3 weeks agoIt still seems like yesterday that Justin Thomas was storming up the leaderboard at the 2021 Players Championship and rope-hooking a wood down the left side of the iconic 18th hole to allow him to edge out an aging Lee Westwood by one stroke. Flash forward four years, and a lot has changed about JT's game, most of it not for the better. 2025 has had a successful beginning, but after a T36 at Bay Hill last week and losing an average of -1.16 strokes with the flat stick, it is safe to have doubts about him finding the tools to post a quality finish at TPC Sawgrass this time around. Putting has been a hindrance on bermuda greens for much of his career, and with losing over seven strokes on the greens at the Stadium Course over the past two years, it must be considered before adding him to lineups, though everything else seemingly points to all systems go.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
4 weeks agoJustin Thomas has come close to victory multiple times this season, recording three top-10 finishes in his last four starts. He now turns his attention to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he has competed three times, posting finishes of T49 (2015), T21 (2023), and T12 (2024). To continue his success at Bay Hill, Thomas will need to be elite off the tee and on approach, as the course ranks among the toughest in both areas. While Thomas has struggled off the tee this year, losing 1.212 strokes and ranking 86th in total driving, he has more than made up for it with his approach play, gaining 1.045 strokes per round — the fifth-best mark on tour. In what are expected to be tough scoring conditions, avoiding bogeys will also be key, and Thomas ranks eighth in this category. It's only a matter of time before he breaks through for a win, and at his $9,400 price tag on DraftKings, fantasy managers can play him confidently.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
2 months agoJustin Thomas finished tied for sixth at last week's Waste Management Phoenix Open, marking his second top-10 finish in his last three tournaments. He is now focusing on preparing for this week's Genesis Invitational, which will be held at Torrey Pines in La Jolla, California. It's worth noting that Torrey Pines hosted the Farmers Insurance Open last month, and over 22% of approach shots were taken from distances over 200 yards. Over the past 12 months, Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile for greens in regulation percentage on approach shots from this distance in the fairway. Thomas has yet to miss a cut in 2025, making him a valuable addition to DFS lineups this week.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
2 months agoJustin Thomas started last week's Pebble Beach trip strong, posting a six-under 66 on Thursday, but struggled the rest of the way to finish one-under par and end up T48. He also ranked 75th in bogey avoidance over the weekend. Thomas now shifts his focus to TPC Scottsdale for his 11th straight WM Phoenix Open. In his prior appearances, he has made the cut eight times, with each resulting in a finish of T17 or better. This course rewards good drivers of the golf ball, an area where Thomas has struggled this year, ranking 129th in total driving and 156th in strokes gained off the tee. The good news for fantasy managers is that Thomas has only lost strokes off the tee once in this event, which was back in 2016. He has been excellent in other aspects of his game, including ranking ninth in approach shots from 150-175 yards, a distance that accounts for 24.2% of all approach shots at TPC Scottsdale. For his $10,500 DraftKings price tag to be worth it, Thomas will need to get his driving back on track.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
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