X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Dolphins vs. Rams MNF Showdown (Week 10)

Puka Nacua - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a Monday Night Football showdown which, on paper, looks like it’s going to be a shootout. Tua Tagovailoa (2-6) and the Miami Dolphins are headed out west to take on Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams (4-4). Both teams are looking to take a step forward and while the Rams have already begun turning the corner, Miami is looking to do so, and fast.

We have been pretty successful so far with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. Thanks to today's advanced analytics, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season, gang!

I will provide you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Dolphins vs. Rams NFL DFS showdown slate on November 11. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter/X @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts whenever you'd like!

 

MVP/Captain Plays

Puka Nacua - WR, Los Angeles Rams - $13.5K (DK), $16.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 17 targets, 12 receptions, 152 receiving yards.
  • Opposing Defense DVOA vs. WR2: -8.7%

I’ll start this slate off with Puka Nacua. After Nacua’s impressive season debut against the Vikings in Week 8, he had a quiet Week 9, catching just one of his four targets for 11 yards. This changes tonight, in my opinion. Despite the negative DVOA against “WR2s”, Miami struggles against top receivers in opposing offenses. 

My model projects Nacua to catch 6.4 of 9.53 targets for 77.3 yards and 0.47 touchdowns. Despite the negative DVOA against “WR2s”, Miami struggles against top receivers in opposing offenses. As Nacua and Cooper Kupp are more a "1A and 1B" receiving combination than a "one and two" combination, it's worth noting that the Dolphins have a 30.4% defensive DVOA against "number one receivers". 

De'Von Achane - RB, Miami Dolphins - $14.1K (DK), $15.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 93 rushing attempts, 420 rushing yards, 42 targets, 37 receptions, 302 receiving yards, five touchdowns. 
  • Projected Rush DVOA: -1.95%

I’ll flip the field and take a look at De’Von Achane next. Despite his price tag, I feel we get a steal with Achane nearly every week due to his “dual-threat” ability as a fantasy player. Achane benefits in a matchup against a Rams defense that has not only struggled to stop the run but also ranks dead last in the NFL against running backs in the passing game (39.2%). 

My model projects Achane to run the ball 11.58 times for 52.61 yards while adding just over five receptions on 6.45 targets for 43.67 yards and 0.58 total touchdowns.  I think he’s a bit under-projected, as I believe this game could go back and forth for four quarters. 

Other Captains/MVPs: Kyren Williams, Tyreek Hill, Jonnu Smith, Cooper Kupp

 

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners. A valued RotoBaller Premium subscriber won half a MILLION dollars in Week 3! Join in on the winning and get your edge with our NFL Premium Pass, which includes our exclusive DFS Cheat Sheets, the #1 Lineup Optimizer, and access to our VIP Chatrooms. RotoBaller's Premium Pass comes with a 100% money-back guarantee. Gain access now!

this is my community.. this is my family.. without them this would not happen @WinDailySports @RotoBaller@BaronZito973 @mb_guruDFS #OTC there are others and you know who you are and I love you all for the help! pic.twitter.com/psRCDbCqqL

— Scott (@scottd923) September 25, 2023

 

DFS Flex Plays

Kyren Williams - RB, Los Angeles Rams - $10.8K (DK), $13.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 161 rushing attempts, 601 rushing yards, 25 targets, 20 receptions, 116 receiving yards, ten touchdowns.
  • Projected Rush DVOA: 5.05%

I’ll look at a running back and a receiver from the opposite side of the field in my flex spots, starting with Kyren Williams. With running backs like Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry seemingly grabbing major media headlines week after week, Williams’ campaign has gone under the radar. Williams has been a workhorse for the Rams lately, with 20+ rushing attempts in five of his last six starts. 

Tonight, my model projects Williams to run the ball 17.23 times for 81.76 yards, adding 2.09 receptions on 3.24 targets for 16.5 yards and 1.01 total touchdowns. While he’s projected a slight dip in touches relative to his season averages, I think he’ll be more efficient with those touches against a 27th-ranked Miami run defense. 

Jaylen Waddle - WR, Miami Dolphins - $6.6K (DK), $12.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 38 targets, 28 receptions, 310 receiving yards, one touchdown.
  • Opposing DVOA vs WR2: 13.4%

I’ll take a look at Jaylen Waddle next. As a guy with Waddle shares in season-long fantasy leagues, I feel very strongly about how his 2024 season has gone so far, as he’s eclipsed 10 PPR points just once this season. This is, of course, hardly Waddle's fault, but I and many others hope to see a mid-season turnaround out of the Alabama product. 

