
Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Masters. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Masters. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
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PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Masters
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The Masters
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
- Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.
- $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
- You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!
You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
Stat | Masters | PGA Average |
Driving Distance | 301 | 283 |
Driving Accuracy | 71% | 61% |
GIR Percentage | 57% | 65% |
Scrambling Percentage | 52% | 57% |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.88 | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 96
Cut: Top 50 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 20
Last Five Winners of The Masters
2024 | Scottie Scheffler | -11 |
2023 | Jon Rahm | -12 |
2022 | Scottie Scheffler | -10 |
2021 | Hideki Matsuyama | -10 |
2019 | Dustin Johnson | -20 |
Expected Cut-Line at The Masters
2024 | 7 |
2023 | 4 |
2022 | 5 |
2021 | 1 |
2019 | 4 |
Augusta National
7,510 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bentgrass
You can find my premium course breakdown in my premium DraftKings article this week.
First Look Into Outright Bets
Player | Price |
Brooks Koepka | 35 |
Russell Henley | 55 |
Min Woo Lee | 55 |
Robert MacIntyre | 70 |
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Targets Early On Monday
Robert MacIntyre ($8K)
It doesn't always work, so I don't want to make promises about a sport known to be volatile, but I do pride myself on my model's ability to find outlier answers about playability past the point of popularity that we will see from the public.
If you follow my content regularly, you might know that I have only bet on Robert MacIntyre to win a tournament three other times in my career. Two of the results were good, highlighted by his takedown of the Scottish Open last season and sixth-place finish at the WM Phoenix Open this season. The other resulted in a missed cut at the Farmers Insurance Open in 2024.
When I examine these situations and seek against-the-grain viewpoints, I examine how often a golfer grades out as a high-end value or a total pass. I do this to see how much of this projection is against the norm of what I produce weekly on that specific golfer.
Here is MacIntyre's ranks this season within my model: I also included the 2024 Scottish Open.
What intrigues me most is that my model has graded him in the top 15 four times, including the 2024 Scottish Open, with three of those results within that same range. You are going to have to get access to my model to find out just how highly he graded for me this week at the Masters, but I do want to note that Augusta National's left-handed bias presents a very optimistic outlook for the Scottish golfer.
Brooks Koepka ($9.4K)
As an industry, we have gone through so many ebbs and flows regarding Brooks Koepka. I remember when he captured his fifth major at the 2023 PGA Championship and seeing everyone talk about how Koepka was a surefire lock to get to 10+ majors before the end of his career.
I may have been too strong of a detractor on the other end since I often landed on the aisle of it being a realistic chance that five majors might be where his career ultimately stops, because I never quite trusted the data. However, there is likely a middle ground somewhere in there regarding my negative takes and the public's opinion of him from a few years back.
Since Koepka's win in 2023, we have seen six straight majors of him failing to post a result inside the top 15 of a grand slam event. A lot of that can likely be chalked up to an off year for him in 2024 that saw him land between 26th and 45th all four times.
Nonetheless, I don't think it is inconceivable to say that the Masters is the perfect opportunity for him to break out of his slump when we dive into a venue that accentuates his combination of long-iron prowess and short-game mastery.
Those factors are brought to the forefront of the discussion in Koepka's recent profile, with many of the metrics he has generated over the last two years of frustration popping up for him as a positive when conforming the data to fit Augusta National.
My model ranked Koepka a very impressive first in Weighted Strokes Gained Total, second when combining Distance + Long Iron + Aggression, and four additional returns within the top 10, including all of the key Par-Saving answers from within my model.
None of that guarantees that Koepka is fully back because the failure to see him week in and week out is a deterrent to any steady expectations, although that likely brings with it a lower DFS ownership that can deliver high-end results if the industry decides to move away from their take on him from past seasons.
That is a gamble I am willing to take.
Keegan Bradley ($7K), Maverick McNealy ($7.1K), Sungjae Im ($7.3K), Max Greyserman ($6.6K)
There are many names that we could talk about for this final selection. Russell Henley, Min Woo Lee, and Patrick Reed all come to mind, but I wanted to find someone a little further off the radar to discuss since most of my content this week will revolve around the options listed above.
When I ran my model to feature the best pure values on the board when comparing DraftKings price to my overall rank, here were the top five options on the board:
You will notice that Keegan Bradley suffers from a negative trajectory for upside, which does hurt some of this conversation and boost names such as Sungjae Im, Max Greyserman, and Maverick McNealy more toward the top of my list when I run the data to fit more of a boom-or-bust nature. However, McNealy, Greyserman, Im, and Bradley all cracked the top 43 of all seven categories I ran.
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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
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