Week 9 of the NFL season is in the books, and now we shift our focus to Week 10 and what value plays we can find on the main slate in DFS competitions.
In this weekly piece, I will examine some undervalued sneaky targets. By selecting these players, you will have more flexibility in other positions to secure a high-end player elsewhere in your lineup. No matter what competition you are playing in DFS, finding a budget player with a safe floor and room for upside is the recipe for success.
I will include the DraftKings (DK) and FanDuel (FD) prices for each player in the main slate competition. However, when discussing which players are valued, I will focus primarily on their DraftKings price compared to other players on that platform. Even though both platforms have a few minor differences in scoring, a value is usually playable on any format given their relation to other highly priced players at their position.
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Aaron Rodgers, NYJ at ARI | DK: $5.7K FD: $7.1K
Since losing to the Denver Broncos in Week 4, Aaron Rodgers has averaged 20.6 PPR points per game in Weeks 5 through 9. During this stretch, Rodgers has thrown at least two passing scores in all but one game and eclipsed 200 passing yards in each.
Aaron Rodgers to Davante Adams touchdown
Are the Jets BACK????pic.twitter.com/xVSvXdb2pz
— FirstSportz NFL (@FirstSportz_NFL) November 1, 2024
Rodgers is coming off his best outing of the season, throwing three scores and 211 yards in the victory over the Houston Texans. This weekend, he faces the Arizona Cardinals, who have struggled to defend the pass and have allowed the 13th-most points to opposing quarterbacks.
Justin Herbert, TEN at LAC | DK: $5.2K, FD: $6.9K
Over the past three weeks, Herbert has thrown for at least 275 passing yards in each game and averaged a solid 22.5 PPR points per game in this stretch. In addition, he has thrown at least two passing scores in each of his past two games and has attempted at least 30 passing attempts in all but one of his past three games.
Even though he faces a difficult matchup against the Tennessee Titans, seeing him perform well (22.3 PPR points) against a tough Cleveland defense last week could make Herbert a steal at his price. The Chargers are beginning to lean on their passing attack, which could set the Oregon product up for another successful afternoon.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Aaron Jones, MIN at JAX | DK: $6.7K, FD: $7.9K
While his price is quite hefty for a “value” play, in comparison to other top running backs on the slate, Jones is a screaming value. The 29-year-old has struggled over his past two games, averaging just 11.8 PPR points in each game and 61.0 rushing yards per game.
However, given how often he is on the field, he has an excellent opportunity to bounce back facing the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have allowed the third-most PPR points to opposing RBs this season. Jones has a top-5 upside this week and is being priced just inside the top-12 on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Najee Harris, PIT at WSH | DK: $6.2K, FD: $7.1K
Najee Harris has eclipsed the century mark in his past three games and will now face the Washington Commanders coming out of his bye week. During this span, the Alabama product has scored at least 16.0 PPR points in each game.
Najee Harris is out here looking like a professional hurdler 😳
via @NFL pic.twitter.com/EZMEk6PINq
— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) October 29, 2024
This past weekend, the Commanders allowed 99 rushing yards to Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary. The week before, D'Andre Swift tallied 129 yards against Washington. Harris could be in store for a productive afternoon against a defense that has been susceptible to the run as of late.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Jordan Addison, MIN at JAX | DK: $5.3K, FD: $6.6K
The sophomore wideout has been hard to trust this season. Still, he has a very favorable matchup this weekend against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have allowed the fourth-most PPR points to opposing wideouts.
Jordan Addison does not get the credit he deserves. pic.twitter.com/4JqIDUILI9
— Dom Cintorino (@domcinto_11) November 4, 2024
Last week, Addison caught all five of his targets for 42 yards and a score. Even though Justin Jefferson and Aaron Jones are the leaders of the Minnesota attack, Addison has a path to a spike week in a potentially high-scoring affair like this.
Jauan Jennings, SF at TB | DK: $5.1K, FD: $5.8K
Despite missing Weeks 7 and 8 with a hip issue, head coach Kyle Shanahan expressed confidence that Jennings should be expected to return in Week 10 to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
With Brandon Aiyuk (knee) sidelined, Jennings should be the No. 2 wideout for the remainder of the season. Jennings has enjoyed several productive outings this season, including a monster 175-yard performance.
Facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have struggled to defend the pass this season, Jennings could easily exceed his current price.
Ray-Ray McCloud III, ATL at NO | DK: $4.3K, FD: $5.9K
The 28-year-old could be in store for a busy week with Drake London (hip) currently listed as questionable. Last week, after London left in the opening quarter, McCloud found the end zone and brought in all three of his targets.
Throughout the season, McCloud has scored at least 9.0 PPR points in four games and averaged 5.0 targets per game. With increased opportunities and facing the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed the 11th-most PPR points to opposing receivers, it could open the door for a season-best performance.
Note: If London can play, McCloud will revert to his typical high-risk WR3 option. An alternative value play would be Noah Brown, WSH.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Hunter Henry, NE at CHI | DK: $3.9K, FD: $5.3K
Since Drake Maye took over in Week 6, Hunter Henry has seen an impressive 7.0 targets per game, scoring 13.1 PPR points in each game. Before Maye took the starting job, Henry averaged a mere 6.8 PPR points per game.
Henry has established himself as Maye’s go-to option, and facing the Chicago Bears, who have allowed the 14th-most PPR points to opposing tight ends, sets the veteran up for another strong showing.
T.J. Hockenson, MIN at JAX | DK: $4.7K, FD: $6.5K
The 27-year-old had a modest showing in his first game since suffering a torn ACL, as he brought in just three of his four targets for 27 yards.
Even though he is still being eased back into action from a severe injury, facing the Jacksonville Jaguars this weekend could be an excellent opportunity for him to return to his elite form.
The risk is there, but facing a defense that has struggled to stop opposing TEs (10th-most PPR points against) opens the door for a monster showing for the Iowa product.
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