Waddle projects 5.18 receptions on 7.14 targets for 68.09 yards and 0.35 touchdowns tonight. He draws the best matchup among all receivers for Miami, and as he continues to re-establish his connection with Tua Tagovailoa, he’s inevitably due for a breakout game. 

Other Flex Options: Tyreek Hill, Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp

 

DFS Value Plays

Jonnu Smith - TE, Miami Dolphins - $4.4K (DK), $7.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 40 targets, 30 receptions, 302 receiving yards, one touchdown.
  • Opposing DVOA vs TE: 12.1%

Speaking of Dolphins' pass-catchers in great matchups, we’ll look at Jonnu Smith. Smith has seen consistent targets in each of the two games since Tua Tagovailoa returned from injury, with six targets in each game. Now, he'll take on a Rams defense that ranks 24th in DVOA against tight ends. 

Teams have been targeting this hole in the Los Angeles defense lately, as the Rams have allowed nine targets per game to the position across their last four games. My model projects Smith to see just 5.07 targets tonight, catching 4.11 for 41.7 yards and 0.28 touchdowns. 

Colby Parkinson - TE, Los Angeles Rams - $3.4K (DK), $7.5K (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2024 Stats: 38 targets, 23 receptions, 214 receiving yards.
  • Opposing DVOA vs TE: -11.2%

I’ll wrap things up by doubling up on the tight end position with Colby Parkinson. After strong signs early on in the season, particularly while the Rams were without Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Parkinson’s production has halted. He’s seen just four targets in the last three weeks, including going target-less in the Rams’ Week 9 matchup against Seattle. 

Ironically, while I mentioned that the Rams have allowed nine targets per game to the position, tight ends have been just as active against Miami, logging 10.33 targets per game over Miami’s last four games. My model projects Parkinson to see 2.99 targets tonight, catching 2.56 for 25.47 yards and 0.17 touchdowns. He’s a touchdown-or-bust type of play, but I’m comfortably rounding up my lineups with him. 

Other Value Plays: Jason Sanders, Tutu Atwell, Odell Beckham Jr. 

Enjoy your week, and good luck, everyone!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chandler Stephenson19 mins ago

Registers Three Assists Versus Predators
Jason Robertson29 mins ago

Totals Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Nils Lundkvist41 mins ago

Exits Early With A Lower-Body Injury
Matthew Knies48 mins ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Mikael Granlund56 mins ago

Exits Late With Injury Wednesday
Patrik Laine1 hour ago

Returns To Practice
Ausar Thompson1 hour ago

Listed As Doubtful For Thursday
Walker Kessler1 hour ago

Still Missing For Jazz
Jordan Clarkson2 hours ago

Questionable To Face Spurs
Devin Vassell2 hours ago

To Miss Third Consecutive Game
Chris Paul2 hours ago

Considered Probable For Thursday's Game
Khris Middleton2 hours ago

Medically Cleared To Play
MLB11 hours ago

Roki Sasaki Expected To Be Part Of 2025 International Class
Jahmai Jones12 hours ago

Tigers Sign Jahmai Jones To Minor-League Deal
Nate Eaton12 hours ago

Signs Minors Deal With Boston
Seth Brown12 hours ago

Avoids Arbitration With A's
Chris Sale12 hours ago

Wins National League Cy Young Award
Tarik Skubal12 hours ago

Wins 2024 American League Cy Young Award
Paul George13 hours ago

Exits Game On Wednesday, Hyperextends Left Knee Again
Matt Thaiss13 hours ago

Cubs Acquire Matt Thaiss From Angels
Scoot Henderson13 hours ago

Leaves Game On Wednesday, Won't Return
Jalen Johnson14 hours ago

Active On Wednesday Night
Zach Collins14 hours ago

Uncertain To Play On Thursday
Austin Eckroat14 hours ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English14 hours ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin14 hours ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy14 hours ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Patrick Williams14 hours ago

Likely To Miss At Least One Week
Kyle Anderson14 hours ago

Available For Matchup With Hawks
Victor Wembanyama14 hours ago

Out Again On Thursday
Jusuf Nurkic15 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Stephen Curry15 hours ago

