RADIO
The EPL season rolls on, and we're bringing you our weekly article, which looks at betting picks and predictions for all games. Matchday 29 kicks off on Saturday, March 15, with four games starting at 11:00 a.m. EDT. It culminates on Sunday, March 16, when Leicester City hosts Manchester United.
Every week, we'll offer a preview of all the games. We'll predict the outcome, give a score prediction, and pick our favorite play for all fixtures. Before you read on, remember these essential things: betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.
We're bringing you more soccer content than ever before at RotoBaller. There are FPL, UCL, and DFS articles every week, along with our weekly betting picks and game previews article, all of which can be found here. Follow the team on X (@EuanFPL, @TheFPLManual, @df_solutions, @BellRoto, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions.
Matchday 28 Recap
It was a frustrating weekend with close matches not going our way. We hit seven out of 10 in our 'both teams to score' picks, but two of the three we got wrong featured in our parlay. Hopefully, the fine margins go our way over the remaining 10 weeks of the season more often than not.
A reminder that the EFL Cup final is this Sunday so we only have eight EPL games to play this weekend. The fixture list becomes a little uneven in the coming weeks so keep in mind the multitude of midweek games (domestically and in Europe) for many teams moving forward.
🏆 #CarabaoCupFinal week is here! 😍
#EFL | #CarabaoCup pic.twitter.com/CiWeJWv0Gl
— Carabao Cup (@Carabao_Cup) March 10, 2025
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Everton (+115) vs. West Ham United (+250) - 11:00 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Everton 1 – 0 West Ham United
Everton's unbeaten streak extended to eight games. But they have now drawn their last three league matches and four of their last five. Their last two games ended in 1-1 draws as the Toffees are finding goals difficult to come by again. The same can be said of this week's opponents.
West Ham's 1-0 defeat on Monday was the third time in seven matches in which they failed to score. They've only netted five times in their last seven league games. Three of those goals were scored or assisted by Jarrod Bowen as the Hammers' reliance on their captain continues to grow.
The reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw. While both sides have a new manager since that encounter, this game will likely follow a similar pattern. A home win looks like being the most probable outcome. We'll couple that with the game being a low-scoring affair as well.
Ipswich Town (+250) vs. Nottingham Forest (+105) - 11:00 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Ipswich Town 0 – 2 Nottingham Forest
Ipswich have now taken just one point from their last eight games. The six-point gap between them and safety looks like a vast chasm given their form. Forest ended a three-game winless run to kick off last weekend's action. The win was their second straight clean sheet.
Forest's last two games have been more 'backs against the wall' performances. I expect they will have more attacking intent in this one and they have the players to hurt most teams. Forest should have too much for Ipswich so an away win at plus odds is our play in this game.
Manchester City (-150) vs. Brighton (+340) - 11:00 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Manchester City 2 – 1 Brighton
City continues to be in a battle for Champions League qualification. They've alternated a win with a loss over their last six league games. City have kept just three clean sheets at home all season (13 games) and just one in their last six matches at The Etihad.
Brighton's won their last four league games and will leapfrog their opponents in the table if they win for a fifth consecutive match. It's difficult to make a strong case for that given Brighton has never beaten Manchester City away (15 games). We'll just play both teams to score in this encounter.
Southampton (+250) vs. Wolves (+105) - 11:00 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Southampton 1 – 1 Wolves
With a 14-point gap to make up, Southampton looks certain to be relegated. Since beating Ipswich, the Saints have lost the subsequent four league games, conceding 14 goals in the process. Southampton's one of only two teams to have conceded more away goals than Wolves this season.
Wolves kept a clean sheet in their last away game. That was only the second on their travels this season. The previous four games saw them concede at least two goals. Wolves have netted in six of their last seven away games in the EPL and both teams scoring seems like the best option here.
Southampton are the worst rated team (6.35) in Europe's top 5 leagues this season. 😫 pic.twitter.com/QStgZIpcvt
— WhoScored.com (@WhoScored) March 2, 2025
Bournemouth (-135) vs. Brentford ( +310) - 1:30 p.m. EDT
Score prediction: Bournemouth 3 – 2 Brentford
Bournemouth's push for European qualification has slowed of late. Letting a two-goal lead slip last weekend meant they've failed to win any of their last three league games. Brentford had their three-game unbeaten run ended by Aston Villa. Their struggles against the better sides continued.
