thursday's Game
John Collins1 hour ago

Considered Questionable Thursday
Robert Williams III2 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday's Action
Cam Thomas2 hours ago

Remains Out Thursday
Tari Eason2 hours ago

Might Return To Action Thursday
Dillon Brooks2 hours ago

Misses Second Consecutive Game Thursday
Trey Murphy III2 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Thursday
Xavier Worthy6 hours ago

Has His Best Game In Christmas Day Win
Travis Kelce7 hours ago

Passes Tony Gonzalez In Week 17 Win
Patrick Mahomes7 hours ago

Dazzles In Christmas Day Win
Domantas Sabonis12 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Thursday
Derrick Henry13 hours ago

Roasts The Texans On Christmas
Lamar Jackson13 hours ago

Collects Three Touchdowns Against Texans
James Conner13 hours ago

Limited In Practice Wednesday
Onyeka Okongwu13 hours ago

To Remain Sidelined Thursday
Tyrone Tracy Jr.13 hours ago

Listed As Non-Participant Wednesday
Derek Carr13 hours ago

Saints Estimate Derek Carr As DNP Wednesday
Alvin Kamara13 hours ago

Still Listed As DNP With Groin Injury
Anthony Davis13 hours ago

Will Not Return On Wednesday
Drake London13 hours ago

Estimated As Limited Wednesday
Tony Pollard13 hours ago

Estimated As Non-Participant Wednesday
Jamal Murray13 hours ago

Returns For Christmas Matchup
Tucker Kraft13 hours ago

Luke Musgrave Both Estimated As Limited Wednesday
Bogdan Bogdanovic13 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Thursday
Jaylen Waddle13 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Wednesday's Estimation
Trae Young13 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Thursday's Game
Tyreek Hill14 hours ago

Estimated As Limited Participant Wednesday
Khris Middleton14 hours ago

Considered Probable For Thursday's Action
Tua Tagovailoa14 hours ago

Limited As Week 17 Prep Begins
Jerry Jeudy14 hours ago

Cedric Tillman Both Limited Wednesday
Damian Lillard14 hours ago

Questionable For Meeting With Nets
Jameis Winston14 hours ago

Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Jameis Winston Both Limited Wednesday
Kenneth Walker III18 hours ago

Ruled Out For Thursday Night Football
Isiah Pacheco19 hours ago

Questionable To Return On Wednesday
Zay Flowers20 hours ago

Officially Active, A Low-End WR2 For Christmas Game Against Texans
Kenneth Walker III2 days ago

Misses Another Practice
Adin Hill2 days ago

Sharp In Monday's Victory
Jiri Kulich2 days ago

Posts First Three-Point Outing Of The Season
Jonas Johansson2 days ago

Stops 36 Shots In Victory
Dylan Holloway2 days ago

Scores First Career Hat Trick
Jack Hughes2 days ago

Scores Twice In Monday's Victory
Sidney Crosby2 days ago

Ties Team Record With Four-Point Showing
Jake Neighbours3 days ago

Good To Go Versus Red Wings
Filip Gustavsson3 days ago

Returns To Work Monday
Sean Couturier3 days ago

Back For Battle Of Pennsylvania
Jake Walman3 days ago

Unavailable Monday
Zach Werenski3 days ago

Questionable For Monday's Action
Ivan Barbashev3 days ago

Nicolas Roy Remain Out Monday
Leo Carlsson3 days ago

Not Expected To Play On Monday
Andrew McCutchen3 days ago

Re-Signs With Pirates
Walker Buehler3 days ago

Red Sox Agree On One-Year Deal
Sean Manaea3 days ago

Returns To Mets On Three-Year Deal
Joc Pederson3 days ago

Agrees To Contract With Texas
Aliaksei Protas3 days ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Clayton Keller3 days ago

Tallies Four Points On Sunday
Linus Ullmark3 days ago

Leaves Sunday's Game With Upper-Body Injury
Zach Hyman3 days ago

Extends Goal Streak To Six Games
Mikko Rantanen3 days ago

Tallies Two Helpers, Extends Point Streak To Nine Games
Kaapo Kakko3 days ago

Scores First Goal With Seattle
Nathaniel Lowe4 days ago

Traded To Washington
Linus Ullmark4 days ago

Red-Hot Ahead Of Meeting With Oilers
Pyotr Kochetkov4 days ago

Achieves Rare Feat In Sunday's Win
Jesús Luzardo4 days ago

Phillies Acquire Jesus Luzardo From Miami
Alex Bregman5 days ago

Mets Showing Interest In Alex Bregman
Carlos Santana5 days ago

Inks One-Year Contract With Cleveland
Josh Naylor5 days ago

Traded To Arizona
Paul Goldschmidt5 days ago

Agrees With Yankees On One-Year Deal
Chicago Cubs6 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Cubs
Christian Walker6 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Deal With Astros

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP