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Wide Receiver Trends Banner - NFL, Air Yards, Targets

Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Fantasy Football Breakouts - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends Analysis For Week 13

by Kevin Tompkins

Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are among the top fantasy point scorers: they can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets.

We’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop.

Everything we’ll discuss in this season’s WR/TE/RB Targets, Air Yards, and Snaps trends analysis article will be some of the best metrics correlating to fantasy production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, representing the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll do with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and box score stats.

Note: Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, PFF, Fantasy Points Data, rbdsm.com/stats, NFELO, NFL NextGenStats, NFL Pro+, RotoViz, ESPN Stats and Info, SumerSports, and Nathan Jahnke's Immediate Fantasy Football Takeaways article for that particular week were also used as resources in the creation of this article.

 

Important Links

We're also providing a full table with statistics for each week HERE.

 

Largest Target Share % Increases from Week 11 To Week 12

Name Pos. Team WK 11 Target Share WK 12 Target Share Diff (+/-)
Jakobi Meyers WR LV 13.2% 31.7% +18.5%
T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 10.0% 26.7% +16.7%
Zay Flowers WR BAL 21.4% 38.1% +16.7%
Romeo Doubs WR GB 11.8% 27.3% +15.5%
Noah Brown WR WAS 12.5% 26.5% +14.0%
Saquon Barkley RB PHI 8.3% 22.2% +13.9%
Jaylen Waddle WR MIA 8.8% 22.5% +13.7%
Kenneth Walker III RB SEA 6.5% 20.0% +13.5%
Mark Andrews TE BAL 10.7% 23.8% +13.1%
Devaughn Vele WR DEN 12.5% 25.0% +12.5%
Joshua Palmer WR LAC 10.0% 22.2% +12.2%
Cole Kmet TE CHI 9.7% 21.7% +12.1%
CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 24.0% 35.7% +11.7%
Tyler Boyd WR TEN 11.1% 22.7% +11.6%
Travis Kelce TE KC 10.7% 22.2% +11.5%

 

Largest Target Share % Decreases from Week 11 To Week 12

Name Pos. Team WK 11 Target Share WK 12 Target Share Diff (+/-)
Josh Jacobs RB GB 29.4% 4.5% -24.9%
Brock Bowers TE LV 42.1% 22.0% -20.2%
Austin Ekeler RB WAS 28.1% 8.8% -19.3%
Isaiah Likely TE BAL 17.9% 0.0% -17.9%
Rome Odunze WR CHI 35.5% 19.6% -15.9%
Dalton Schultz TE HOU 21.9% 6.7% -15.2%
Jauan Jennings WR SF 38.5% 24.0% -14.5%
Ladd McConkey WR LAC 30.0% 16.7% -13.3%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 35.5% 22.6% -12.9%
George Pickens WR PIT 38.7% 25.9% -12.8%
Quentin Johnston WR LAC 26.7% 13.9% -12.8%
Justice Hill RB BAL 21.4% 9.5% -11.9%
Mo Alie-Cox TE IND 11.5% 0.0% -11.5%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 35.5% 24.0% -11.5%
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 26.9% 16.0% -10.9%

 

Arizona Cardinals

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR 5 3 47 0 26.3% 95.3% 94.8% 14.2 15.2% 23.5% 12.2% 1.15 7.7 WR49
Greg Dortch WR 2 1 5 0 11.5% 23.3% 20.7% 15.5 6.1% 5.9% 20.0% 0.50 1.5 WR92
Michael Wilson WR 4 2 54 0 30.1% 86.0% 82.8% 20.3 12.1% 11.8% 10.8% 1.46 7.4 WR51
Zay Jones WR 46.5% 37.9% 0.0 WR98
Zach Pascal WR 2.3% 1.7% 0.0 WR98
Trey McBride TE 15 12 133 0 30.6% 95.3% 96.6% 5.5 45.5% 58.8% 36.6% 3.24 25.3 TE1
Elijah Higgins TE 2 1 5 0 1.1% 20.9% 31.0% 1.5 6.1% 0.0% 22.2% 0.56 1.5 TE41
Tip Reiman TE 23.3% 34.5% 0.0 TE46
James Conner RB 5 5 41 0 0.4% 65.1% 69.0% 0.2 15.2% 0.0% 17.9% 1.46 9.9 RB20
Trey Benson RB 9.3% 15.5% 1.8 RB51
Emari Demercado RB 11.6% 15.5% 1.4 RB54

Cardinals Notes From Week 12:

For the Cardinals having only scored six points off the leg of Chad Ryland, Trey McBride is a damn stud and has looked more like the centerpiece of the passing game than Marvin Harrison Jr. has.

Aesthetically pleasing throw & catch from Kyler Murray & Trey McBride

Run action sucks up the hook/curl defender, allowing Kyler to layer the throw over him

Bonus points to Kyler for not leading McBride into traffic/contact & to McBride for being smooth

[image or embed]

— Anthony (game script enthusiast) (@proant.bsky.social) November 27, 2024 at 12:41 PM

Obviously, Harrison has a long way to go, but there’s been a bit of talk about how we need to temper our expectation with some rookie pass-catchers and their assimilation into their respective offenses. Maybe we shouldn’t be anointing them future stars right away because we’ve been otherwise spoiled by the Ja’Marr Chases and Justin Jeffersons of the world.

The entirety of the Arizona Cardinals’ backfield put up a grand total of 40 yards rushing on 11 carries, so it was clear that running the ball just wasn’t a priority. Still, it didn’t help that James Conner didn’t look great. He made up for it in the passing game, however. His strong role remains solid as always.

 

Atlanta Falcons

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

Baltimore Ravens

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Zay Flowers WR 8 5 62 0 38.7% 66.7% 76.9% 11.6 38.1% 36.4% 36.4% 2.82 11.2 WR32
Rashod Bateman WR 3 2 43 1 35.4% 63.6% 56.9% 28.3 14.3% 27.3% 14.3% 2.05 12.3 WR26
Nelson Agholor WR 30.3% 44.6% 0.0 WR98
Tylan Wallace WR 1 1 15 0 3.3% 3.0% 10.8% 8.0 4.8% 0.0% 100.0% 15.00 2.5 WR74
Diontae Johnson WR 1 0 0 0 5.8% 12.1% 9.2% 14.0 4.8% 0.0% 25.0% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Mark Andrews TE 5 5 44 1 15.4% 45.5% 41.5% 7.4 23.8% 27.3% 33.3% 2.93 15.6 TE8
Isaiah Likely TE 36.4% 53.8% 0.0 TE46
Charlie Kolar TE 1 1 6 0 1.7% 9.1% 49.2% 4.0 4.8% 0.0% 33.3% 2.00 1.6 TE40
Derrick Henry RB 18.2% 60.0% 14.0 RB14
Justice Hill RB 2 2 7 0 -0.4% 39.4% 40.0% -0.5 9.5% 9.1% 15.4% 0.54 14.2 RB13
Patrick Ricard FB 6.1% 53.8% 0.0 FB4

Ravens Notes From Week 12:

62% of the team’s targets went to the main cogs in the Ravens’ passing game: Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Andrews is doing what DeAndre Hopkins is doing in Kansas City: running a limited number of snaps and routes, but still is targeted almost as much as he normally way. Andrews isn’t even playing in-line at all, as he was in the slot 94% of the time in Week 12.

Rashod Bateman took a deep shot for a score to highlight his scoring. Diontae Johnson earned a target and didn’t catch it. Seemingly, it looks like Johnson was acquired so no other team could utilize him as Johnson ran a total of four pass routes.

Lost in Saquon Barkley’s eruption was Derrick Henry continues his massive 2024 with another 140 yards and a touchdown. Just wild stuff from the older running backs this season and it really looks like between Barkley, Henry, Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, Joe Mixon, and a host of other older backs, they’re going to be wildly overdrafted next season. The large number of wide receivers who were injured would normally push those older running backs down. I’m incredibly excited to see what the 2025 fantasy draft landscape is going to be because of how this season is going.

