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Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for May 3, 2024

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Today's free MLB prop betting picks for Friday, May 3, 2024. Use John Brubaker's top baseball prop picks and MLB prop bet recommendations to win money on sports books.

We have a strong Friday slate on tap with an abundance of prop picks to select from. In this article, I will break down several plays that are worth taking a shot on. I will be here each and every Friday and Sunday throughout the season to break down pitcher and hitter props.

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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Friday, May 3, 2024. If you ever want to chat about any MLB bets, you can find me on X @LucidMediaDFS

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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Yusei Kikuchi OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (-146, FanDuel)

I'll start today's slate with a strikeout play in our Nation's Capitol. Kikuchi has made six starts this season, though he's cleared this number only three times. He'll take on a Nationals lineup that lies in the middle of the pack in strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers at a 21.3% clip. Kikuchi brings in just a 14% strikeout rate over the last two weeks, but his 2024 numbers hover around the 27% mark. My model projects him to grab 6.15 strikeouts in this one, though. This number is at 5.5 on most books, but I'll grab it at the 4.5 number, which we can get on FanDuel.

Hunter Greene OVER 6.5 Strikeouts (-146, FanDuel)

I'll look at a second strikeout prop next, this time from a guy whom I faced personally back in summer 2013. Hunter Greene was only throwing in the lower-to-mid 80s back then, which doesn't sound as impressive until you realize he was only 13 years old. Similar to Kikuchi, Greene has made six starts this season and has cleared this number in half of them. However, in the three starts he went under, he logged six strikeouts. His 28.7% strikeout rate over the first month of the season blends well with an Orioles lineup that has struck out 25% of the time over the last seven days. My model projects Greene to log 7.23 strikeouts tonight, which I believe is good value at this number.

Tanner Houck UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed (-145, BetMGM)

I'll wrap things up on the pitcher side today with Tanner Houck. It's a bit of strength against strength here, as Houck has had a great start to the season, but the Twins have been soaring over the last two weeks. I'll back Houck here, given his projected 2.72 xFIP coming into today's game. The Twins project to regress off of their last 14 days' numbers when it comes to wOBA, from .378 down to .313 against the righty. My model projects Houck to 4.99 hits allowed tonight.

 

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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Ozzie Albies OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+120, DraftKings)

We have a fun matchup out on the West Coast this evening, as the two favorites in the National League do battle. I'll look at one particular player here in Ozzie Albies. Albies had a short IL stint in the middle of April, but has since come back and has come back with a vengeance. Since the injury, Albies has logged at least two total bases in five of six games. He projects an impressive .465 wOBA against Gavin Stone, who projects to a 4.66 xFIP. My model has Albies totaling 2.09 total bases in this one.

Juan Soto OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-115, DraftKings)

I'll wrap things up today with Juan Soto and the Yankees. The Yankees will take on Reese Olson and the Tigers this afternoon. Olson has had an xFIP that's hovered around 4.00 all season, which isn't horrible, but I expect the Bronx Bombers to get to him today. Soto has cleared this number in 21 of 33 games this season, including seven of his last 10. He comes in 2-2 with a walk against Olson in his career, and my model projects him to 2.25 Hits + Runs + RBI in this one.



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Triston Casas

Diagnosed With Ruptured Left Patellar Tendon
Coby Mayo

Promoted To Major Leagues
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Scratched With Hand Inflammation
Clarke Schmidt

Scratched On Saturday With Side Soreness
Riley Greene

Makes History, Homers Twice In The Ninth Inning
Cal Raleigh

Slugs Two Homers, Collects Five RBI On Friday
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Hits Two More Homers, Cubs Trounce Brewers
Hunter Greene

Shuts Down Nationals, Fans 12 Over Six Innings Pitched
Triston Casas

At The Hospital, Expected To Be Out A While
Fernando Tatis Jr.

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Forearm
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Diagnosed With Ankle Sprain
Merrill Kelly

Exits Early With Trainer On Friday
Triston Casas

Injures Knee, Taken Off On Stretcher
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Exits Early On Friday After Hit-By-Pitch
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Leaves Early On Friday With Leg Injury
George Kirby

Mariners "Hopeful" They'll Have George Kirby In Late May
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

To Be Out "A While" With High-Grade Strain
Walker Buehler

Lands On Injured List
Corey Seager

Could Return This Weekend
Salvador Perez

Not Playing On Friday
Connor Wong

Activated From Injured List And Starting On Friday
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
11
11
18
12
19
13
20
14
23
15
25
16
33
17
36
18
39
19
Max Fried NYY
42

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF