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Tight Ends Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks - Outlooks and Trends For Week 7

Evan Engram - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

The tight-end position finally got some life this past weekend! The return of Evan Engram and David Njoku gave the position some juice. The trade of Davante Adams also makes Brock Bowers more appealing for the rest of the season. Trey McBride's peripherals continue to look very strong.

Fantasy managers should have some cautious optimism that the position will continue to get stronger in future weeks. Travis Kelce, due to the Rashee Rice injury, will look more and more like the player fantasy managers thought he was when they were drafting him. Jake Ferguson should also see some positive regression. It was ugly early, as was the entire state of the NFL's passing offense, but things have picked up in recent weeks, and several tight ends have benefited.

This week, we'll be looking at some advanced statistics to get a better read on how to value certain players. These stats are courtesy of FantasyPoints Data Suite, which can be found here. To take advantage of our great premium tools and save yourself some money, please use promo code "BOOM" to receive a 10% discount.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

 

Total Routes Run Leaders

Rank Player Total Routes
1 Tyler Conklin 183
2 Noah Fant 180
3 Dalton Schultz 176
4 Brock Bowers 162
5 Theo Johnson 158
6 Cade Otton 156
7 Hunter Henry 155
8 Colby Parkinson 153
9 Zach Ertz 153
10 Kyle Pitts 152
11 Jake Ferguson 152
12 Pat Freiermuth 144
13 George Kittle 138
14 Trey McBride 137
15 Travis Kelce 134
16 Tucker Kraft 129
17 Cole Kmet 128
18 Dalton Kincaid 124
19 Dallas Goedert 120
20 Mark Andrews 111

We were buying Tyler Conklin. We were. His placement on this rankings is impressive. He's been running a lot of routes. He's involved. The target competition in New York was nonexistent. That is no longer the case. Now, Conklin is fighting an impossible uphill climb. With Davante Adams in New York, along with Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard, Conklin can be ignored entirely.

Despite his impressive spot on this list, Fant is nothing more than a streamer. His situation is similar to Conklin's. He's competing for targets with DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett. That is a losing battle. However, with Seattle operating with one of the most neutral pass-heavy offenses, he can hit on the right week.

Theo Johnson can also be ignored. Malik Nabers and Wan'Dale Robinson command a large portion of the target share. With the Adams trade, Bowers should be viewed as the clear No. 1 tight end for the rest of the season. He's looking like one of, possibly the only difference-making, tight end.

Kelce is trending up with the Rashee Rice injury. Dalton Kincaid is trending down with the Amari Cooper trade. While we shouldn't expect his role to change, the target competition has gotten stiffer. Ferguson and McBride are great buy-low targets. Both of them are very high on this list despite having missed time.

 

Route Participation Leaders

Rank Player Route Participation Rate
1 Trey McBride 80.6%
2 Colby Parkinson 79.7%
3 George Kittle 77.1%
4 Travis Kelce 73.6%
5 Pat Freiermuth 73.5%
6 Tyler Conklin 73.2%
7 Hunter Henry 72.4%
8 Jake Ferguson 71.7%
9 Zach Ertz 71.2%
10 Cade Otton 70.6%
11 Dalton Schultz 69.8%
12 Kyle Pitts 69.4%
13 Evan Engram 69.1%
14 Brock Bowers 68.4%
15 Dalton Kincaid 66.7%
16 Dallas Goedert 65.9%
17 Sam LaPorta 65.7%
18 Theo Johnson 65.0%
19 Tucker Kraft 64.8%
20 Noah Fant 64.5%

Again, McBride and Ferguson show up as two massive buy-lows. Engram is another player to buy into fully. He's going to be another PPR monster this season. David Njoku doesn't show up because an 18-target minimum was used. With Amari Cooper now in Buffalo, Njoku becomes Cleveland's undisputed No. 1 target earner. While that may not have meant anything for Cooper, the bar for fantasy relevancy at tight end is much lower.

LaPorta's role isn't nearly as strong as it was last year. Henry is a tight end who fantasy managers should consider adding to their roster. Drake Maye looked very good in his first start. There were ups and downs, but he brought an upside to the New England passing game that hadn't been present before. He has a strong role inside the offense. His utilization numbers are strong, and the target competition is weak.

 

Total Target Leaders

Rank Player Total Targets
1 Brock Bowers 47
2 Trey McBride 38
3 George Kittle 34
4 Jake Ferguson 34
5 Colby Parkinson 31
6 Dalton Kincaid 30
7 Travis Kelce 30
8 Dallas Goedert 29
9 Cole Kmet 29
10 Dalton Schultz 29
11 Cade Otton 29
12 Tyler Conklin 28
13 Zach Ertz 27
14 Hunter Henry 26
15 Kyle Pitts 26
16 Isaiah Likely 25
17 Pat Freiermuth 25
18 Noah Fant 24
19 Tucker Kraft 24
20 Mike Gesicki 21

Buy McBride and Ferguson. They're top four in total targets, and they've missed time. You won't be disappointed. The fantasy points are coming. Fantasy managers should also buy Kmet and Dalton Schultz for at least the next three weeks. Kmet seems to have established himself as one of Caleb Williams's top 2-3 target earners. With the Chicago offense starting to click and the team having several plus matchups in the future, he's worth starting the next few weeks.