The Bees have now taken just eight points in 13 games against sides currently in the top half of the table. In six such games away from home, they have one draw and five defeats. They did find the net in four of those six games and have only blanked three times away from home this season.
Bournemouth's home games (27 goals) haven't been as high-scoring as their away matches (54 goals), but we should see goals here. The last three league games between these two have seen both teams score and at least three total goals in them. We'll play for those trends to continue.
Sunday, March 16, 2025
Arsenal (-125) vs. Chelsea (+330) - 9:30 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Arsenal 1 – 1 Chelsea
While a late title push is not going to happen, the Gunners still need to keep an eye over their shoulder as the chasing pack closes in on second place. They've taken just two points from their last three league games, scoring just once.
Chelsea's won back-to-back league games, keeping clean sheets in both. But, they were at home against sides in the relegation zone. Arsenal's lack of fit forwards continues to hamper them and this is more than likely going to be another low-scoring affair. We'll take under 2.5 total goals.
Fulham (+100) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (+235) - 9:30 a.m. EDT
Score prediction: Fulham 2 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur
A strong finish to the season could see Fulham qualify for European football next season. Just as it looked like Spurs were turning things around, they've taken one point from their last two games. Their unpredictable nature makes it difficult to back any result, so we'll be playing the goal markets.
Big chance conversion rates in the Premier League this season:
Best
◉ 44.9% - Tottenham (35/78)
◉ 43.9% - Manchester City (36/82)
◉ 43.6% - Brentford (34/78)Worst
◎ 26.1% - Southampton (12/46)
◎ 28.6% - Ipswich (14/49)
◎ 30.3% - Manchester United (20/66) pic.twitter.com/yNMpPraPcz— WhoScored.com (@WhoScored) March 10, 2025
Fulham's kept just one home clean sheet this season, against Southampton. There's been an average of 2.93 goals a game at Craven Cottage this season. Spurs' away games have averaged 3.08 goals. Both teams scoring looks on the cards, as does at least three total goals being scored.
Leicester City (+310) vs. Manchester United (-125) - 3:00 p.m. EDT
Score prediction: Leicester City 0 – 3 Manchester United
Leicester's dreadful run since Ruud van Nistelrooy replaced Steve Cooper shows no signs of abating. After taking four points in his first two games in charge, the Dutchman has seen his team lose 12 of 13 EPL games. They've scored just four goals in that run, blanked 10 times, and conceded 32 goals.
Manchester United's modest three-game unbeaten run hasn't done anything to lift the gloom around the club. Maybe the promise of a new stadium will help? Either way, Leicester's run makes United look like title contenders. We'll back an away win and hope that bags us a nice parlay to end the weekend with.
This is your future.
Your home.
Your United.#MUFC pic.twitter.com/cK7yVnOm1X— Manchester United (@ManUtd) March 11, 2025
Betting Picks
The table below gives the odds for each game's three main plays (moneyline, total goals, and both teams to score). My favorite pick from each game is highlighted if you are looking to build a parlay (which I will be playing and tracking).
| Game | Moneyline | Over/Under 2.5 goals | BTTS |
| Everton 1 – 0 West Ham | Everton +115 | Under -160 | No -120 |
| Ipswich 0 – 2 N. Forest | N. Forest +105 | Under -110 | No +115 |
| Man City 2 – 1 Brighton | Man City -150 | Over -215 | Yes -205 |
| Southampton 1 – 1 Wolves | Draw +245 | Under -110 | Yes -165 |
| Bournemouth 3 – 2 Brentford | Bournemouth -135 | Over -225 | Yes -220 |
| Arsenal 1 – 1 Chelsea | Draw +265 | Under -115 | Yes -135 |
| Fulham 2 – 1 Tottenham | Fulham +100 | Over -190 | Yes -210 |
| Leicester 0 – 3 Man United | Man United -125 | Over -140 | No +120 |
| Season totals | 124/289 | 142/289 | 158/289 |
| Season parlays | 2/27 (+4.47u) | 1/28 (-19.41u) | 6/28 (+16.05u) |
Good luck with those FPL teams and EPL bets. Remember to bet responsibly!
