If you need some fantasy baseball sleeper targets or you are looking to avoid busts in your upcoming drafts, then look no further!
Joey Ortiz, Connor Norby, and Michael Conforto are all interesting fantasy targets this year, but which of these three are values or busts at their current ADP?
Should you draft Ortiz, Norby, or Conforto in fantasy baseball? Read the draft recommendations and 2025 fantasy outlooks for each player below.
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Joey Ortiz Fantasy Baseball Value
Baller Move: Target in drafts ~pick 263
Current ADP: ~319
Analysis: Ortiz had a great first half last year then had a neck injury, which he largely played through, but his offense suffered in the second half. Speculation is that he played hurt. Even still, Ortiz put up decent production: a .239 batting average, 11 home runs, 60 RBI, 11 stolen bases, and 58 runs in only 440 at-bats.
He will get regular at-bats in Milwaukee again this season, but his position is in question. Manager Pat Murphy will weigh his options among Ortiz, Brice Turang, and the newly acquired Caleb Durbin.
My wager is that Turang, who won a Gold Glove in 2024, will stay at second base, Durbin will get a look at third base, and Ortiz will shift over to shortstop, making him even more valuable while adding another positional eligibility. If Ortiz adds shortstop to his resume, he would be eligible at third base, shortstop, middle infield, and corner infield positions.
While not necessarily a breakout in the typical sense, a season of 600 at-bats could easily yield 15 home runs and 15 stolen bases at an ADP of almost 300. That is valuable on most fantasy teams, especially those in deeper leagues. As mentioned earlier, you can see how good Ortiz was in the first half before the neck injury. If that was the cause for his second-half slippage, I am willing to give him another shot in 2025.
Michael Conforto Fantasy Baseball Value
Baller Move: Target in drafts ~pick 253
Current ADP: ~301
Analysis: The Dodgers signed Conforto to a one-year, $17 million deal back in early December. That’s a lot of money to spend on a platoon bat. For that kind of money, I’m betting that Los Angeles will want to get as much out of Conforto as they can and he sees his first 500-plus plate appearance season since 2019.
Conforto will benefit from two major upgrades in 2025: his lineup and his home ballpark. Depending on how closely he follows the Dodgers’ top four, his RBI total should see a nice boost. I’m optimistic about his home run production, too. Of Conforto’s 20 round-trippers hit in 2024, 17 were hit on the road. Escaping one of MLB’s worst ballparks for left-handed power and landing in one of the best should result in a sizable gain.
Michael Conforto told me that it's a "hitter's dream" to bat in this Dodgers lineup:
"I'm excited to hit here in Dodger Stadium. it's a great place to hit. If we iron out some of the consistency issues, I could be a high OPS guy, I'm gonna get on base & drive in a lot of runs." pic.twitter.com/vSx87KKsAK
— Doug McKain (@DMAC_LA) February 4, 2025
With such a stacked lineup already in Los Angeles, it is possible that Conforto is relegated to the back third of the lineup and he misses out on a season like Teoscar Hernandez had last year. It is a worthwhile chance to take, given the possibilities and the fact that Conforto still costs next to nothing in drafts this winter.
Connor Norby Fantasy Baseball Value
Baller Move: Target in drafts ~pick 260
Current ADP: ~273
Connor Norby, Baltimore’s 41st overall pick in the 2021 draft, finally got a sustained taste of the big leagues after being traded to Miami for southpaw Trevor Rogers. Now, while it didn’t go exactly according to plan in terms of discipline (32.1 percent K, 18.1 percent swinging strike), believe it or not, there’s a ton to be excited about.
Fantasy projections are more complex than simple extrapolations, this much is true. However, just expanding Norby’s output with the Fish to 600 PA (during what was widely considered an incredibly disappointing campaign) gets him to a robust .247 BA, 107 R, 63 RBI, 26 HR, and 11 SB. Not too shabby.
We’ll need Norby to get the strikeouts under control and closer to his MiLB career 23 percent K to hit his true ceiling, but it’s not out of the question at just 24 years old. The central point for this prediction that is left vastly ignored remains the underpinning power metrics -- which don’t even need to improve for a mind-bending breakout.
Connor Norby put up a 14.8% barrel rate in 2024.
That mark exceeds Vlad Jr, Bobby Witt Jr, and Yordan Alvarez's barrel rate.