 

Buffalo Bills

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

Carolina Panthers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Adam Thielen WR 4 3 57 0 12.5% 67.5% 61.3% 9.8 12.9% 16.0% 14.8% 2.11 8.7 WR46
Xavier Legette WR 5 4 56 0 24.5% 97.5% 93.5% 15.4 16.1% 16.0% 12.8% 1.44 9.6 WR37
David Moore WR 10 6 81 1 48.1% 95.0% 93.5% 15.1 32.3% 36.0% 26.3% 2.13 20.1 WR11
Deven Thompkins WR 3 3 13 0 -4.1% 15.0% 12.9% -4.3 9.7% 12.0% 50.0% 2.17 4.3 WR66
Dan Chisena WR 2.5% 1.6% 0.0 WR98
Tommy Tremble TE 2 1 5 0 7.3% 62.5% 82.3% 11.5 6.5% 8.0% 8.0% 0.20 1.5 TE41
Ja'Tavion Sanders TE 3 3 49 0 11.7% 25.0% 19.4% 12.3 9.7% 8.0% 30.0% 4.90 7.9 TE18
Feleipe Franks TE 10.0% 22.6% 0.0 TE46
Chuba Hubbard RB 4 1 2 0 0.0% 77.5% 88.7% 0.0 12.9% 4.0% 12.9% 0.06 15.0 RB12
Jonathon Brooks RB 5.0% 8.1% 0.7 RB57
Raheem Blackshear RB 2.5% 3.2% 0.0 RB62

Panthers Notes From Week 12:

Week 12 saw the return of Adam Thielen to the Panthers’ lineup, and with Jalen Coker inactive with a quad injury, we got a little temporary shakeup in the wide receiver room. Xavier Legette’s awesome full-time role is likely immune to any of the shifting and moving players around for Carolina as it relates to their pass-catchers.

Coker’s return back to the lineup should shift David Moore back to a depth role, where Thielen plays in the slot in three wide-receiver sets and then plays on the outside in two-wide sets, like Cooper Kupp or Chris Godwin. There’s not much to discern from Moore’s 10-target game, but he’s a veteran depth piece that’s unlikely to be prominently featured going forward unless more injuries strike.

Ja’Tavion Sanders suffered a very scary injury where he landed on his head and possibly compressed his neck at first glance, but head coach Dave Canales said Sanders had avoided “a pretty bad injury” and is wait and see for Week 13’s availability.

To say the first season and a half of Bryce Young was an abject failure would be a gross misrepresentation of that phrase. It was next-level bad. While Young hasn’t been excellent, very good, or even good comparatively speaking, he’s been at least serviceable for the Panthers over the past few weeks. Young is establishing a moderate fantasy floor we can potentially (I use that term loosely) rely on.

In the first NFL game for rookie running back Jonathon Sanders, he took two carries and played five snaps as Chuba Hubbard maintained the strong workhorse role he’s had throughout this season. Sanders is still a hold on fantasy rosters, but it’s going to be tough to trust Sanders unless the Panthers explicitly go away from Hubbard. After Hubbard signed a contract extension just a few weeks ago, that outcome seems very unlikely.

 

Chicago Bears

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DJ Moore WR 7 7 106 1 5.9% 100.0% 98.7% 2.9 15.2% 18.4% 12.7% 1.93 26.9 WR4
Keenan Allen WR 15 9 86 1 38.3% 96.4% 89.5% 8.8 32.6% 36.8% 28.3% 1.62 23.6 WR5
Rome Odunze WR 9 5 39 0 28.2% 98.2% 86.8% 10.8 19.6% 23.7% 16.7% 0.72 8.9 WR43
DeAndre Carter WR 5.5% 5.3% -2.0 WR130
Cole Kmet TE 10 7 64 0 22.4% 87.3% 100.0% 7.7 21.7% 15.8% 20.8% 1.33 13.4 TE11
Marcedes Lewis TE 1.8% 21.1% 0.0 TE46
D'Andre Swift RB 4 3 35 0 4.1% 34.5% 55.3% 3.5 8.7% 5.3% 21.1% 1.84 9.5 RB21
Roschon Johnson RB 1 1 10 0 1.2% 25.5% 38.2% 4.0 2.2% 0.0% 7.1% 0.71 8.2 RB26

Bears Notes From Week 12:

We talk all the time here about condensed offenses and how they’re what we want when trying to sort out team’s offenses that don’t use a ton of depth pieces. Well, only six Bears even earned a target in this very fun game that had the Bears score a touchdown, get the two-point conversion, and then successfully recover the onside kick and kick a field goal to force overtime. Whew, that was a lot. But it happened. And the Bears STILL lost.

D.J. Moore has been doing his best Wan’Dale Robinson impersonation with aDOTs of 5.0, 0.9, and 2.9 yards over the last three weeks. It’s great that Moore is getting designed work and everything, so let’s not get that twisted. Chicago having Keenan Allen back as a dominant target-earning player is only helping things gel for Caleb Williams and new offensive coordinator Thomas Brown. Unfortunately, that’s made Rome Odunze a bit more boom-or-bust, as his connection with Williams has been spotty. Whether that’s just a crossed wire or two or a true indication of Odunze’s skill is still up in the air.

🔁 @32BeatWriters retweeted

@jagibbs_23 Only 15 of 104 Rome Odunze air yards were deemed catchable in Week 12.

On the year, only Calvin Ridley has more uncatchable air yards than Odunze.

(Source: @FantasyPtsData)

— NFL Fantasy News (@nflfantasynews.bsky.social) November 26, 2024 at 12:45 PM

Cole Kmet has been a bit part player despite running a 87% of routes over the last four weeks, but blew up a bit with 10 targets and got there with a nice volume game.

The run game was nowhere near as productive as the passing game, with D’Andre Swift still maintaining a solid role with Roschon Johnson working in alongside him and even scoring a short touchdown in the first quarter.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

Cleveland Browns

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jerry Jeudy WR 6 6 85 0 30.4% 86.2% 83.1% 11.8 24.0% 21.4% 24.0% 3.40 14.5 WR18
Elijah Moore WR 5 3 21 0 18.0% 69.0% 69.5% 8.4 20.0% 21.4% 25.0% 1.05 5.1 WR61
Cedric Tillman WR 3 2 28 0 9.4% 51.7% 52.5% 7.3 12.0% 0.0% 20.0% 1.87 2.8 WR72
Jamari Thrash WR 20.7% 22.0% 0.0 WR98
David Njoku TE 4 1 9 0 13.4% 100.0% 98.3% 7.8 16.0% 21.4% 13.8% 0.31 3.9 TE30
Jordan Akins TE 4 3 38 0 16.3% 44.8% 40.7% 9.5 16.0% 21.4% 30.8% 2.92 6.8 TE21
Blake Whiteheart TE 1 1 29 0 11.2% 13.8% 16.9% 26.0 4.0% 7.1% 25.0% 7.25 3.9 TE30
Jerome Ford RB 1 1 8 0 0.9% 48.3% 35.6% 2.0 4.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0.57 3.7 RB37
Nick Chubb RB 1 1 1 0 0.4% 34.5% 64.4% 1.0 4.0% 7.1% 10.0% 0.10 19.0 RB8

Browns Notes From Week 12:

While Cedric Tillman was the immediate primary beneficiary of Amari Cooper’s trade to Buffalo, Tillman left Week 12 with a concussion. Jerry Jeudy has put together three straight top-25 positional finishes and after some adjustment (and not having to catch passes from a certain quarterback) plus Jameis Winston, Jeudy has really come on to become a worthwhile fantasy WR2 for the home stretch.

Both Elijah Moore and David Njoku were pretty quiet as the bulk of the production in Thursday night’s literal snow globe environment went to Jeudy.

It seems as though the Nick Chubb fantasy diet will consist of purely volume and being shoved into the goal-line, as Chubb clearly isn’t the same back post-injury as he was pre-injury. That really shouldn’t be a disputed thing as that was always the likely outcome 14 months after tearing ligaments and damaging his meniscus. Averaging less than three yards per carry, it’s hard to figure Chubb as anything more than a low-end RB2.

Jerome Ford is seeing quite a bit of time on the field, but in that Justice Hill way where Ford does more in the real-life football way for the team than anything.