Will Play Against Atlanta
De'Anthony Melton15 hours ago

To Undergo Season-Ending ACL Surgery
Tre Mann15 hours ago

Probable For Thursday Night Matchup Against Detroit
Mike Conley15 hours ago

Appears On Injury Report For Thursday With Toe Injury
Donte DiVincenzo15 hours ago

Questionable Heading Into Thursday
Josh Jacobs15 hours ago

Limited With Multiple Injuries
DeVonta Smith15 hours ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein15 hours ago

To Make Season Debut On Wednesday
Tyrese Maxey16 hours ago

Active On Wednesday
Seth Jones17 hours ago

Expected To Miss Four Weeks
Sam Darnold17 hours ago

Limited With Foot Injury
Max Domi17 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Jalen Hurts18 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Connor Ingram18 hours ago

Out Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Jake Ferguson18 hours ago

Picks Up A DNP On Wednesday
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen18 hours ago

Returns To Action Versus Kings
CeeDee Lamb18 hours ago

Listed As Limited, Dealing With Two Injuries
Alex Tuch18 hours ago

Available Wednesday
Tage Thompson18 hours ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Sam LaPorta18 hours ago

Practicing In Full
Jordan Eberle18 hours ago

To Remain Out On Wednesday
George Kittle18 hours ago

Will Play In Week 12
Ludvig Aberg18 hours ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Ladd McConkey18 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Si Woo Kim18 hours ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy18 hours ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
Eric Cole18 hours ago

Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
San Francisco 49ers19 hours ago

Nick Bosa Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey19 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
George Kittle19 hours ago

Limited During Wednesday's Practice
Brock Purdy19 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Alexander Mattison20 hours ago

Zamir White Not Practicing On Wednesday
Sam LaPorta20 hours ago

Trending Towards Playing In Week 12
Matt Krook21 hours ago

A's Sign Matt Krook, Jason Alexander
Trenton Brooks21 hours ago

Signs Minors Deal With Padres
Jacob Stallings21 hours ago

Rockies Re-Sign Jacob Stallings
21 hours ago

Patrick Wisdom Pushed Off 40-Man Roster
Eli Morgan21 hours ago

Cubs Acquire Eli Morgan From Guardians
Calvin Ridley22 hours ago

Out Wednesday With Illness
Isiah Pacheco22 hours ago

To Practice On Wednesday
D'Andre Swift22 hours ago

Won't Practice On Wednesday
Brandin Cooks23 hours ago

Cowboys Open Brandin Cooks' Practice Window
Mike Evans23 hours ago

Practicing Again On Wednesday
Connor Bedard1 day ago

Ends Drought With Two Assists
Sam Reinhart1 day ago

Pushes Point Streak To 11 Games
Mark Scheifele1 day ago

Celebrates Ninth Career Hat Trick
Evan Bouchard1 day ago

Rocks Senators With Three-Point Period
Connor McDavid1 day ago

Nets Two Goals During Three-Point Night
TB1 day ago

Nicholas Paul Exits Early With Injury Tuesday
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Sits Out Third Period Versus Senators
Austin Shenton1 day ago

Mariners Acquire Austin Shenton From Rays
1 day ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers1 day ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
Caleb Durbin2 days ago

Yankees Protect Caleb Durbin From Rule 5 Draft
Tink Hence2 days ago

Cardinals Add Tink Hence To 40-Man Roster
Jonas Brodin2 days ago

Returns To Action
Owen Caissie2 days ago

Cubs Protect Owen Caissie From Rule 5 Draft
2 days ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Jose Siri2 days ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
Jake Ferguson2 days ago

"Will Be Hard-Pressed" To Play In Week 12
2 days ago

Cubs Likely To Designate Adbert Alzolay For Assignment
Charles Oliveira3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler3 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva3 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy3 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
James Llontop4 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig4 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal4 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic4 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss
Jon Jones4 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 309 To Defend Heavyweight Title

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Jonnu Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

TNF Tight End Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 12 Thursday TE Updates for George Kittle, David Njoku, Will Dissly, Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry

In most leagues, only three weeks of the fantasy football regular season remain. If you desperately need a win to clinch a first-round bye or quality for the playoffs, use our Week 12 TNF fantasy football tight end rankings to help you with tough start-or-sit calls at the challenging TE spot. Ahead of the critical Week […]


