X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values: Three WHIP Sleepers

By Arturo Pardavila III on Flickr [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

In 2015, every qualified starting pitcher who ranked in the top 30 of WHIP (Walks + Hits per Inning Pitched) had a BB/9 under 3.00. 15 of those pitchers had a BB/9 under 2.00. There is a clear correlation between limiting walks and posting a low WHIP.

When looking for WHIP sleepers, it’s ideal to target pitchers who issue fewer than three walks per nine innings. Walks are the easiest outcome for a pitcher to control and are subsequently easy to predict from year to year. These three pitchers have a proven command of the strike zone and should award owners with valuable WHIP contributions.

Editor's note: Read about more draft values and sleepers with our daily updated list. Make sure to also bookmark our fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool consolidates all our staff ranks in one easy place. Filter, sort, and export various rankings for various leagues - mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty, keeper values, and more. And it's all 100% free! 

WHIP It Good

Erasmo Ramirez, Rays

Tampa Bay’s 25-year old starter is coming off a break-out 2015 season in which he posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over 163.1 innings. Maintaining a 2.20 BB/9 and a .272 BABIP, Ramirez significantly improved on his performance during 2013-2014. In those two seasons, Ramirez compiled a 5.12 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 147.2 innings. Although his .304 BABIP allowed is close to league average, Ramirez’s 3.66 BB/9 was indicative of a pitcher struggling to find the strike zone.

Given his spotty history, owners are likely skeptical that Ramirez will repeat his 2015 campaign. There are several trends that can help quell that concern. Ramirez’s improved BB/9 rate can be accounted for by a simple explanation: the guy kept the ball in the strike zone. He threw a first pitch strike 65.3% of the time in 2015, good for the 13th highest F-Strike% in the majors. The 65.3% was a significant improvement on the 60.1 F-Strike% Ramirez maintained during 2013-2014. Overall in 2015, the right-hander threw strikes on 66.4% of his pitches, which placed him as 15th best in the big leagues, squarely between strike-throwing machines Bumgarner and Buehrle. With his newfound control of the strike zone, Ramirez should continue to limit free passes in 2016.

Concern about Ramirez’s .272 BABIP is warranted, as that is a very difficult rate to maintain. Fortunately, Ramirez’s 2015 batted ball profile differed significantly from that of his 2013-2014 seasons. During those dark ages, Ramirez maintained a 40.1 GB% and a 6.5 IFFB% on his way to a .303 BABIP. In 2015, the Rays right-hander induced more grounders (47.8%) and had hitters more frequently popping up to infielders (13.0%). That 13.0 IFFB% was the fifth highest rate in baseball. A large reason of Ramirez’s BABIP improvement was the pitcher kept hitters from making solid contact.

What makes Ramirez even more intriguing is his SwStr%, which was 11.3% in 2015 and good for 17th-best in baseball. Currently 101st in Rotoballer’s starting pitcher rankings, Ramirez has potential to become a strikeout artist and should have little trouble matching the 1.13 WHIP he posted in 2015.

 

Michael Pineda, Yankees

Debuting with the Mariners in 2011, Michael Pineda posted a 3.74 ERA along with a 1.10 WHIP and 173 Ks over 171 innings. Opposing batters hit just .209 overall and .246 against his overpowering fastball that averaged 94.2 mph. But after being traded to the Yankees before the 2012 season, Pineda suffered a shoulder injury and missed the entire year. Due to a variety of setbacks, he did not make an MLB start during 2013 either.

Making his long awaited return to the mound in 2014, Pineda started 17 games and asserted his dominance to the tune of a 1.89 ERA and a microscopic .83 WHIP. His 0.83 BB/9 rate was otherworldly. Once again failing to square up pitches, batters hit only .198 against the 6’7 right-hander. Unfortunately, Pineda’s 2014 success did not carry over into 2015. Derailed by inconsistency, Pineda finished 2015 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Opposing batters hit .273 off him.

Despite the down year, Pineda posted numerous peripheral statistics that suggest he will improve this year. Over 27 starts and 160.2 innings, Pineda maintained a 2.95 xFIP, which was a career-low and good for ninth-best among pitchers who exceeded 150 innings. His Greg Maddux-esque 1.18 BB/9 was third lowest among the same demographic, and his 8.74 K/9 ranked in the top 30. So where did his season go wrong?