 

Dallas Cowboys

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
CeeDee Lamb WR 10 10 67 0 19.1% 97.1% 93.9% 3.8 35.7% 40.0% 30.3% 2.03 16.8 WR14
Jalen Tolbert WR 4 2 22 1 19.1% 100.0% 97.0% 9.5 14.3% 12.0% 11.8% 0.65 10.2 WR33
Jalen Brooks WR 3 1 41 0 30.6% 32.4% 28.8% 20.3 10.7% 12.0% 27.3% 3.73 5.1 WR61
Ryan Flournoy WR 14.7% 15.2% 0.0 WR98
KaVontae Turpin WR 1 1 8 0 -1.0% 17.6% 21.2% -2.0 3.6% 4.0% 16.7% 1.33 7.8 WR48
Jonathan Mingo WR 2 1 8 0 8.5% 23.5% 22.7% 8.5 7.1% 8.0% 25.0% 1.00 1.8 WR83
Luke Schoonmaker TE 3 3 55 1 16.6% 58.8% 65.2% 11.0 10.7% 12.0% 15.0% 2.75 14.5 TE9
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE 2 2 24 0 9.5% 47.1% 50.0% 9.5 7.1% 4.0% 12.5% 1.50 4.4 TE25
Ezekiel Elliott RB 20.6% 19.7% 0.6 RB58
Rico Dowdle RB 2 3 12 0 -3.3% 41.2% 60.6% -3.3 7.1% 8.0% 14.3% 0.86 10.8 RB19
Hunter Luepke FB 1 1 10 0 1.0% 26.5% 22.7% 2.0 3.6% 0.0% 11.1% 1.11 2.0 FB3

Cowboys Notes From Week 12:

Cooper Rush is insanely volatile as a passer and can either look moderately competent or can look like he’s never thrown a football before. There’s zero in-between. At the very least, force the ball into the short area of the field to CeeDee Lamb and let him do something with it after the catch. His aDOT has been shockingly low (3.8 yards) and falling over the last few weeks. It’s not a “sound the alarm” thing; the targets are still flowing.

Jalen Tolbert also caught a touchdown in this one and his time as a fantasy relevant option may be coming to an end as Brandin Cooks has been activated from injured reserve, so he should be all set to return for the Cowboys on Thanksgiving.

With Jake Ferguson (concussion) out the last couple games and out on Thanksgiving, it hasn’t mattered that Rush is throwing the ball, as Luke Schoonmaker has still delivered for anybody starting him in fantasy. With two top-ten fantasy weeks, Schoonmaker will get a shot to tack on a third-consecutive solid fantasy week.

Averaging seven targets, 4.5 catches, and 55 yards, Schoonmaker is making do with the volume he’s getting in this Cowboys offense. It might be harder to start him this week of all weeks, with all 32 teams playing a game, but if you’re in a pinch, you can do worse.

Give it up for Rico Dowdle, who has really taken hold of the Cowboys’ workhorse role and is getting 61% of snaps to fend off Ezekiel Elliott and doing it with solid efficiency.

 

Denver Broncos

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Courtland Sutton WR 10 8 97 2 38.8% 91.1% 85.3% 11.5 27.8% 28.6% 24.4% 2.37 29.7 WR2
Marvin Mims Jr. WR 4 3 44 0 -5.1% 24.4% 23.5% -3.8 11.1% 14.3% 36.4% 4.00 7.2 WR52
Troy Franklin WR 4 2 31 0 31.5% 42.2% 39.7% 23.3 11.1% 14.3% 21.1% 1.63 5.1 WR61
Devaughn Vele WR 9 6 80 0 32.8% 68.9% 64.7% 10.8 25.0% 28.6% 29.0% 2.58 14.0 WR22
Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR 3 2 4 0 4.4% 53.3% 55.9% 4.3 8.3% 7.1% 12.5% 0.17 2.4 WR77
Adam Trautman TE 2 1 3 0 1.0% 28.9% 52.9% 1.5 5.6% 0.0% 15.4% 0.23 1.3 TE43
Lucas Krull TE 40.0% 30.9% 0.0 TE46
Nate Adkins TE 17.8% 29.4% 0.0 TE46
Javonte Williams RB 3 2 6 0 -3.3% 42.2% 55.9% -3.3 8.3% 3.6% 15.8% 0.32 2.4 RB46
Jaleel McLaughlin RB 24.4% 29.4% 4.4 RB33
Audric Estime RB 4.4% 7.4% 1.5 RB52
Michael Burton FB 1 1 8 0 0.0% 8.9% 11.8% 0.0 2.8% 3.6% 25.0% 2.00 2.1 FB2

Broncos Notes From Week 12:

The only consistent piece of this Denver Broncos’ passing game has been and seemingly always will be (for 2024 at least) Courtland Sutton. In the last five weeks, Sutton has averaged just shy of 10 targets, seven receptions, and 93 receiving yards. He’s been as bankable as it gets lately.

Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix finds Courtland Sutton for his second TD of the day

[image or embed]

— Cody Roark (@codyroarknfl.bsky.social) November 24, 2024 at 5:58 PM

Even Devaughn Vele, the 27-year-old rookie who is somehow older than DK Metcalf, is earning some targets for the Broncos. He’s been at least a bankable Bronco that’s running 75% routes per Bo Nix’s dropbacks in the past three games.

The run game is an absolute travesty, as if you’re reading this. YES, YOU.

YOU had more rushing yards than Javonte Williams in Week 12. Congratulations! The sick thing about it is that Williams had more snaps in Week 12 than he has in the previous three weeks. You can’t start a Broncos running back going forward; your self-respect demands you don’t.

 

Detroit Lions

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 7 6 62 0 38.3% 100.0% 94.4% 10.4 22.6% 25.0% 17.5% 1.55 12.2 WR27
Jameson Williams WR 7 5 64 0 34.3% 85.0% 83.3% 9.3 22.6% 25.0% 20.6% 1.88 11.8 WR28
Kalif Raymond WR 1 0 0 0 7.9% 20.0% 13.9% 15.0 3.2% 4.2% 12.5% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Tim Patrick WR 4 4 55 0 18.5% 50.0% 50.0% 8.8 12.9% 8.3% 20.0% 2.75 9.5 WR38
Allen Robinson II WR 2.5% 5.6% 0.0 WR98
Sam LaPorta TE 4 3 19 0 11.0% 87.5% 93.1% 5.2 12.9% 16.7% 11.4% 0.54 4.9 TE23
Brock Wright TE 2 2 24 0 -3.7% 32.5% 47.2% -3.5 6.5% 8.3% 15.4% 1.85 4.4 TE25
Shane Zylstra TE 5.0% 8.3% 0.0 TE46
Jahmyr Gibbs RB 3 3 9 0 -6.8% 62.5% 66.7% -4.3 9.7% 8.3% 12.0% 0.36 24.9 RB4
David Montgomery RB 3 3 36 0 0.5% 32.5% 29.2% 0.3 9.7% 4.2% 23.1% 2.77 16.3 RB10

Lions Notes From Week 12:

The big injury story is that David Montgomery left in the middle of the third quarter with a shoulder injury, which gave Jahmyr Gibbs a ton of run and pretty much consolidate the rushing part of the equation for the Lions. Still, the Lions dominated and didn’t need to put up the 50-burger we’ve been accustomed to in a Detroit blowout. Montgomery should be good to go for Thanksgiving despite a questionable tag.

No passing touchdowns for Jared Goff and the Lions, but at least moderate target-earning stuff from the usual suspects like Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams. Sam LaPorta returned after a one-game absence and almost got a touchdown himself, but Jared Goff just missed him. Taking LaPorta in the third round has been one of the worst picks on the board this season given where you had to select him.

 

Green Bay Packers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jayden Reed WR 3 3 26 0 5.3% 65.4% 49.3% 4.7 13.6% 17.6% 17.6% 1.53 5.6 WR59
Romeo Doubs WR 6 3 54 0 27.5% 53.8% 50.7% 12.2 27.3% 29.4% 42.9% 3.86 8.4 WR47
Christian Watson WR 3 0 0 0 33.0% 69.2% 64.8% 29.3 13.6% 17.6% 16.7% 0.00 0.4 WR97
Dontayvion Wicks WR 2 1 25 0 13.1% 42.3% 39.4% 17.5 9.1% 5.9% 18.2% 2.27 3.5 WR70
Bo Melton WR 1 0 0 0 15.8% 30.8% 32.4% 42.0 4.5% 5.9% 12.5% 0.00 0.5 WR96
Malik Heath WR 2 2 15 1 5.3% 15.4% 21.1% 7.0 9.1% 11.8% 50.0% 3.75 9.5 WR38
Tucker Kraft TE 2 2 26 1 0.0% 88.5% 78.9% 0.0 9.1% 11.8% 8.7% 1.13 10.6 TE14
Ben Sims TE 11.5% 33.8% 0.0 TE46
John FitzPatrick TE 1 1 2 0 0.8% 15.4% 19.7% 2.0 4.5% 0.0% 25.0% 0.50 1.2 TE44
Josh Jacobs RB 1 0 0 0 -0.4% 30.8% 52.1% -1.0 4.5% 0.0% 12.5% 0.00 28.6 RB2
Emanuel Wilson RB 15.4% 21.1% 4.1 RB36
Chris Brooks RB 1 1 15 0 -0.4% 50.0% 35.2% -1.0 4.5% 0.0% 7.7% 1.15 3.6 RB38

Packers Notes From Week 12:

The Packers’ passing game has been pretty stuck in the mud except for a few random moments in the last month or so. Honestly, they feel a lot like a better version of the Texans right now, as they’ve been almost solely powered by the run game.