Tommy DeVito- Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Not All Heroes...Play On Good Teams - Giants, Patriots, and Cowboys Fantasy Football Outlooks

It's well-known at this point that good offenses can help their players light up the scoreboards in fantasy football leagues. The mantra "trust in good players on good offenses" rings true, and some of the best seasons in fantasy football history have been aided by things like good playcalling and a good supporting cast. The […]


Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

TNF Quarterback Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 12 Thursday QB Updates for Anthony Richardson, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Bo Nix, C.J. Stroud

It's a critical week for fantasy football, as the playoffs are just around the corner. If you need help to nail your optimal lineups this week, our Week 12 TNF fantasy football quarterback rankings for 2024 are here to assist. Ahead of the all-important Week 12 slate, let's navigate the rankings below and find out […]


Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Jaylen Waddle Fantasy Football Outlook - What's Wrong With Waddle?

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle was widely pushed as a potential league-winner in fantasy football in 2024 due to a variety of factors. The explosiveness and big-play ability of the Dolphins offense, the good play of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, and his talent were a few of them. It's not worked out that way. It's […]


Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Running Backs

Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Week 12 Updates for Isiah Pacheco, Tyreek Hill, Jalen Hurts, CeeDee Lamb, Jalen Hurts, George Kittle, Calvin Ridley, more

Week 12 of the NFL's 2024 slate is coming up, and as the fantasy football playoffs draw closer, it's becoming more important than ever to stay ahead of injury news for key players. Leaving a hurt player in your lineup can result in disaster. The author of this article missed out on the fantasy playoffs […]


Jauan Jennings - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Breakouts for Fantasy Football - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends for Week 12 (2024)

Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Fantasy Football Breakouts - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends Analysis For Week 12 by Kevin Tompkins Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent […]


Video: Week 12 Must-Start Wide Receivers - 2024 Fantasy Football Streamers, Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Analysis

As we head into Week 12 we're dealing with multiple teams on byes. Be prepared to navigate those challenges by checking out our favorite 2024 fantasy football must-start wide receivers for Week 12! RotoBaller's Matt Donnelly discusses his top "Must Start" WRs that will have a fantasy football impact in Week 12, as well as […]


George Pickens - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Steelers vs. Browns TNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Jameis Winston, Nick Chubb, David Njoku, Jerry Jeudy, Russell Wilson, Najee Harris, George Pickens

The Week 12 TNF game between two bitter AFC North rivals (Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers) is not likely to end up like the Thursday night game from two weeks ago when two different AFC North teams (Bengals and Ravens) battled to a 35-34 shootout. Somewhere deep in the charter of the Pittsburgh Steelers, I […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Free Week 12 NFL Betting Picks and Expert Predictions

Well, Week 11 turned out to be another week where we were just treading water. We nailed our Chargers moneyline pick as they got the job done against the Cincinnati Bengals. However, the Cleveland Browns let us down as they were completely destroyed by the New Orleans Saints. We dropped 1.02 units on that play […]


Brian Robinson Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings Running Backs, Waiver Wire Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Week 12 Targets and Avoids (2024)

Welcome to our NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season! There are so many different pools, fantasy leagues, weekly bets, and futures bets that it's hard to decide what to do with these choices. But survivor pools are the oldest and simplest leagues out there. All you have to do is […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade - Fantasy Football Week 12 (2024)

Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 12 of the 2024 fantasy football season. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. The data we access for offensive and defensive players continues to skyrocket. Though we mainly focus on offensive […]


Joe Mixon - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Rest-of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 12 Updates for Top 200 (2024)

We're nearing Thanksgiving and the holiday stretch run of the fantasy football season, which means y'all get an early present with an updated rest-of-season rankings chart! The action isn't stopping so we can't slow down our efforts to constantly re-assess the field. Join us in analyzing risers and fallers with our Week 12 fantasy football […]


Justin Herbert

High-Powered Offenses: Players to Target in Week 12 Lineups Including Justin Herbert, Jared Goff, Quentin Johnston, Austin Ekeler, Will Dissly, More

Hello, RotoBallers, and welcome to our column High-Powered Offenses for Week 12 of the 2024 fantasy football season. Below, you’ll find a recap of the last week's offenses to target, a sneak peek of the offenses to target, a breakdown of the methodology, a snapshot of each metric in a data table, a few key […]