LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2024 Chicago

We have reached the final individual event of the 2024 LIV season. This week the players head to Bolingbrook Golf Club, located 30 miles from downtown Chicago. The race for the individual season champion is down to two men, Jon Rahm and Joaquin Niemann. Tyrell Hatton, Cam Smith, Sergio Garcia, Louis Oosthuizen and Brooks Koepka have been mathematically eliminated from the season title, but all have an opportunity to finish on the podium for the season.

There is also the storyline about the drop zone. Team members ranked 49^th or below in points after Chicago will face relegation unless they play their way back in through the LIV Golf Promotions tournament. Scott Vincent, Keiran Vincent, Branden Grace, Bubba Watson, Kalle Samooja, Hudson Swafford and Anthony Kim are all currently in the drop zone. Pat Perez is one spot above in 48^th place. However, Bubba Watson cannot be relegated due to his captain status and Anthony Kim and Hudson Swafford are technically Wild Card players.

The event will be played Friday-Sunday and will air on the CW Network in 100% of U.S. markets, as well as the CW App and LIV Golf Plus. Globally, the event will be broadcast in over 160 international territories Live and On-Demand, free of charge, via LIV Golf Plus.

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LIV Golf Chicago Course Breakdown

Below is the official round one scorecard provided by LIV Golf.

Hole	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Out
Par	4	4	5	3	4	3	4	4	4	35
Yardage	529	396	562	231	400	156	440	482	457	3653
Hole	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	In
Par	4	4	4	3	5	4	4	3	4	35
Yardage	430	434	494	154	600	342	408	173	443	3478

Bolingbrook Golf Club was designed by Arthur Hills and opened in 2002. Hills re-designed an old cornfield in his creation Bolingbrook, moving more than 2.4 million cubic yards of earth according to a Golftime magazine feature back in 2012. Bolingbrook is a links-style layout with seven lakes spread throughout the course. The two signature holes are the island green on 15 and the 600-yard par five that players will face on hole five.

My initial reaction of water being featured on thirteen holes, along with thick links-style rough, was to focus on accuracy off the tee. However, diving deeper into the hole-by-hole breakdown, the water is easily avoidable on almost all thirteen. The front nine features fairly wide fairways and landing areas and even as the fairways get narrower on the finishing stretch, there is an obvious landing area to avoid taking on the water.

The course will play 7,131 yards, with four par-fours over 450 yards and a 600-yard par five. I don’t anticipate distance being a requirement to win this week, but it will certainly help on nearly a third of the holes. As noted above, the misses have to be pretty severe to get into any real trouble and a majority of fairways are pretty wide. However, I do predict a birdie fest this week, meaning that players playing out of the fairway will have better opportunity to score than those that miss fairways.

In 2021, Bolingbrook hosted a PGA Forme Tour event. This event was won by Mac Meissner at -21. Nine players shot -13 or better on the week. This tournament was four rounds as opposed to the three rounds played on LIV, however, I see winning scores this week getting into the -17/18 range.

 

LIV Golf Betting Odds - Chicago

Below are the current odds of winning, as presented by BetUS. Odds on different sportsbooks are subject to change.

 

LIV Golf Betting Strategy & Selections - Chicago 

 

Sergio Garcia +1800 (FanDuel)

What a year it has been for Garcia, who has four top-five finishes in twelve starts, including a win in Andalucia. He ranks inside the top-five on the season in fairways and Greens in Regulation percentage, meaning he should be setting himself with plenty of birdie looks this week. Sergio is fourth in the individual player standings heading into this final event and will be looking for a strong finish so that he can end up on the podium in the season long individual standings.

Consistency is the key to this game and so many other things in life. Going for 3rd in individual standings. Let’s go!!!!! pic.twitter.com/zPdvHHyRgq

— Sergio Garcia (@TheSergioGarcia) September 8, 2024

Just as important for Garcia is getting himself and his team ready for the team final next week in Dallas. The Fireballs are currently sixth in the team standings and will not receive a day one bye in the team final. That said, a good finish could catapult them into a spot of getting to face the opponent of their choosing on day one. In speaking with Sergio’s wife Angela last summer, I know that Sergio absolutely loves the team element of LIV and wants nothing more than to win with the Fireballs.

 

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

I’ve been chasing a Paul Casey victory all year and he certainly has come close. Casey has finished T9 of better five times this season, including a runner-up and two other top-five finishes. Statistically he ranks fifth in fairway percentage, second in Greens in Regulation percentage and eighth in total birdies on the year. It’s been a phenomenal year for the Englishman, he just hasn’t been able to close the door in one of these events.

Challenging pro golfers to birdie with only one club 😮 pic.twitter.com/01TuGbwVNd

— Crushers GC (@Crushers_GC) August 31, 2024

The Crushers currently sit in first place in the season long standings and would love to wrap up the season with the number one overall seed heading to the team championship. They are neck and neck with Legion XIII so all members of the team will have to be dialed in. I fully expect Casey to be ready to go this week and continue his season of great play.

 

Peter Uihlein +8000

Peter Uihlein is 29^th in the season long standings but is coming into LIV Chicago with back-to-back top-20 finishes. On top of Uihlein’s recent LIV finishes, he has also had success outside of LIV. In between LIV UK and LIV Greenbrier, Uihlein competed and won on the Asian Tour at the International Series England event. It appears that the 35-year-old has found his game again. He ranked 12^th in the 2023 season long standings and 3^rd in the 2022 season long standings.

A 🧵 on this week's Asian Tour event:

Congrats to Peter Uihlein who played some great golf. From his first tee shot of the event (see below) he looked strong off the tee and that was his strength. He said that he "bullied" the course and that was very much what he did. pic.twitter.com/49EJCzd9NB

— Golf Betting Club (@golfbettingclub) August 12, 2024

Is there something about Chicago and Uihlein? The LIV Chicago event was held at a different venue in the past two years, but Uihlein was near the top of the leaderboard in both. The veteran finished T5 last season and T2 in 2022. With past success in this region and a good recent stretch of golf, Uihlein is worth a shot this far down the board.

 

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