If he fixes his strikeout problems and improves at third base, he'll be an All-Star-caliber player in 2025. pic.twitter.com/rX1Vsyrz0V
— Ryan (@MarlinsRyan) February 25, 2025
See, you can spot a through-line in the list of hitters matching Norby’s PA total with comparable +14.5 percent Barrel, +.410 xwOBAcon, and +13 percent Pulled FBLD: Marcell Ozuna, Shohei Ohtani, Kerry Carpenter, Jhonkensy Noel, Corey Seager, Brent Rooker, Yordan Alvarez, and Kyle Schwarber.
Popular Player Comparison Searches - Who To Draft?
Below are some popular preseason searches and comparisons from our Who To Draft tool for Joey Ortiz, Connor Norby, Michael Conforto compared to others. You can also use the free Who Should I Draft tool to run your own draft comparisons, up to four players at once:
Nolan Jones or Michael Conforto
Brayan Bello or Connor Norby
Christian Yelich or Michael Conforto
Colton Cowser or Connor Norby
Tyler Fitzgerald or Connor Norby
Willi Castro or Connor Norby
Alec Burleson or Michael Conforto
Brendan Donovan or Connor Norby
Bryson Stott or Connor Norby
Connor Norby or Joey Ortiz
Connor Wong or Michael Conforto
Jeimer Candelario or Michael Conforto
Jordan Walker or Michael Conforto
Kebryan Hayes or Joey Ortiz
Matt Shaw or Connor Norby
Matt Vierling or Joey Ortiz
Nolan Jones or Michael Conforto
Ryan Mcmahon or Connor Norby
Ryan Mcmahon or Joey Ortiz
Taylor Ward or Connor Norby
Thairo Estrada or Joey Ortiz
Tobias Myers or Michael Conforto
Tyler Fitzgerald or Connor Norby
Tyler Fitzgerald or Michael Conforto
Andres Gimenez or Joey Ortiz
Anthony Volpe or Connor Norby
Brandon Pfaadt or Joey Ortiz
Brandon Pfaadt or Michael Conforto
Brice Turang or Connor Norby
Brice Turang or Joey Ortiz
Bryce Miller or Connor Norby
Cal Raleigh or Connor Norby
Ceddanne Rafaela or Connor Norby
Cedric Mullins or Connor Norby
Cedric Mullinsii or Michael Conforto
Christian Yelich or Connor Norby
Christopher Morel or Connor Norby
Colt Keith or Connor Norby
Connor Norby or Joey Ortiz
Ernie Clement or Joey Ortiz
Ezequiel Tovar or Connor Norby
Gavin Lux or Joey Ortiz
Heliot Ramos or Joey Ortiz
Ivan Herrera or Connor Norby
Ivan Herrera or Joey Ortiz
Ivan Herrera or Michael Conforto
Jace Jung or Connor Norby
Jake Fraley or Michael Conforto
Jason Adam or Connor Norby
Jeff Mcneil or Michael Conforto
Jeimer Candelario or Joey Ortiz
Jeimer Candelario or Joey Ortiz
Jesse Winker or Michael Conforto
Jesus Sanchez or Connor Norby
Jesus Sanchez or Connor Norby
Jo Adell or Michael Conforto
Joc Pederson or Michael Conforto
Joey Ortiz or Connor Norby
Jonathan India or Joey Ortiz
Jorge Soler or Connor Norby
Jorge Soler or Michael Conforto
Jose Berrios or Joey Ortiz
Josh Smith or Joey Ortiz
Kebryan Hayes or Joey Ortiz
Kyle Finnegan or Joey Ortiz
Maikel Garcia or Connor Norby
Maikel Garcia or Joey Ortiz
Maikel Garcia or Joey Ortiz
Manny Machado or Connor Norby
Max Muncy or Connor Norby
Nathaniel Lowe or Michael Conforto
Nolan Arenado or Connor Norby
Nolan Jones or Connor Norby
Nolan Schanuel or Joey Ortiz
Orion Kerkering or Connor Norby
Parker Meadows or Connor Norby
Parker Meadows or Joey Ortiz
Parker Meadows or Michael Conforto
Ranger Suarez or Joey Ortiz
Tj Friedl or Connor Norby
Tobias Myers or Joey Ortiz
Tommy Edman or Joey Ortiz
Tommy Edman or Michael Conforto
Tyler Fitzgerald or Joey Ortiz
Tyler Oneill or Joey Ortiz
Willi Castro or Joey Ortiz
Zack Gelof or Connor Norby
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