With Nico Collins out, Schultz is also worth a spot in your starting roster until he's back. Freiermuth could get a boost if the team moves to Russell Wilson. Justin Fields has played well because of what he can do with his legs, but his passing game still has limitations. He's another one to buy or at least add and stash.

 

Target Share Leaders

Rank Player Target Share
1 Trey McBride 25.7%
2 Evan Engram 24.6%
3 Brock Bowers 22.2%
4 George Kittle 21.9%
5 Dalton Kincaid 18.9%
6 Travis Kelce 18.8%
7 Dallas Goedert 18.5%
8 Colby Parkinson 17.6%
9 Jake Ferguson 17.3%
10 Zach Ertz 16.6%
11 Pat Freiermuth 15.5%
12 Cade Otton 15.3%
13 Hunter Henry 14.8%
14 Cole Kmet 14.6%
15 Isaiah Likely 14.1%
16 David Njoku 13.4%
17 Tucker Kraft 13.3%
18 Dalton Schultz 13.1%
19 Jonnu Smith 13.0%
20 Kyle Pitts 12.5%

Once again, Trey McBride. It is coming. I promise. Engram is going to have a repeat of last season, especially if Christian Kirk were to be moved before the deadline. He's a buy. Kincaid's target share looks strong, but it's fair to wonder what happens with Amari Cooper in Buffalo. His value has undoubtedly dropped with the trade, so there's nothing to do but hold and hope he still maintains some value.

Parkinson looks good in all these tables, but we have to ask, is he good? Realistically, the answer is probably not. That limits his ceiling despite being one of the best roles for any fantasy football tight end. He'll pop a few weeks because of the opportunity and because Matthew Stafford is still good, but don't expect top-5 numbers despite him having the role for it.

Fantasy managers are overreacting to Kraft and Likely. This is especially true for Likely. Ignore the two-touchdown performance from the other week. Njoku's target share should skyrocket with Cooper now in Buffalo.

 

Target Rate Leaders

Rank Player Target Rate
1 Brock Bowers 29%
2 Trey McBride 28%
3 Jonnu Smith 27%
4 George Kittle 25%
5 Dalton Kincaid 24%
6 Dallas Goedert 24%
7 Isaiah Likely 23%
8 Cole Kmet 23%
9 Travis Kelce 22%
10 Jake Ferguson 22%
11 Colby Parkinson 20%
12 Mike Gesicki 19%
13 Tucker Kraft 19%
14 Cade Otton 19%
15 Zach Ertz 18%
16 Pat Freiermuth 17%
17 Kyle Pitts 17%
18 Hunter Henry 17%
19 Dalton Schultz 16%
20 Mark Andrews 16%

Don't overrate Jonnu Smith's placement on this list; at least not use Tua Tagovailoa, which is back under the center. Bowers, McBride, Ferguson, Kittle, Kelce, Njoku, and Engram are your clear top-7 tight ends for the rest of the season. There's a significant drop-off after these players. And no, LaPorta is not a part of that group.

 

Yards Per Route Run Leaders

Rank Player YPRR
1 Dallas Goedert 2.51
2 Brock Bowers 2.37
3 Cole Kmet 2.26
4 George Kittle 2.05
5 Trey McBride 1.98
6 Isaiah Likely 1.90
7 Jonnu Smith 1.79
8 Tucker Kraft 1.79
9 Dalton Kincaid 1.75
10 Kyle Pitts 1.73
11 Travis Kelce 1.70
12 Mark Andrews 1.68
13 Mike Gesicki 1.62
14 Jake Ferguson 1.58
15 Zach Ertz 1.49
16 Hunter Henry 1.43
17 Pat Freiermuth 1.36
18 Noah Fant 1.10
19 Colby Parkinson 1.08
20 Cade Otton 1.04

Parkinson and Otton are probably not good, and they won't be able to take advantage of their fantasy-friendly role.

 

Expected Half-PPR PPG Leaders

Rank Player Expected Half-PPR PPG Half-PPR PPG Difference
1 George Kittle 14.1 14.5 0.4
2 Brock Bowers 13.4 10.7 -2.7
3 Trey McBride 12.2 9.4 -2.8
4 Jake Ferguson 12 7.3 -4.7
5 Evan Engram 11.3 7.1 -4.2
6 Colby Parkinson 10.9 5.2 -5.7
7 Travis Kelce 10.4 7.0 -3.4
8 Zach Ertz 9.6 5.9 -3.7
9 Dallas Goedert 9.1 8.4 -0.7
10 Cole Kmet 9.0 10.0 1.0
11 Dalton Kincaid 8.7 6.4 -2.3
12 Dalton Schultz 8.5 3.9 -4.6
13 Cade Otton 8.1 4.9 -3.2
14 Tyler Conklin 7.9 4.8 -3.1
15 Kyle Pitts 7.8 6.9 -0.9
16 Isaiah Likely 7.3 8.0 0.7
17 Hunter Henry 7.1 6.3 -0.8
18 Noah Fant 7.0 5.0 -2.0
19 Pat Freiermuth 6.7 5.9 -0.8
20 Tucker Kraft 6.7 8.4 1.7
21 Jonnu Smith 6.4 4.2 -2.2
22 Sam LaPorta 5.3 6.5 1.2



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