DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Golf Advice With Patrick Cantlay, Denny McCarthy, Max Greyserman and More (2025)

Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this week -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version of including more picks, data, analysis and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Pebble Beach Pro-Am

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Pebble Beach Pro-AM

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Field

Field Size: 80
Cut: No Cut
Top 20 Entrants: 17

Last Five Winners of the Pebble Beach Pro-AM

Expected Cut-Line at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am

No cut this week!

Pebble Beach + Spyglass Hill

6,816 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Poa

(Pebble/Spyglass split on Thursday & Friday - Both weekend rounds at Pebble Beach

You can find my premium course breakdown here 

You can find Ian McNeil's free breakdown here 

First Look Into Outright Bets

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Targets Early On Monday

Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)

The moniker Patrick Cantlay has taken on as someone who doesn't win golf tournaments has been warranted for the last three years. However, it is the same argument I made for Xander Schauffele before his breakout season in 2024 that saw him capture multiple major championship titles.

Not all tournaments are created equally, and the narrative begins to change when we get reduced prices on DraftKings for someone who has landed 11th, fourth, 3rd and 11th during his past four chances at this course.

That doesn't necessarily mean that the win equity begins to show itself again. Still, the more significant takeaway that I like in this situation is how Cantlay has been reduced out of the $10,000 range in recent months (meaning the ceiling doesn't need to be as high), plus will be littered next to chalkier options such as Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa and Jason Day.

None of those golfers are bad at the most basic level of what we are discussing here for DFS, but Cantlay joined Scottie Scheffler as one of only two golfers to rank in the top 25 of all seven categories I weighed this week.

At his best, the American has always been a California/West Coast killer that thrives on Poa greens, so if yougive him a course that he loves and great lead-in form, the ceiling might start creeping up higher than most believe entering Pebble Beach.

Max Greyserman ($7,800)

Me turning into an advocate for Max Greyserman in 2025 might be the biggest turn we have seen since Shawn Michaels broke up the Rockers by hitting Marty Jannetty with some 'Sweet Chin Music' through a barber shop window.

I understand the concerns Greyserman showed at Torrey Pines when he faltered during the weekend to fall to 48th place on the leaderboard. Poa greens and a long, challenging course were why I didn't use him in DFS at the Farmers. However, we sometimes overreact as a space when it turns the industry's favorite weekly target into a borderline afterthought in Northern California.

While we are still in the early stages of Greyserman on Poa, I love that he got some challenging rounds at the Farmers. He won't be able to learn how to put purely on them overnight, but this is not quite the same course at Pebble Beach when you dive into the birdie potential and sub-6,900 layout.

I am a massive proponent of Weighted Putts Per GIR being the most impactful category for finding high-end success at Pebble. Consider that a glorified combination of ball-striking meets putting, which is why I liked Wyndham Clark last year when he landed number one in that area.

Greyserman will not find the same high-end strength as Clark did last year when we get into the nitty-gritty of the returns, but these were the top-six players in that category when I tried to dive into the hidden potential upside that a golfer may have for the week.

Denny McCarthy ($7,000), Tom Hoge ($7,300), Nick Taylor ($7,200)

You will get three popular names here that will force you to decide on playability, but it is funny because my model returned extremely robust returns for each golfer. You rarely see that for any of those options when I build a model. 

As I showed above, McCarthy landed as my top Weighted GIR + Putting option. Much of that stemmed from his increased projection with his irons on similar tests and top-end marks for putting. 

Hoge's course history will be pronounced no matter how you view it, with three top-12 finishes in his last four attempts here. I don't want that to hold too much weight since course history always dictates higher ownership for the public. However, the data shows precisely why Hoge has been a star here in the past, ranking second in this field for projected proximity.

And then, we get a past winner in Nick Taylor, who has started 2025 on fire by adding to his trophy collection. Taylor's top-20 marks for Pitch + Putt tournaments blends extremely well with the increased projecting projection he has shown on similar venues in the past.

Ian McNeil talked about Hoge's iron strength when discussing Justin Thomas in his RotoBaller article:

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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