Josh Jacobs ran roughshod all over the overmatched 49ers, who could not keep their offense on the field and when they did, turned the ball over. His role is just massive, but Chris Brooks has become the Packers’ passing-down back.

this is what I mean when I say Josh Jacobs is running harder than anyone right now. dude just wants it more

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— Derrik Klassen (@qbklass.bsky.social) November 26, 2024 at 6:30 PM

Romeo Doubs led the team in targets and everything for the Packers, but suffered a concussion and will not suit up for the Thanksgiving nightcap against the Dolphins. Jayden Reed continues to disappoint, Christian Watson dropped his opportunity for a touchdown, and Tucker Kraft at least scored a touchdown. So, there’s that?

 

Houston Texans

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Nico Collins WR 9 5 92 1 41.4% 80.0% 78.6% 12.8 30.0% 33.3% 28.1% 2.88 20.2 WR10
Tank Dell WR 5 3 72 0 37.8% 87.5% 83.9% 21.0 16.7% 19.0% 14.3% 2.06 10.2 WR33
Robert Woods WR 1 1 8 0 1.8% 17.5% 23.2% 5.0 3.3% 4.8% 14.3% 1.14 1.8 WR83
Xavier Hutchinson WR 1 0 0 0 2.9% 15.0% 14.3% 8.0 3.3% 4.8% 16.7% 0.00 0.0 WR98
John Metchie WR 3 1 6 0 9.4% 77.5% 71.4% 8.7 10.0% 14.3% 9.7% 0.19 1.6 WR89
Dalton Schultz TE 2 2 20 0 6.8% 77.5% 82.1% 9.5 6.7% 4.8% 6.5% 0.65 4.0 TE28
Cade Stover TE 3 3 26 1 4.6% 25.0% 35.7% 4.3 10.0% 4.8% 30.0% 2.60 11.6 TE13
Teagan Quitoriano TE 7.5% 10.7% 0.0 TE46
Joe Mixon RB 6 5 23 0 -4.7% 67.5% 76.8% -2.2 20.0% 14.3% 22.2% 0.85 9.5 RB21
Dare Ogunbowale RB 27.5% 23.2% 0.0 RB62

Texans Notes From Week 12:

The Houston Texans continue their 2024 weekly tradition of playing down to opponents and here, it bit them in the butt. Nico Collins is back to being an every-week stud and is the 2024 embodiment of Julio Jones. The referees took away a deep touchdown for Collins thanks to an illegal shift penalty, continuing the theme of “referees never let us have fun anymore.”

Tank Dell was solid in the deeper parts of the field, while Dalton Schultz was present and accounted for and graciously let Cade Stover do the touchdown thing this week.

The ugly Joe Mixon game reared its ugly head, and he was the only back who took carries in this game. That seems mildly (totally) bizarre given Mixon’s end-of-game stat line.

At this point, with the general malaise/black cloud that’s hovered over the Texans’ pass-catchers this season, I’m only confident in Collins and to a lesser degree, Mixon, to roster and start heading into the fantasy playoffs. Dell is merely a flex that just disappears at times, and he’s been hard to trust this season.

 

Indianapolis Colts

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Michael Pittman Jr. WR 7 6 96 0 23.8% 83.3% 74.5% 11.0 30.4% 31.8% 28.0% 3.84 15.6 WR16
Josh Downs WR 6 3 27 0 15.7% 73.3% 52.7% 8.5 26.1% 27.3% 27.3% 1.23 5.7 WR58
Adonai Mitchell WR 2 1 10 0 2.2% 30.0% 21.8% 3.5 8.7% 9.1% 22.2% 1.11 2.0 WR82
Alec Pierce WR 4 1 39 0 38.3% 73.3% 72.7% 31.0 17.4% 18.2% 18.2% 1.77 4.9 WR64
Ashton Dulin WR 1 0 0 0 12.0% 6.7% 18.2% 39.0 4.3% 4.5% 50.0% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Kylen Granson TE 2 0 0 0 4.9% 70.0% 63.6% 8.0 8.7% 4.5% 9.5% 0.00 0.0 TE46
Mo Alie-Cox TE 20.0% 41.8% 0.0 TE46
Drew Ogletree TE 1 0 0 0 3.1% 30.0% 54.5% 10.0 4.3% 4.5% 11.1% 0.00 0.0 TE46
Jonathan Taylor RB 86.7% 96.4% 3.5 RB39

Colts Notes From Week 12:

Not a super detailed blurb here for the Colts, who only scored six total points in the game and Anthony Richardson completed just 10 passes. They also didn’t run a ton of plays – 48 to be exact -- so garbage time didn’t really factor in.

Michael Pittman led everything for the Colts and looked better than he has in the last month or so with his back injury. Josh Downs hurt his shoulder toward the end of the game and was labeled as “week-to-week”, so that’s not great. Outside of Pittman and Downs, only Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell had receptions.

Jonathan Taylor was game scripted out and wasn’t super effective even when he was out there. A bit troubling given his heavy volume (24 carries) and lack of production (57 yards, 2.4 yard per carry) last week against the Jets.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Xavier Worthy WR 6 4 46 0 26.4% 72.3% 63.5% 10.5 16.7% 18.2% 17.6% 1.35 9.1 WR41
Justin Watson WR 2 1 15 0 8.4% 66.0% 64.9% 10.0 5.6% 0.0% 6.5% 0.48 2.5 WR74
Mecole Hardman WR 4.3% 5.4% 1.5 WR92
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 2 1 6 0 1.7% 53.2% 55.4% 2.0 5.6% 9.1% 8.0% 0.24 1.6 WR89
DeAndre Hopkins WR 6 5 35 1 23.4% 44.7% 44.6% 9.3 16.7% 22.7% 28.6% 1.67 14.5 WR18
Travis Kelce TE 8 6 62 0 21.5% 80.9% 89.2% 6.4 22.2% 27.3% 21.1% 1.63 12.2 TE12
Noah Gray TE 4 4 66 2 20.6% 55.3% 59.5% 12.3 11.1% 9.1% 15.4% 2.54 22.6 TE3
Peyton Hendershot TE 12.8% 13.5% 0.0 TE46
Samaje Perine RB 2 2 11 0 -3.4% 34.0% 32.4% -4.0 5.6% 4.5% 12.5% 0.69 4.4 RB33
Carson Steele RB 2 1 9 0 -0.8% 17.0% 14.9% -1.0 5.6% 0.0% 25.0% 1.13 2.3 RB47
Kareem Hunt RB 4 3 19 0 2.2% 40.4% 55.4% 1.3 11.1% 9.1% 21.1% 1.00 11.7 RB16

Chiefs Notes From Week 12:

It appears we’re back to the Kansas City Chiefs “roulette wheel of routes and targets” here with no Chief outside of Travis Kelce touching even 80% of routes. DeAndre Hopkins is strictly a package guy as he hasn’t run a full complement of routes in all situations and if he hasn’t by now, he’s unlikely to. Funnily enough, in the past four weeks, Hopkins’ routes have dropped each week from 69% in Week 9 down to 45%. He’s still getting targeted regularly; well as regularly as you can get not even running half of Patrick Mahomes’ routes per dropback. Xavier Worthy is a thing that remains too inconsistent to trust outside of hoping and praying for a shot play or touchdown.

Noah Gray has caught two touchdowns in each of the past two weeks, but it’s very difficult to have any sort of trust him. Not just as Kelce’s backup tight end who does get on the field regularly, but just in the grand scheme of things with all the Kansas City pass-catchers vying for targets and Mahomes happily spreading the ball out.

Kareem Hunt was solid in what was likely his last game as a full-time starter as Isiah Pacheco could have been activated but was not as they didn’t want him to play on Sunday and then five days later on Black Friday against the Raiders. Pacheco should be fired up again as a mid-range RB2 to start and Hunt remains the contingent back if something happens again to Pacheco. Samaje Perine retains his third-down, long down and distance role, but it's not a fruitful fantasy role.

