X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Daytona Duel Race No. 1 NASCAR Algorithm-Predicted Finishing Order

Kyle Busch - NASCAR DFS Picks, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy NASCAR

Jordan McAbee's Best Bets and daily fantasy NASCAR DFS algorithm-predicted finishing order for DraftKings for the 2025 Duel Race No. 1 at Daytona International Speedway.

All other NASCAR Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Be sure to join the Discord (https://discord.gg/kSvdUNxjMY) to join in on the fun and discussion.

We're inching closer and closer to The Great American Race on Sunday, but before we can get to this year's Daytona 500, we need to set the starting lineup.

The Daytona 500 is unique in that the starting lineup isn't set by traditional qualifying methods. Instead, the front row was set on Wednesday night, with Chase Briscoe winning the pole for Sunday's race while Austin Cindric ended up second-fastest.

Those two drivers will start on the pole for the two Duel races on Thursday evening, with the 45-car field split into two. The finishing order of Duel No. 1 will determine the inside row starting positions for The Great American Race, and the top-finishing "Open" driver will lock their spot into Sunday's race.

 

Free Preview Weekend for NASCAR Premium Content

This Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order post, my industry-leading Betting Picks, as well as my DraftKings Projections and Picks article are typically reserved for Premium RotoBaller subscribers, but we have decided to make these FREE for the two Duel races this week.

Be sure to take advantage of 35% off premium NASCAR subscriptions before the Daytona 500 by using code JORDAN25 when signing up! You can click here to join in on the winning!

 

How The Algorithm Works & Important Stats

There are quite a few statistics that go into the algorithm formula, including recent performance both overall and at this week's track, specifically, similar track performance, projected strength of the car, practice speeds, starting position, and a few other variables.

All of these numbers are used by the algorithm to compute a "Power Index" number for each driver.

The higher the Power Index number, the faster that driver is expected to be during the race. All of the drivers are then ranked based on their Power Index number to achieve the predicted finishing order of that event.

 

Daytona Duel No. 1 Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order

Rank Driver Power Index
1. Kyle Busch 17.59
2. Chase Elliott 16.40
3. Bubba Wallace 15.96
4. William Byron 15.44
5. Tyler Reddick 14.69
6. Ross Chastain 13.87
7. Martin Truex Jr 12.18
8. Ty Gibbs 11.76
9. Chase Briscoe 10.64
10. AJ Allmendinger 10.36
11. Ryan Preece 10.35
12. Austin Dillon 09.72
13. Josh Berry 09.46
14. Michael McDowell 09.03
15. Justin Haley 08.17
16. Carson Hocevar 07.08
17. Ricky Stenhouse Jr 06.76
18. Zane Smith 06.44
19. Ty Dillon 06.23
20. Justin Allgaier 04.56
21. Helio Castroneves 04.11
22. JJ Yeley 03.02
23. Chandler Smith 01.15

Don't forget to join the Discord (https://discord.gg/kSvdUNxjMY) to join in on the fun and discussion this NASCAR season.

 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mikko Rantanen34 mins ago

Delivers Two Assists In Losing Effort
Fernando Tatis Jr.37 mins ago

Smacks Homer In Win
Mike Trout42 mins ago

Knocks In Two Runs
Logan Cooley43 mins ago

Tallies Three Points Against Stars
Sandy Alcantara50 mins ago

Has Shaky Start On Saturday
Anthony Stolarz55 mins ago

Shuts The Door On Canadiens
J.T. Ginn59 mins ago

Looks Solid In Season Debut
Quinton Byfield1 hour ago

Extends Goal Streak During Three-Point Effort
Félix Bautista1 hour ago

Felix Bautista Earns First Save
Seth Jarvis1 hour ago

Collects Three Points In Saturday's Win
Xavier Edwards1 hour ago

Shows Off His Speed
Owen Power1 hour ago

Unlikely To Play Sunday
Ozzie Albies1 hour ago

Homers Again On Saturday
Nikolaj Ehlers1 hour ago

Re-Aggravates Foot Injury
Spencer Torkelson2 hours ago

Connects On Two-Run Homer
Ben Rice2 hours ago

Smacks Another Homer
Wilmer Flores2 hours ago

Stays Hot On Saturday
Luis Robert Jr.2 hours ago

Homers In Victory
Michael Harris II2 hours ago

Delivers Go-Ahead Blast
Mason Miller2 hours ago

Records Fourth Save
Kyle Larson2 hours ago

Will Compete For The Win At Bristol
Chase Elliott2 hours ago

Is One Of The More Favorable DFS Options Available For Bristol
William Byron3 hours ago

Is A Solid DFS Option For Bristol Lineups
Tyler Reddick3 hours ago

Could Tyler Reddick Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Bristol?
NASCAR3 hours ago

Is Bubba Wallace Worth Rostering For Bristol This Week?
Ross Chastain3 hours ago

Could Ross Chastain Be A Worthy DFS Choice For Bristol?
Carson Hocevar3 hours ago

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Bristol DFS Lineups?
NASCAR4 hours ago

Should Fantasy Players Avoid Rostering A.J. Allmendinger In DFS For Bristol?
Ryan Preece4 hours ago

Is Ryan Preece Worth Rostering For Bristol Lineups?
Austin Dillon4 hours ago

May Be One Of The Top Value Options For Bristol DFS This Week
Noah Gragson4 hours ago

Should DFS Players Consider Noah Gragson For Bristol Lineups?
Riley Herbst4 hours ago

Is In Play For Bristol DFS Lineups
Cole Custer4 hours ago

Is A Safe And Cheap DFS Option Worth Consideration
Ty Gibbs6 hours ago

Crew Chief Change Suggests Ty Gibbs Won't Lead Enough to Be a Strong DFS Option
Joey Logano6 hours ago

Recent Bristol Runs Surprisingly Lackluster
Brad Keselowski6 hours ago

Poor 2025 Performance Will Probably Override Brad Keselowski's Recent Bristol Record
Chase Briscoe6 hours ago

Qualified Worse than Usual at Bristol Despite Faster Car
Kyle Busch6 hours ago

Unlikely to Contend at Bristol After Qualifying Spin
Austin Cindric6 hours ago

Despite Uptick in Speed, Austin Cindric Likely Won't Run Better at Bristol
Michael McDowell6 hours ago

Should Sustain Bristol Qualifying Performance Better than Expected
Justin Haley6 hours ago

Will Likely Slide Back from Tenth-Place Starting Position
José Alvarado8 hours ago

Jose Alvarado Continues To Impress In Closer Role
Emilio Pagán8 hours ago

Emilio Pagan Earns Fourth Save
Bryan Woo8 hours ago

Tosses Seven Inning Gem
Sean Murphy9 hours ago

Blast Two Homers In Win
Michael Busch9 hours ago

Homers, Fills Up Stats Sheet
Carson Kelly9 hours ago

Homers Twice, Gets On Base Five Times
Arizona Cardinals10 hours ago

Cardinals Could Be Targeting A Receiver In NFL Draft
Atlanta Falcons10 hours ago

Falcons Expected To Prioritize Defense In Upcoming Draft
Atlanta Falcons11 hours ago

Falcons Re-Sign Kevin King
Miami Dolphins11 hours ago

Kader Kohou Signs Tender To Return To Dolphins
Dak Prescott11 hours ago

Doing Well In Recovery From Hamstring Injury
Adael Amador11 hours ago

Rockies Calling Up Adael Amador
Walker Kessler11 hours ago

Sidelined For Season Finale Against Minnesota
Seiya Suzuki11 hours ago

Leaves Saturday's Game With Wrist Soreness
Kenyon Martin Jr.11 hours ago

Unavailable For Season Finale
John Collins12 hours ago

Out Again On Sunday
Lauri Markkanen12 hours ago

Sidelined For Sunday's Season Finale
Isaiah Collier12 hours ago

Unavailable For Season Finale
Pascal Siakam13 hours ago

Out Versus Cleveland
Tyrese Haliburton13 hours ago

Remains Out On Sunday
Derrick White13 hours ago

Out For The Season Finale
Kristaps Porzingis13 hours ago

Out Versus Charlotte
Jaylen Brown13 hours ago

Jayson Tatum Resting On Sunday
Jaylen Brown13 hours ago

Receiving Treatment On His Right Knee
Brady Tkachuk16 hours ago

Ruled Out For Sunday
Connor Hellebuyck16 hours ago

Faces Blackhawks Saturday
Anthony Stolarz16 hours ago

Starts Against Canadiens
Casey DeSmith16 hours ago

In Stars Crease Saturday
John Marino16 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Saturday
Thatcher Demko16 hours ago

Battling An Illness
Oliver Ekman-Larsson16 hours ago

Out On Saturday
Alec Martinez17 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Winnipeg
Philip Broberg17 hours ago