The .332 BABIP that victimized Pineda in 2015 dwarfed the .233 BABIP he surrendered in 2014 and the .258 he allowed in 2011. Part of the problem was the ineffectiveness of Pineda’s fastball. Although his fastball averaged 92.5 mph, which was up a few ticks from 2014’s 91.9 mph offering, opposing batters slashed .342/.342/.519 against the pitch. It’s hard to imagine Pineda’s above-average fastball will remain that hittable in 2016.

Health is always a concern for Pineda, but the Yankee offers good value and high-upside as Rotoballer’s 39th ranked starting pitcher. His BABIP should decrease, and his elite control will continue to minimize base-on-balls. A 1.10 WHIP is a conservative estimate for the 27-year old Pineda in 2016.

 

Rick Porcello, Red Sox

The Red Sox raised a lot of eyebrows when they signed Porcello to a four-year $82.5 million extension. The doubters were vindicated last year when the right-hander had his worst season since 2010. His unsightly 4.92 ERA and 1.36 WHIP certainly left a bad taste in the mouths of fantasy owners, but Porcello did show signs of promise.

2015 was the second straight year Porcello maintained a BB/9 under 2.00. His 7.80 K/9 and 20.2 K% were both career highs. Undermining his bloated 4.92 ERA, Porcello posted a 4.13 FIP and a 3.72 xFIP. Still only 27, Porcello should bounce back to his production during 2013 and 2014, when his WHIPs were 1.28 and 1.23.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brenton Doyle2 hours ago

Rockies Plan To Hit Brenton Doyle At Leadoff
Marquise Brown4 hours ago

Nearing A Return To Practice
Tyreek Hill5 hours ago

Limited Again With Wrist Injury
Mitch Keller6 hours ago

Jared Jones, Mitch Keller Available For Trade
Shane Bieber7 hours ago

Throwing From 90 Feet
Jimmy Butler7 hours ago

Reportedly Open To A Move To Phoenix
Scottie Barnes8 hours ago

To "Miss Several Weeks"
Kenneth Walker III8 hours ago

Unable To Practice Wednesday
Bucky Irving8 hours ago

Sits Out Of Wednesday's Practice
Mike Evans9 hours ago

Misses Wednesday's Practice
NFL9 hours ago

Bill Belichick Joins North Carolina
Tony Pollard9 hours ago

Misses Wednesday's Practice
Justin Herbert9 hours ago

Doesn't Practice On Wednesday
Breece Hall10 hours ago

Starts Off The Week With A DNP
Trey McBride10 hours ago

Limited With Knee Injury On Wednesday
Chris Olave10 hours ago

Could Return Later This Season
Alvin Kamara10 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday With Illness
Isaac Guerendo11 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night
Ladd McConkey11 hours ago

Practicing On Wednesday
Cam Talbot11 hours ago

Set To Return On Thursday
Romeo Doubs11 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Practices In Full
Yanni Gourde11 hours ago

Misses Wednesday's Practice
Kenneth Walker III11 hours ago

Considered Day-To-Day
David Gustafsson11 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
Justin Herbert11 hours ago

Dealing With Ankle, Leg Injuries
Linus Ullmark11 hours ago

Takes On Low-Scoring Ducks
Leo Carlsson12 hours ago

Returns From Six-Game Absence
Igor Shesterkin12 hours ago

Faces Sabres On Wednesday
Mattias Samuelsson12 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
George Pickens12 hours ago

Not Practicing To Begin Week 15
Chicago White Sox12 hours ago

Braden Montgomery Traded To White Sox
Sincere McCormick12 hours ago

Named Raiders Starter Moving Forward
Kyle Teel13 hours ago

White Sox Land Catching Prospect Kyle Teel
Garrett Crochet13 hours ago

Red Sox Acquiring Garrett Crochet From White Sox
Kyle Tucker13 hours ago

Astros Targeting Seiya Suzuki, Isaac Paredes In Potential Kyle Tucker Trade
NFL13 hours ago