 

Las Vegas Raiders

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jakobi Meyers WR 13 10 121 0 47.6% 98.3% 98.7% 8.6 31.7% 35.5% 22.4% 2.09 22.1 WR7
Tre Tucker WR 8 7 82 0 25.6% 91.5% 89.6% 7.5 19.5% 19.4% 14.8% 1.52 15.2 WR17
DJ Turner WR 3 2 5 0 1.3% 66.1% 62.3% 1.0 7.3% 3.2% 7.7% 0.13 2.5 WR74
Ramel Keyton WR 1.7% 3.9% 0.0 WR98
Justin Shorter WR 5.1% 5.2% 0.0 WR98
Brock Bowers TE 9 4 38 0 18.8% 88.1% 93.5% 4.9 22.0% 25.8% 17.3% 0.73 7.8 TE19
Michael Mayer TE 2 2 11 0 4.7% 32.2% 44.2% 5.5 4.9% 0.0% 10.5% 0.58 3.1 TE34
Ameer Abdullah RB 6 5 37 1 2.0% 79.7% 89.6% 0.8 14.6% 16.1% 12.8% 0.79 17.5 RB9
Sincere McCormick RB 3.4% 10.4% 3.3 RB43

Raiders Notes From Week 12:

The Denver Broncos seemingly made it their Week 12 mission to stop Brock Bowers at all costs, thus denying a bunch of people (mostly me) of fantasy football glory. Not great. Bowers could only do so much, but he was still second in targets to Jakobi Meyers. Meyers and Tre Tucker saw much less attention, and both made the Broncos pay with quality games.

The Raiders’ run game is a mess right now thanks to injuries, but as a stopgap solution at RB2, Ameer Abdullah could be worse. He wasn’t very efficient and only got eight carries, but made up for it with five receptions, 38 yards, and a touchdown through the air on six targets. If Alexander Mattison and Zamir White remain out, Abdullah is once again primed for low-end RB2 production against the Chiefs on Black Friday.

 

Los Angeles Chargers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Joshua Palmer WR 8 3 38 0 55.9% 84.4% 82.6% 24.6 22.2% 26.3% 21.1% 1.00 6.8 WR53
Ladd McConkey WR 6 6 83 0 19.6% 97.8% 85.5% 11.5 16.7% 31.6% 13.6% 1.89 14.3 WR20
Quentin Johnston WR 5 0 0 0 16.8% 66.7% 65.2% 11.8 13.9% 10.5% 16.7% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Derius Davis WR 2 2 4 0 -3.4% 6.7% 10.1% -6.0 5.6% 10.5% 66.7% 1.33 2.4 WR77
Jalen Reagor WR 3 2 20 0 7.7% 35.6% 30.4% 9.0 8.3% 5.3% 18.8% 1.25 4.0 WR67
Will Dissly TE 4 4 47 0 7.2% 71.1% 75.4% 6.3 11.1% 5.3% 12.5% 1.47 8.7 TE17
Stone Smartt TE 4.4% 4.3% 0.0 TE46
Tucker Fisk TE 1 1 7 0 0.0% 11.1% 26.1% 0.0 2.8% 0.0% 20.0% 1.40 1.7 TE38
J.K. Dobbins RB 5 3 19 0 -0.9% 22.2% 30.4% -0.6 13.9% 5.3% 50.0% 1.90 8.9 RB25
Gus Edwards RB 2 0 0 0 -2.8% 15.6% 23.2% -5.0 5.6% 5.3% 28.6% 0.00 7.1 RB31
Hassan Haskins RB 35.6% 44.9% 0.3 RB61

Chargers Notes From Week 12:

Volume and more importantly, production was a little bit harder to come by against the Ravens on Monday Night Football versus the Sunday Night Football classic against the Bengals that was a bit more back and forth. Joshua Palmer led the Chargers in targets on the night, but was very inefficient with them.

Ladd McConkey is the most reliable and consistent pass-catcher in this group and needs to be the primary target here. Quentin Johnson had a nice throwback to 2023, with five targets and not bringing even one in. Will Dissly was decent and wasn’t a zero at the very least.

J.K. Dobbins only got six carries before leaving with an MCL injury that’s got his status as “week to week”. It’s probably going to be some combination of Gus Edwards, Hassan Haskins, and Kimani Vidal handling this backfield as a committee while Dobbins recovers. So yeah, not great on that front.

 

Los Angeles Rams

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Cooper Kupp WR 9 8 60 1 19.8% 92.9% 95.3% 4.6 28.1% 29.0% 23.1% 1.54 20.0 WR12
Puka Nacua WR 13 9 117 0 45.9% 85.7% 79.7% 7.4 40.6% 41.9% 36.1% 3.25 20.7 WR9
Demarcus Robinson WR 3 2 15 1 17.6% 83.3% 81.3% 12.3 9.4% 6.5% 8.6% 0.43 9.5 WR38
Tutu Atwell WR 3 3 30 0 10.5% 26.2% 25.0% 7.3 9.4% 9.7% 27.3% 2.73 6.0 WR55
Tyler Johnson WR 1 1 11 0 4.8% 14.3% 20.3% 10.0 3.1% 3.2% 16.7% 1.83 2.1 WR80
Colby Parkinson TE 2 1 10 0 2.4% 28.6% 29.7% 2.5 6.3% 6.5% 16.7% 0.83 2.0 TE35
Davis Allen TE 1 0 0 0 -1.0% 42.9% 48.4% -2.0 3.1% 3.2% 5.6% 0.00 0.0 TE46
Hunter Long TE 19.0% 20.3% 0.0 TE46
Kyren Williams RB 69.0% 90.6% 11.2 RB18
Blake Corum RB 7.1% 9.4% 0.5 RB60

Rams Notes From Week 12:

Condensed offense alert: tell me if you’ve heard this before: Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp combine for 69% of the team’s targets. No other Ram had over three targets or 30 receiving yards. Just typical utilization for our favorite Rams’ receivers. Demarcus Robinson caught a touchdown on very limited targeting.

The role for Kyren Williams remains incredibly robust and he got back into the end zone, but with some of the inefficiencies and lack of breakaway speed, some are clamoring for more touches for Blake Corum. Sean McVay is clearly very particular about his running backs and when he finds one, he usually rides them until the wheels fall off. While it’s certainly not out of the question that Corum could get more run, it’s probably staying exactly where it is for now with Corum only getting a couple carries.

 

Miami Dolphins

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Tyreek Hill WR 6 4 48 0 19.2% 85.7% 73.5% 7.8 15.0% 16.1% 16.7% 1.33 8.8 WR44
Jaylen Waddle WR 9 8 144 1 43.6% 85.7% 76.5% 11.8 22.5% 19.4% 25.0% 4.00 28.4 WR3
Malik Washington WR 2 1 1 0 -2.1% 28.6% 33.8% -2.5 5.0% 6.5% 16.7% 0.08 1.3 WR95
Odell Beckham Jr. WR 3 0 0 0 16.4% 38.1% 25.0% 13.3 7.5% 9.7% 18.8% 0.00 0.0 WR98
River Cracraft WR 11.9% 23.5% 0.0 WR98
Jonnu Smith TE 11 9 87 1 15.8% 71.4% 69.1% 3.5 27.5% 32.3% 36.7% 2.90 23.7 TE2
Durham Smythe TE 1 1 8 0 1.2% 23.8% 36.8% 3.0 2.5% 3.2% 10.0% 0.80 1.8 TE36
Julian Hill TE 2 1 8 0 3.3% 23.8% 45.6% 4.0 5.0% 3.2% 20.0% 0.80 1.8 TE36
De'Von Achane RB 4 3 24 2 5.4% 47.6% 52.9% 3.3 10.0% 9.7% 20.0% 1.20 20.6 RB6
Raheem Mostert RB 1 1 -3 0 -2.1% 40.5% 30.9% -5.0 2.5% 0.0% 5.9% -0.18 1.2 RB55
Jaylen Wright RB 1 0 0 0 -0.8% 11.9% 19.1% -2.0 2.5% 0.0% 20.0% 0.00 0.8 RB56
Alec Ingold FB 7.1% 13.2% 0.0 FB4

Dolphins Notes From Week 12:

The key to attacking the New England Patriots is over the middle, and that’s exactly what the Miami Dolphins did as Jaylen Waddle and Jonnu Smith completely ate up defenders and took half of the team’s targets. The Dolphins just spammed the middle of the field and that explains why Tyreek Hill wasn’t much of a factor on the outside in this one.