Misses Saturday's Contest
Alex Pietrangelo17 hours ago

Unavailable Versus Predators
Jack Eichel17 hours ago

Sits Out Third Straight Game
Sam Reinhart17 hours ago

Won't Play Against Sabres
Aleksander Barkov17 hours ago

Resting On Saturday
Paolo Banchero19 hours ago

Could Miss Sunday's Finale
Bobby Portis19 hours ago

Taking Sunday Off
Kyle Kuzma19 hours ago

Probable For Season Finale
Brook Lopez19 hours ago

Resting On Sunday
Giannis Antetokounmpo19 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Sunday
Dustin Wolf1 day ago

Earns Victory On Friday
Arizona Cardinals2 days ago

Patrick Peterson Retiring
2 days ago

Tyler Shough Visits With Saints On Friday
Derek Carr2 days ago

Could Miss Start Of Season With Shoulder Injury
Jalen Brunson2 days ago

Available For Friday's Matchup With Cleveland
OG Anunoby2 days ago

Josh Hart Will Play On Friday
Darius Garland2 days ago

Likely To Suit Up Friday
Karl-Anthony Towns2 days ago

Ruled Out Versus Cleveland
De'Andre Hunter2 days ago

Out Of Action Against Knicks
Cleveland Browns2 days ago

Rayshawn Jenkins Visiting With Browns
2 days ago

TreVeyon Henderson Completes Top-30 Visits
Andrei Iosivas2 days ago

Adds Muscle This Offseason
Drew Lock2 days ago

Returning To Seattle
Diego Lopes2 days ago

Can Become New UFC Featherweight Champion
Alexander Volkanovski2 days ago

Looks To Reclaim Featherweight Title
Paddy Pimblett2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Michael Chandler2 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
MMA2 days ago

Patricio Freire Set For His UFC Debut
Yair Rodriguez2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Silva2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 314
Bryce Mitchell2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dominick Reyes2 days ago

Set To Open Up UFC 314 Main Card
Nikita Krylov2 days ago

Looks For His Fourth Win In A Row
Kansas City Chiefs2 days ago

Chiefs Officially Re-Sign Jack Cochrane
Indianapolis Colts2 days ago

Tight End An Obvious Early Target For The Colts In The Draft
Miami Dolphins2 days ago

Patrick Paul Set To Take Over At Left Tackle
San Francisco 49ers2 days ago

Defensive Line A Glaring Need For 49ers Heading Into The Draft
Aidan O'Connell2 days ago

Raiders Could Trade Aidan O'Connell On Draft Weekend
Mo Alie-Cox2 days ago

Remaining With Colts
Josh Johnson2 days ago

Joins Commanders
Houston Texans2 days ago

Jalen Pitre Signs Three-Year Extension
Joe Flacco2 days ago

Heading Back To Cleveland
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

Looking For Success At Masters Debut
Tony Finau4 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent At Augusta
Thomas Detry4 days ago

A Shaky Play At Augusta
Sam Burns4 days ago

Not In Good Form Ahead Of Masters
Will Zalatoris4 days ago

Looks To Continue Great History At Augusta
Rory McIlroy4 days ago

2025 Is The Best Chance For Rory McIlroy To Complete Career Grand Slam
Joaquin Niemann5 days ago

Brings Strong Form Into Augusta
Scottie Scheffler5 days ago

Aims For Historic Third Green Jacket At Augusta
Jon Rahm5 days ago

A Strong Contender At Augusta
Hideki Matsuyama5 days ago

Aiming For Another Green Jacket At Augusta
Michael Kim5 days ago

Aims To Build On Strong Season At Augusta
PGA5 days ago

Victor Hovland A Solid Value Play At Augusta
Brian Harman5 days ago

A Risky Play At Augusta Despite Win At Valero
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

A Volatile Play At The Masters
Bryson DeChambeau5 days ago

Looking To Translate LIV Success To Augusta
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

In A Questionably Optimistic Spot Ahead Of Augusta
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

Will Be An Interesting Commodity At Augusta
Sepp Straka5 days ago

Looking Solid Ahead Of Masters
Russell Henley5 days ago

Deserves Consideration At Augusta
Billy Horschel5 days ago

Boom Or Bust Heading Into Masters
Phil Mickelson5 days ago

Hopes To Roll Back The Clock At Augusta National
Lerone Murphy6 days ago

Remains Undefeated
Josh Emmett6 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 105
Joanderson Brito6 days ago

Gets Outclassed At UFC Vegas 105
Pat Sabatini6 days ago

Beats Joanderson Brito By Unanimous Decision
Cortavious Romious6 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
ChangHo Lee6 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC Vegas 105
Gerald Meerschaert6 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 105
Brad Tavares6 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Vegas 105
Luis Gurule6 days ago

Suffers His First Loss
Ode' Osbourne6 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Robert Valentin6 days ago

Dominated At UFC Vegas 105
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF