I hope everyone is as starving for a big Wednesday night of action as I am. I thought the All-Star break would be a nice, well, break, but then I remembered how long the NBA's break is compared to the MLB and regretted ever wishing for a few days off from it all.
Wednesday's slate is a 10-game one, highlighted by a handful of games with over/unders north of 210 points. The games I'm most interested in targeting are Warriors at Heat (215), Timberwolves at Raptors (212), Wizards at Bulls (210), Thunder at Mavericks (214), and Nuggets at Clippers (212.5).
Let's get to it.
RotoBaller's Premium NBA Tools, Cheat Sheets and DFS Lineup Picks
Our Premium DFS Cheat Sheets and Lineup Picks are published every single day - seven days a week - and can help you win your Daily Fantasy Basketball cash games or GPPs on FanDuel.
Our Premium subscription includes our DFS Value Picks tool, DFS lineup picks, sample lineups for FanDuel, DFS point projections, key advanced stats, deeper player analysis, and matchup breakdowns - seven days a week!
But wait, there's more! All Premium NBA subscriptions also get you access to our NHL, MLB and NFL Premium tools, cheat sheets and DFS lineup picks automatically - access to almost 20 Premium tools and DFS resources!
FanDuel DFS Guards
Mike Conley (vs LAL, $6,700)
I think Conley presents an incredible value tonight priced at just $6,700. He should have no problem getting good looks and finding his teammates in good spots against this porous Lakers defense. On top of that, he's been called on to create his own shot a little more since the departure of a few teammates at the trade deadline, and those extra opportunities. certainly raises his fantasy floor. Conley has exceeded his price implied value in four of his last five games, and his price has only risen $100 in that stretch of time.
Russell Westbrook (at DAL, $10,900)
It's hard to say that Westbrook has been on a tear, relatively speaking, because 50+ fantasy point performances seem to be commonplace for the former UCLA standout these days. I don't need to tell you all that he's producing at a rate well above his PG peers, because you know that. Perhaps what's more important is that, despite his five-figure price, he's managed to exceed value in nine of his last 10 games. Remarkably, he's done so by an average of 7.6 points. Tonight, he's got a juicy matchup against a team that doesn't fair well against opposing point guards and it's also a game Vegas has pegged as the one they expect to be the highest scoring.
Andrew Wiggins (at TOR, $6,600)
I was hoping to see Mr. Wiggins available for a few hundred cheaper, but none the less, I really like his matchup tonight and the speed at which I think this game will be played suits Wiggins' style nicely. He's exceeded value in only six of his last 10 games, but even with a few low nights, he's done so by an average of over five points a night. In other words, when he's on, he's really on. Toronto allows more points to opposing shooting guards than 17 of the 20 teams in action tonight.
Also Consider: Jamal Crawford (vs DEN, $4,900) and Kyrie Irving (vs CHR, $7,300)
Value Play: D'Angelo Russell (at MEM, $4,900)
FanDuel DFS Forwards
Tobias Harris (vs PHI, $5,700)
He's wearing a new uniform but my opinion that Tobias is one of the top mid-tier salary forwards - especially in tournaments - is unchanged. It looks as though he's settled into the Detroit rotation nicely, averaging 35 minutes a game in their last two contests, putting up 14 and 17 field goals in each, respectively. Tonight, he faces a tired Philadelphia team that isn't going to have an answer for him on the defensive end. Of all the teams taking the floor tonight, only the Thunder allow more points to opposing small forwards. I think Harris is a real bargain at a sub-6K price and I don't see him having any trouble in exceeding value.
Kristaps Porzingis (at IND, $6,300)
I went back and forth with my power forward selections, but for me it came down to not believing there's anyone on the Pacers roster that can matchup with Kristaps on the defensive end. Sure, at 7'3, you're a matchup problem for anyone, but I think we'll see Kristaps active in the post tonight against an inferior Pacers front court. If Paul George is locked in on Carmelo Anthony, Porzingis will be freed up for a lot of good looks. At this price, he's quite a bargain and I'll be finding ways to fit him into a few different lineups.
Also Consider: LeBron James (vs CHR, $9,900) and Julius Randle (at MEM, $6,100)
Value Play: Bobby Portis (vs WAS, $4,300)
FanDuel DFS Centers
Zaza Pachulia (vs OKC, $5,800)
There's a lot of different directions you can head tonight at the center position and, honestly, it's one of those nights where I wish I could roster a handful of them. None, however, give me the combination of value and high ceiling that I think Pachulia provides. On nights where the Mavs did not have a game the previous night, like is the case Wednesday, Zaza is normally good for 32+ minutes in their thin front court. He's been a monster on the glass recently and should be able to clean up the glass well against the Thunder. While they aren't one of the worst teams against opposing centers, OKC certainly isn't one of the best, and I don't think Zaza will have trouble hitting and exceeding value.
Also Consider: Karl-Anthony Towns (at TOR, $9,200) and Jahlil Okafor (at DET, $6,600)
RotoBaller's Premium NBA Tools, Cheat Sheets and Lineups Picks
Get an edge on your NBA DFS competition, every single night of the week:
- DFS Cheat Sheets and Lineup Picks: Access to 10 deeply researched lineup picks, and sample lineups - seven days a week! Includes advanced stats to unlock NBA player values, and boost DFS success.
- DFS Value Picks Tool: Helps you find, sort and filter the best lineup values and DFS sleeper picks every day. Premium stats like "Usage Rate", "Trend" and "Value" give you a leg up on the DFS competition.
- Daily NBA Projections: Our secret sauce - DFS points projections for FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
And don't forget, all Premium NBA subscriptions also get you access to our NHL, MLB and NFL Premium tools, cheat sheets and DFS lineup picks automatically - access to almost 20 Premium tools and DFS resources!
NBA Premium Tool Screenshots - Check It Out
Daily Projections, Trends & Value Picks
NBA DFS Lineup Picks & Cheat Sheet
Click here to see a full size version of the cheat sheet
Fantasy Basketball & NBA DFS Chat Room - Live Advice
[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="320px"]