Jonnu Smith motion opens up Jaylen Waddle for his touchdown

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— Dan Pizzuta (@danpizzuta.bsky.social) November 24, 2024 at 11:44 PM

Besides Hill, Waddle, and Smith, only De’Von Achane had more than one catch and two of those three catches were touchdowns. Both Jaylen Wright and Raheem Mostert worked behind Achane, but Wright fumbled into a Patriots touchdown and Mostert just hasn’t looked great. All of that makes the workload for Achane that much better, especially in the receiving game.

 

Minnesota Vikings

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Justin Jefferson WR 5 2 27 0 24.6% 100.0% 98.6% 12.4 16.7% 20.0% 13.2% 0.71 4.7 WR65
Jordan Addison WR 9 8 162 1 39.3% 97.4% 94.4% 11.0 30.0% 30.0% 24.3% 4.38 30.2 WR1
Jalen Nailor WR 2 1 5 1 6.0% 57.9% 39.4% 7.5 6.7% 5.0% 9.1% 0.23 7.5 WR50
Brandon Powell WR 10.5% 8.5% 0.0 WR98
Trent Sherfield Sr. WR 10.5% 15.5% 0.0 WR98
T.J. Hockenson TE 8 7 114 0 32.1% 84.2% 67.6% 10.1 26.7% 25.0% 25.0% 3.56 18.4 TE5
Johnny Mundt TE 1 1 7 0 0.8% 21.1% 46.5% 2.0 3.3% 5.0% 12.5% 0.88 1.7 TE38
Nick Muse TE 5.3% 8.5% 0.0 TE46
Aaron Jones RB 3 3 23 0 -0.4% 57.9% 78.9% -0.3 10.0% 10.0% 13.6% 1.05 19.9 RB7
Cam Akers RB 1 1 6 0 -0.4% 10.5% 15.5% -1.0 3.3% 5.0% 25.0% 1.50 3.5 RB39
C.J. Ham FB 1 0 0 0 -2.0% 5.3% 26.8% -5.0 3.3% 0.0% 50.0% 0.00 0.0 FB4

Vikings Notes From Week 12:

Because it seems like the referees in the NFL don’t want us to have fun, they nullified a Justin Jefferson touchdown on a pick play. LET. THE. FUN. HAPPEN. Jefferson would be stymied for the most of the game though as the Bears let everybody else try and beat them and well… that’s what happened.

Fortunately, Jordan Addison was plenty fun with two huge catches of 45 and 69 yards, and then a short touchdown grab. T.J. Hockenson’s huge game happened mostly in the second half and overtime, as Hockenson had one catch for five yards in the first half. Jalen Nailor also scored in a sporadic role with five touchdowns on just 17 catches this season.

JORDAN ADDISON 💪💪💪

📺: NFL on FOX

#Free3 #Skol

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— Minnesota Vikings (@vikings.bsky.social) November 24, 2024 at 12:47 PM

Aaron Jones got up to a four-week high of 79% snaps and a three-week high in routes (58%) as Cam Akers was a spell throughout the game. Still a huge role for Jones and one of the safest roles out there.

 

New England Patriots

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DeMario Douglas WR 7 5 62 0 9.6% 72.3% 68.1% 4.0 19.4% 20.0% 20.6% 1.82 11.3 WR31
Ja'Lynn Polk WR 2 1 7 0 2.1% 36.2% 33.3% 3.0 5.6% 8.0% 11.8% 0.41 1.7 WR88
Kendrick Bourne WR 5 3 30 0 16.5% 55.3% 59.4% 9.6 13.9% 12.0% 19.2% 1.15 6.0 WR55
Kayshon Boutte WR 4 1 6 0 23.1% 83.0% 87.0% 16.8 11.1% 16.0% 10.3% 0.15 1.6 WR89
Javon Baker WR 1 0 0 0 6.2% 17.0% 15.9% 18.0 2.8% 4.0% 12.5% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Hunter Henry TE 7 5 44 0 23.4% 78.7% 82.6% 9.7 19.4% 20.0% 18.9% 1.19 9.4 TE16
Austin Hooper TE 4 4 59 1 17.6% 38.3% 37.7% 12.8 11.1% 12.0% 22.2% 3.28 15.9 TE6
Jaheim Bell TE 10.6% 11.6% 0.0 TE46
Rhamondre Stevenson RB 2 0 0 0 1.7% 29.8% 42.0% 2.5 5.6% 4.0% 14.3% 0.00 3.3 RB43
Antonio Gibson RB 2 1 14 0 -0.3% 36.2% 43.5% -0.5 5.6% 0.0% 11.8% 0.82 5.5 RB32
JaMycal Hasty RB 2 2 0 0 0.0% 17.0% 15.9% 0.0 5.6% 4.0% 25.0% 0.00 3.5 RB39

Patriots Notes From Week 12:

It’s usually a pretty ugly scene for the pass-catchers in New England, but in Week 12, it got even uglier somehow. In most instances, Drake Maye can mask some deficiencies and get the ball out to a couple of targets. I suppose he did this week too, with DeMario Douglas leading the Patriots in everything, but it still wasn’t a great fantasy day. Hunter Henry co-led in targets with Douglas but had a pedestrian day as the consistent deeper threat with Austin Hooper, who scored a 38-yard touchdown for Maye’s only touchdown on the afternoon.

The entire running back room combined for a 15-carry, 59-yard day, so that doesn’t seem very fruitful. Antonio Gibson picked up some of the slack and ran more routes than he typically does since Rhamondre Stevenson struggled with less than 2.0 yards per carry on the afternoon.

 

New Orleans Saints

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

New York Giants

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Malik Nabers WR 9 6 64 0 50.5% 95.1% 93.2% 9.4 31.0% 34.8% 23.1% 1.64 12.4 WR25
Wan'Dale Robinson WR 5 5 47 0 16.7% 90.2% 83.1% 5.6 17.2% 21.7% 13.5% 1.27 9.7 WR36
Darius Slayton WR 1 0 0 0 13.7% 51.2% 57.6% 23.0 3.4% 8.7% 4.8% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Jalin Hyatt WR 53.7% 42.4% 0.0 WR98
Daniel Bellinger TE 31.7% 28.8% 0.0 TE46
Theo Johnson TE 6 3 39 0 10.0% 61.0% 72.9% 2.8 20.7% 21.7% 24.0% 1.56 6.9 TE20
Chris Manhertz TE 2.4% 20.3% 0.0 TE46
Devin Singletary RB 2 2 7 0 0.6% 31.7% 35.6% 0.5 6.9% 0.0% 15.4% 0.54 9.0 RB23
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB 4 4 28 0 7.9% 19.5% 40.7% 3.3 13.8% 8.7% 50.0% 3.50 9.0 RB23
Eric Gray RB 2 2 7 0 0.6% 22.0% 25.4% 0.5 6.9% 4.3% 22.2% 0.78 2.6 RB45

Giants Notes From Week 12:

The Giants just stink. Out loud. A team that employs Malik Nabers and couldn’t get the ball to him until the second half, where three consecutive plays after halftime were three catches totaling 43 yards. I don’t blame him for saying something, and on Thanksgiving, he’s going 100% going to be a squeaky wheel for Drew Lock and the Giants.

For the rest of Week 12, it was Tommy DeVito throwing the ball to little success with Wan’Dale Robinson taking in some short volume and Theo Johnson hauling in a few passes. It’s just not great, like at all.

The Giants also struggled in the run game, where Devin Singletary vultured a touchdown from Tyrone Tracy and the trio of Tracy, Singletary, and Eric Gray combined for 44 yards rushing. The state of the offense is not particularly great. It might actually get worse.