Bill Belichick Finalizing Deal To Coach At North Carolina
Joe Burrow14 hours ago

Dealing With Knee Soreness, Will Practice This Week
Seattle Mariners15 hours ago

Mariners, Ichiro Suzuki To Make Push For Roki Sasaki
Dylan Cease15 hours ago

Orioles Interested In Acquiring Dylan Cease
Luis Robert Jr.15 hours ago

Reds Interested In Luis Robert Jr.
Marcus Johansson16 hours ago

Records Season-High Three Points Versus Utah
Robert Thomas16 hours ago

Collects Three Points In Tuesday's Win
Mark Scheifele16 hours ago

Continues Home Success Against Bruins
Jonathan Marchessault16 hours ago

Pots Two Goals Versus Flames
Nathan MacKinnon17 hours ago

Mikko Rantanen Crush Penguins
Roman Josi17 hours ago

Suffers A Lower-Body Injury
Andrew Wiggins17 hours ago

On Track To Return On Wednesday
Fred VanVleet17 hours ago

Expected To Return On Wednesday
Alperen Sengün17 hours ago

Alperen Sengun Questionable For Wednesday
De'Andre Hunter17 hours ago

Likely To Feature Against Knicks
Bogdan Bogdanovic17 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Jalen Johnson17 hours ago

Carries A Questionable Tag
Josh Hart18 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday's Cup Game
Jake Burger1 day ago

Rangers Acquire Jake Burger From Marlins
Karl-Anthony Towns1 day ago

Expected To Face Atlanta
Trae Young1 day ago

Probable Again For Wednesday
P.J. Washington1 day ago

Won't Suit Up Versus OKC
Naji Marshall1 day ago

Returning On Tuesday Night
Washington Nationals1 day ago

Nationals Win MLB Draft Lottery
Nathan Eovaldi1 day ago

Reunites With Rangers On Three-Year Deal
Andrés Giménez1 day ago

Blue Jays Acquire Andres Gimenez From Guardians
Max Fried1 day ago

Yankees Agree On Eight-Year, $218 Million Contract
Joey Daccord1 day ago

Faces Panthers On Tuesday
Cole Sillinger1 day ago

Available On Tuesday
Erik Cernak1 day ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Doubtful For Tuesday's Matchup
Jake Allen1 day ago

Unavailable On Tuesday
David Pastrnak1 day ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Max Domi1 day ago

Ready To Rejoin Action Tuesday
Grayson Rodriguez1 day ago

Will Be A "Full-Go" For Spring Training
Thairo Estrada1 day ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Colorado
Max Fried2 days ago

Nearing His Free-Agent Decision
Paul Goldschmidt2 days ago

Tigers Showing Interest In Paul Goldschmidt
Carlos Correa2 days ago

Twins Receiving Calls On Carlos Correa
Christian Walker2 days ago

Yankees Making A Push For Christian Walker
Lonzo Ball2 days ago

Has Minutes Restriction Increased
Jaden Hardy2 days ago

Misses Second Straight Game
Naji Marshall2 days ago

Considered Questionable For Tuesday's Cup Action
Jaylin Williams2 days ago

Remains Out On Tuesday
Karl-Anthony Towns2 days ago

Returns With Winning Performance
Scottie Barnes2 days ago

X-Rays On Scottie Barnes' Ankle Negative
Taylor Hall2 days ago

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing Versus Rangers
Immanuel Quickley2 days ago

To Get Additional Testing
Maxi Kleber2 days ago

Won't Play On Tuesday
Alexandre Pantoja2 days ago

Gets Second-Round Win At UFC 310
Kai Asakura2 days ago

Submitted At UFC 310
Alexander Volkov2 days ago

Takes Split-Decision Loss
Ciryl Gane2 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC 310
MMA3 days ago

Doo Ho Choi Scores TKO Win At UFC 310
Nate Landwehr3 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC 310
Kron Gracie3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC 310
Bryce Mitchell3 days ago

Scores Knockout Win At UFC 310
Ian Machado Garry3 days ago

Suffers First Defeat At UFC 310
Shavkat Rakhmonov3 days ago

Remains Undefeated After UFC 310
Kai Asakura6 days ago

Competes For UFC Flyweight Title
Alexandre Pantoja6 days ago

Set For Third Title Defense At UFC 310
Ciryl Gane6 days ago

Set For Heavyweight Clash
Alexander Volkov6 days ago

Looks For His Fifth Win In A Row
MMA6 days ago

Doo Ho Choi An Underdog At UFC 310

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP