BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~242 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~254
ANALYSIS: A running back coming off a torn ACL is never an ideal draft pick. However, getting him with potentially your last or in the final rounds of your draft is a low-risk investment, especially if you are in a long with an injured reserve slot or two that you can stash Mitchell on and pick up another player.
When healthy in his rookie campaign, Mitchell showed incredible upside. He posted a 5.6 average yards after contact and a 31.9% broken tackle rate (per PFF), among the best at his position, albeit a smaller sample size.
Over a six-game stretch where he averaged 21 snaps per game, Mitchell tallied 8.4 yards per carry and just under 11 yards per reception.
Keaton Mitchell WILL MISS significant time in 2024 but his Efficiency & Upside are off the charts
💥8.4 YPC ties Vick for Best ALL-Time
💥1.24 Fantasy Pts/Touch (2nd)
💥5.9 Yards After Contact (1st)Stash w Upside & Must Add in Dynasty #Ravensflock pic.twitter.com/SOzwpO8OqX https://t.co/7JKyuQF6Fc
— Dynasty Dad (@DynastyDadFF) July 22, 2024
This was highlighted by a noteworthy 138-yard rushing game against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 9.
While the Ravens did bring in Derrick Henry this offseason, the Ravens could opt to take the load off the King before the playoffs. Mitchell should also have completed his recovery process by then, which could open the door for him to be a league winner.
Mitchell will likely start the season on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list and will miss a minimum of 4 games. While it may be frustrating to keep him on your bench during the early part of the season, take a chance on the upside, especially when the other running backs sharing a similar ADP are Clyde Edwards-Helaire and AJ Dillon, who have never shown the potential to be a consistent fantasy produce every week.
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