 

New York Jets

ON BYE IN WEEK 12

 

Philadelphia Eagles

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
A.J. Brown WR 7 6 109 1 63.3% 100.0% 88.9% 10.3 38.9% 40.0% 26.9% 4.19 22.9 WR6
Jahan Dotson WR 1 1 4 0 -3.5% 76.9% 69.4% -4.0 5.6% 6.7% 5.0% 0.20 1.4 WR94
Johnny Wilson WR 1 0 0 0 11.4% 69.2% 69.4% 13.0 5.6% 6.7% 5.6% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Britain Covey WR 7.7% 4.2% 0.0 WR98
Ainias Smith WR 7.7% 9.7% 0.0 WR98
Dallas Goedert TE 5 4 19 0 29.9% 73.1% 75.0% 6.8 27.8% 33.3% 26.3% 1.00 5.9 TE22
Grant Calcaterra TE 34.6% 54.2% 0.0 TE46
Saquon Barkley RB 4 4 47 0 -1.1% 65.4% 68.1% -0.3 22.2% 13.3% 23.5% 2.76 46.2 RB1
Kenneth Gainwell RB 23.1% 31.9% 8.2 RB26

Eagles Notes From Week 12:

::sigh::

Saquon Barkley. The amount of times he’s buried the people that didn’t draft him, we might be buried into the Earth’s core at this point. The guy had over 300 total yards. In the last 12 season, only Christian McCaffrey (8) and David Johnson (6) have more 30+ point fantasy games in a season than Barkley has (5) through 11 games. To say Barkley is one of the craziest, ultimate league-winner runs right now is an understatement.

Saquon Barkley has set an Eagles single-game rushing record AND career-high with 255 yards‼️

saquon | #FlyEaglesFly

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— Philadelphia Eagles (@philadelphiaeagles.bsky.social) November 24, 2024 at 10:37 PM

Even with Barkley’s blowup game, A.J. Brown feasted without DeVonta Smith active for Sunday Night Football. Grown a** man, indeed. Dallas Goedert was the de facto second target, but it didn’t matter too much with light volume.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
George Pickens WR 7 4 48 0 42.3% 94.1% 89.9% 20.6 25.9% 40.0% 21.9% 1.50 8.8 WR44
Van Jefferson WR 3 2 39 0 14.3% 29.4% 26.1% 16.3 11.1% 6.7% 30.0% 3.90 5.9 WR57
Calvin Austin III WR 3 3 78 1 22.6% 70.6% 58.0% 25.7 11.1% 13.3% 12.5% 3.25 16.8 WR14
Ben Skowronek WR 2.9% 2.9% 0.0 WR98
Mike Williams WR 1 0 0 0 12.0% 29.4% 27.5% 41.0 3.7% 6.7% 10.0% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Pat Freiermuth TE 4 4 59 0 10.6% 85.3% 63.8% 9.0 14.8% 13.3% 13.8% 2.03 9.9 TE15
Darnell Washington TE 3 3 14 0 0.0% 44.1% 55.1% 0.0 11.1% 13.3% 20.0% 0.93 4.4 TE25
Connor Heyward TE 5.9% 20.3% 0.0 TE46
MyCole Pruitt TE 14.7% 46.4% 0.0 TE46
Najee Harris RB 2 2 13 0 -1.2% 29.4% 39.1% -2.0 7.4% 6.7% 20.0% 1.30 7.4 RB30
Jaylen Warren RB 4 3 19 0 -0.6% 55.9% 56.5% -0.5 14.8% 0.0% 21.1% 1.00 15.4 RB11
Cordarrelle Patterson RB 2.9% 11.6% -0.2 RB67

Steelers Notes From Week 12:

Considering Russell Wilson still threw for 270 yards and a touchdown in snow globe-like conditions, there wasn’t much from a fantasy-point standpoint. George Pickens of course led the team in targets for the pass-catchers, but Calvin Austin caught the lone touchdown. Austin got a deep 46-yard pass play in the second quarter and then in the fourth quarter, caught his touchdown from 23-yards out on a great throw over the middle to the perfect spot.

Russell Wilson did a beautiful job of identifying the coverage, looking the safety off away from the post to open up the throw even though it was 2 high and giving Calvin Austin a catchable ball in the snow for a TD. It’s all in the details. LOVE IT.

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— RGIII (@robertgriffiniii.bsky.social) November 21, 2024 at 9:48 PM

Only Pat Freiermuth caught more than three balls outside of Pickens as it was the usual Steelers’ way of spreading the ball around rather than the concentration we see from other offenses. That, plus the lack of consistent target-earning talent, makes it a chore to roster any of the pass-catchers in this offense, and that does include Freiermuth at tight end.

Mike Williams actually slid down in routes (36% to 29%) from the previous week, so if there’s no ramp-up in work following his acquisition after Week 9, there’s no use in rostering him.

With the backfield, we got a bit of shift here (finally!) with Najee Harris taking carries in run, low-leverage situations but Jaylen Warren taking everything important, including an inside-the-five carry for a touchdown. Harris still had the lead in opportunities (18) over Warren (15), but Warren ran almost double the routes and out-snapped Harris.

It was a tonal shift and prioritization of Warren to get him the ball as the more dynamic of the two and hopefully that becomes a more consistent thing. Although, we must remember who is pulling the strings here in this offense: our pal Artie, Arthur Smith. Things could change drastically week to week, but at the very least, it was nice to see that the Steelers recognized the better rusher. Even if it was only for one game. Here’s hoping it’s for many more than that.

 

San Francisco 49ers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR 4 1 21 0 17.0% 87.5% 67.3% 8.0 16.0% 20.0% 14.3% 0.75 3.1 WR71
Jauan Jennings WR 6 5 40 0 19.4% 96.9% 91.8% 6.1 24.0% 30.0% 19.4% 1.29 9.0 WR42
Ricky Pearsall WR 68.8% 67.3% 0.0 WR98
Chris Conley WR 1 0 0 0 20.7% 3.1% 8.2% 39.0 4.0% 5.0% 100.0% 0.00 0.0 WR98
Ronnie Bell WR 6.3% 10.2% 0.0 WR98
George Kittle TE 6 6 82 1 31.8% 81.3% 83.7% 10.0 24.0% 20.0% 23.1% 3.15 20.2 TE4
Eric Saubert TE 1 0 0 0 2.1% 25.0% 26.5% 4.0 4.0% 5.0% 12.5% 0.00 0.0 TE46
Christian McCaffrey RB 4 3 37 0 4.2% 71.9% 81.6% 2.0 16.0% 15.0% 17.4% 1.61 7.8 RB29
Jordan Mason RB 2 1 5 0 1.6% 18.8% 18.4% 1.5 8.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.83 2.3 RB47
Kyle Juszczyk FB 1 1 14 0 3.2% 25.0% 40.8% 6.0 4.0% 5.0% 12.5% 1.75 2.4 FB1

49ers Notes From Week 12:

With the 49ers having to turn to Brandon Allen at quarterback for the injured Brock Purdy, you could definitely tell it was a huge change at skill, timing, and everything else that goes into the quarterback position. The Packers made stopping Christian McCaffrey a top priority to let Allen beat them through the air. McCaffrey still had his huge role, but the 49ers trotted out Jordan Mason to finish out the game.

While some prowess through the air was expected, it definitely wasn’t anywhere near efficient and productive. George Kittle continues to be a rockstar, Deebo Samuel was very quiet and had a negative play where a ball went basically into and through his hands for yet another interception by Xavier McKinney. Jauan Jennings earned some solid volume, but wasn’t very impactful.

 

Seattle Seahawks

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DK Metcalf WR 5 4 59 0 63.0% 91.9% 78.1% 18.4 20.0% 28.6% 14.7% 1.74 9.9 WR35
Tyler Lockett WR 3 2 20 0 19.1% 78.4% 64.1% 9.3 12.0% 14.3% 10.3% 0.69 4.0 WR67
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 6 6 77 1 7.0% 86.5% 65.6% 1.7 24.0% 35.7% 18.8% 2.41 19.7 WR13
Jake Bobo WR 1 1 8 0 2.7% 8.1% 23.4% 4.0 4.0% 0.0% 33.3% 2.67 1.8 WR83
Cody White WR 16.2% 26.6% 0.0 WR98
Pharaoh Brown TE 2 2 19 0 7.5% 29.7% 45.3% 5.5 8.0% 7.1% 18.2% 1.73 3.9 TE30
AJ Barner TE 3 3 19 0 4.1% 75.7% 84.4% 2.0 12.0% 14.3% 10.7% 0.68 4.9 TE23
Kenneth Walker III RB 5 4 52 0 -3.4% 48.6% 64.1% -1.0 20.0% 0.0% 27.8% 2.89 13.3 RB15
Zach Charbonnet RB 27.0% 37.5% 2.2 RB49

Seahawks Notes From Week 12:

Not a ton going on with Seahawks here as they scored 16 points in a weirdly unexpected defensive-minded game with the Cardinals, but the one thing that popped out to me was Jaxon Smith-Njigba getting there with efficiency in the short aDOT ranges we saw in his rookie season. JSN had a 1.7-yard aDOT and if you look through his previous games, he’s gotten massive downfield games too. If Smith-Njigba can win short, in the intermediate, AND downfield? We’ve got a three-level star here that’s just begging to be further unleashed.

DK Metcalf was otherwise fine, and only Tyler Lockett among the non-Metcalf and JSN pass-catchers had over 19 receiving yards in this game.

A pretty inefficient day for Kenneth Walker with less than 3.0 yards per carry, but Zach Charbonnet got a bit annoying taking two goal-line carries. He didn’t convert either; he got to the one-yard line from the four yard-line on one and then lost a couple of yards from the one.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Mike Evans WR 6 5 68 0 31.8% 65.6% 60.0% 10.8 20.0% 21.7% 28.6% 3.24 11.8 WR28
Jalen McMillan WR 2 1 11 0 12.8% 68.8% 63.1% 13.0 6.7% 4.3% 9.1% 0.50 2.1 WR80
Trey Palmer WR 1 1 18 0 8.8% 28.1% 26.2% 18.0 3.3% 4.3% 11.1% 2.00 2.8 WR72
Rakim Jarrett WR 1 1 30 0 11.8% 28.1% 32.3% 24.0 3.3% 4.3% 11.1% 3.33 4.0 WR67
Sterling Shepard WR 7 5 16 0 10.7% 65.6% 53.8% 3.1 23.3% 26.1% 33.3% 0.76 6.6 WR54
Ryan Miller WR 1 1 14 0 6.9% 6.3% 23.1% 14.0 3.3% 4.3% 50.0% 7.00 2.4 WR77
Cade Otton TE 3 1 30 0 13.7% 87.5% 81.5% 9.3 10.0% 8.7% 10.7% 1.07 4.0 TE28
Payne Durham TE 1 1 26 0 11.3% 12.5% 36.9% 23.0 3.3% 0.0% 25.0% 6.50 3.6 TE33
Ko Kieft TE 3.1% 7.7% 0.0 TE46
Rachaad White RB 1 1 10 0 -3.4% 34.4% 49.2% -7.0 3.3% 4.3% 9.1% 0.91 11.7 RB16
Bucky Irving RB 6 6 64 0 -6.8% 62.5% 52.3% -2.3 20.0% 21.7% 30.0% 3.20 27.1 RB3
Sean Tucker RB 1 1 7 0 2.5% 3.1% 7.7% 5.0 3.3% 0.0% 100.0% 7.00 8.0 RB28

Buccaneers Notes From Week 12:

Mike Evans returned for the Buccaneers as a much-needed shot in the arm for Baker Mayfield and the passing game. Tampa didn’t have to do a lot of heavy lifting in the passing game with Evans leading the way in receptions and yards, but Sterling Shepard notching the most targets. Outside of Evans and Shepard, Bucky Irving was the only other player with more than one reception as 11 different Bucs caught a pass.

It really wasn’t too noteworthy for the passing game in Week 12, as it was the run game finishing things off in drives.

Let me tell you, it was a DAY for the Tampa running game though… which feels weird to say since it’s consistently been one of the worst running games in the NFL for the last half-decade. But including Mayfield, anybody who had a rushing attempt in Week 12 scored a touchdown on the ground. That means Irving, Rachaad White, and Sean Tucker, who took on a goal-line role with a one-yard touchdown and then had another attempt from the one-yard line and fumbled.

 

Tennessee Titans

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Calvin Ridley WR 6 5 93 0 37.4% 94.1% 79.1% 13.2 27.3% 27.8% 18.8% 2.91 14.3 WR20
Tyler Boyd WR 5 6 55 0 7.5% 67.6% 56.7% 3.2 22.7% 27.8% 21.7% 2.39 11.5 WR30
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR 5 2 48 1 54.7% 97.1% 89.6% 23.2 22.7% 27.8% 15.2% 1.45 12.8 WR24
Bryce Oliver WR 8.8% 14.9% 0.0 WR98
Chig Okonkwo TE 1 1 70 1 4.2% 70.6% 76.1% 9.0 4.5% 5.6% 4.2% 2.92 14.0 TE10
Josh Whyle TE 26.5% 32.8% 0.0 TE46
Nick Vannett TE 26.5% 46.3% 0.0 TE46
Tony Pollard RB 4 3 10 0 -3.4% 94.1% 94.0% -1.8 18.2% 11.1% 12.5% 0.31 21.9 RB5
Julius Chestnut RB 1 1 2 0 -0.5% 2.9% 3.0% -1.0 4.5% 0.0% 100.0% 2.00 1.5 RB52

Titans Notes From Week 12:

You know, Will Levis IS playing better. Perhaps we COULD start more Titans in our fantasy lineups besides Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard?

Well, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is a candidate, as he’s scored a touchdown in six of his last seven games. However, in those six games with a touchdown, he has more than two receptions just ONCE. Not great. The very definition of a touchdown merchant that you can’t depend on because he doesn’t earn targets.

What about Tyler Boyd? He just doesn’t run enough routes anymore and there’s not enough production. His Week 12 was actually his best fantasy production of the season.

Chig Okonkwo, SURELY, right? Okonkwo doesn’t have a game over six targets and four receptions, but he made his presence felt last week against the Texans with his sole catch being a 70-yard touchdown. It’s hard to make a season-long determination based on one catch, but Okonkwo saw 70% or better routes per dropback for only the third time this season. We’ve known that Okonkwo has been incredibly efficient throughout his career and Week 12 is a good example.

So, to answer, it’s just Ridley and Pollard we’re starting in fantasy. With no Tyjae Spears, the Pollard train just keeps rolling with 129 total yards and a touchdown on 94% snaps and 94% routes. He’s out there on virtually every play. That’s a #good thing.

 

Washington Commanders

 

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Terry McLaurin WR 6 5 102 1 25.4% 84.1% 81.4% 14.0 17.6% 20.0% 16.2% 2.76 21.2 WR8
Dyami Brown WR 2 2 22 0 4.5% 36.4% 34.3% 7.5 5.9% 6.7% 12.5% 1.38 5.6 WR59
Luke McCaffrey WR 2 1 8 0 16.3% 36.4% 25.7% 27.0 5.9% 3.3% 12.5% 0.50 1.8 WR83
Olamide Zaccheaus WR 1 1 8 0 0.9% 31.8% 34.3% 3.0 2.9% 3.3% 7.1% 0.57 1.8 WR83
Noah Brown WR 9 6 71 0 31.6% 81.8% 72.9% 11.6 26.5% 26.7% 25.0% 1.97 13.1 WR23
Zach Ertz TE 8 6 38 1 21.3% 90.9% 75.7% 8.8 23.5% 26.7% 20.0% 0.95 15.8 TE7
Ben Sinnott TE 15.9% 30.0% 0.0 TE46
John Bates TE 1 1 13 0 3.0% 18.2% 41.4% 10.0 2.9% 3.3% 12.5% 1.63 0.3 TE45
Brian Robinson Jr. RB 2 1 11 0 0.0% 9.1% 17.1% 0.0 5.9% 3.3% 50.0% 2.75 3.4 RB42
Austin Ekeler RB 3 2 2 0 -3.0% 52.3% 62.9% -3.3 8.8% 6.7% 13.0% 0.09 4.4 RB33
Jeremy McNichols RB 20.5% 24.3% 2.2 RB49

Commanders Notes From Week 12:

Outside of Terry McLaurin being pretty excellent on a longer aDOT than we’ve seen because of Jayden Daniels’ rib issues, we haven’t gotten much out of the passing game until a pretty furious fourth quarter in Week 12. Zach Ertz earned targets, caught them and fell down in classic Ertz fashion. Nobody else caught more than two balls.

I’ve felt like I’ve written ad nauseum about the everlasting search for the Commanders’ WR2, but the answer for weeks has been Noah Brown. Since Brown catching his only touchdown on the improbable Hail Mary that gave the Commanders a big win in Week 8, Brown has ran 82% of routes per dropback and averaged just over six targets per game in that five-week span.

Brown has cleared the junk pile of deep threats, also-rans, and never-weres as Brown has been the only wide receiver on the Washington roster that’s earned targets consistently in his career. He’s still out there in a bunch of leagues, so go grab him for cheap target-earning upside.

With Brian Robinson and Austin Ekeler leaving the game in Week 12, Jeremy McNichols becomes relevant for a Commanders team that is suddenly reeling a bit. Robinson picked up an ankle injury, left, came back, and then left for good toward the end of the first half. The run game was pretty unimpressive no matter who was in there, quite frankly.



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