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The 2023-24 NFL postseason begins on Saturday, and 14 teams have a shot at bringing home the Lombardi Trophy in February. As we know, not all playoff teams are created equal, and there are often massive disparities in betting odds between Super Bowl long shots and Super Bowl favorites.
Below, we'll dive into the lines and odds for each of the 14 playoff teams, break down their record, win or loss streak, and advanced stats, and hint at which team could be undervalued heading into Wild Card Weekend.
The odds listed in this article are via DraftKings Sportsbook on January 9, 2024. Let's get into it!
Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:- Quarterback fantasy football rankings
- Running back fantasy football rankings
- Wide receiver fantasy football rankings
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Top Contenders - Favorites
1. San Francisco 49ers (+220)
Regular Season Record: 12-5
Win/Loss Streak: L1
Off DVOA Rank: 1st
DEF DVOA Rank: 4th
The 49ers have been considered the best team in the NFL for much of the season, so by no surprise, they open the postseason as the favorite to win it all.
Christian McCaffrey MVP Race stats:
272 Carries
67 Receptions
2,023 Total Yards
21 Total TouchdownsCMC is currently 2nd in the MVP race. Will he be the first running back to win it since Adrian Peterson in 2012? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/KLiI7b8pn7
— NFL Retweet (@NFLRT) January 1, 2024
2. Baltimore Ravens (+310)
Regular Season Record: 13-4
Win/Loss Streak: L1
Off DVOA Rank: 4th
DEF DVOA Rank: 1st
Baltimore has been spectacular in the second half of the season, particularly on defense. However, the offense is still somehow underrated, and there's a chance Mark Andrews could return if the Ravens make a deep run.
Tier 2 Contenders - Next In Line
3. Buffalo Bills (+650)
Regular Season Record: 11-6
Win/Loss Streak: W5
Off DVOA Rank: 3rd
DEF DVOA Rank: 12th
Buffalo is arguably the hottest team in the NFL. Josh Allen is doing Josh Allen things, and Sean McDermott has the Bills' defense playing lights out as of late. Buffalo has struggled in the postseason lately due to a lack of secondary pass-catching options, so Dalton Kincaid could be an X-factor this year. Time will tell.
UNREAL touchdown catch from Trent Sherfield! 🤯 #BillsMafia
📺: NBC & Peacock pic.twitter.com/eXkLM3DgVH
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 8, 2024
4. Dallas Cowboys (+750)
Regular Season Record: 12-5
Win/Loss Streak: W2
Off DVOA Rank: 9th
DEF DVOA Rank: 5th
When Dallas is at home, they look unbeatable. In fact, they haven't lost in Jerry World this year, and they'll get to host playoff games in the Wild Card and Divisional Round.
5. Kansas City Chiefs (+1000)
Regular Season Record: 11-6
Win/Loss Streak: W2
Off DVOA Rank: 8th
DEF DVOA Rank: 7th
The Chiefs are having a "down year" at 11-6 and winners of the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are still calling the shots, so +1000 presents great value.
PACHECO WITH THE FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF CHRISTMAS 🔥
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/LrVdOIt4Zw
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) December 25, 2023
Tier 3 Contenders - Could Make A Run
T-6. Philadelphia Eagles (+1800)
Regular Season Record: 11-6
Win/Loss Streak: L2
Off DVOA Rank: 10th
DEF DVOA Rank: 29th
At one point, it looked like the 49ers and Eagles would surely square off the NFC Championship game. However, Philadelphia has lost five of the last six games. Stumbling into the postseason is never good, but a winnable matchup in Tampa Bay this weekend could turn things around.
T-6. Miami Dolphins (+1800)
Regular Season Record: 11-6
Win/Loss Streak: L2
Off DVOA Rank: 2nd
DEF DVOA Rank: 19th
The Dolphins have been the most exciting team to watch this season, but Miami is 1-5 against playoff teams and has scored an average of 17.7 points in those contests. Needless to say, a trip to Arrowhead Stadium in round one is concerning.
A TD and a flip for Tyreek 🐆
📺: #BUFvsMIA on NBC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/GqJJdyI3EW pic.twitter.com/eAuGoiW8in— NFL (@NFL) January 8, 2024
T-6 Detroit Lions (+1800)
Regular Season Record: 12-5
Win/Loss Streak: W1
Off DVOA Rank: 5th
DEF DVOA Rank: 13th
The Lions had a spectacular season and will host a playoff game for the first time since 1991. Their opponent? Former Lions franchise QB Matthew Stafford. This will be fun.
Tier 4 Contenders - Need Everything To Go Right
9. Cleveland Browns (+3000)
Regular Season Record: 11-6
Win/Loss Streak: L1
Off DVOA Rank: 28th
DEF DVOA Rank: 2nd
Cleveland's suffocating defense has gotten them this far. Does Joe Flacco have one more magical run in him? With a win on Saturday, Flacco will break the record for the most playoff wins on the road. Defense travels and Flacco is battle-tested, so Cleveland could be a Darkhorse pick to win it all.
JOE FLACCO. Amari Cooper. 75 YARD TD.
This duo is BALLING.
📺: #CLEvsHOU on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/UIg1XAjsX3 pic.twitter.com/r8HXAunSkr— NFL (@NFL) December 24, 2023
10. Los Angeles Rams (+4000)
Regular Season Record: 10-7
Win/Loss Streak: W4
Off DVOA Rank: 7th
DEF DVOA Rank: 22nd
The Rams have rebounded from a disastrous 2022 season. Sean McVay has led the team to seven wins in the last eight games. The last loss -- to Baltimore -- on the road -- in overtime. They've been that good.
11. Houston Texans (+5000)
Regular Season Record: 10-7
Win/Loss Streak: W2
Off DVOA Rank: 14th
DEF DVOA Rank: 16th
C.J. Stroud is the runaway favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, and DeMeco Ryans could win Coach of the Year. The rookie duo has the Texans as the most surprising division winner in 2023, but it'll be a tough road ahead with a struggling secondary and inexperienced QB.
Nico Collins running ANGRY 😡
📺: #HOUvsIND on ESPN/ABC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/C88VYpgzkh pic.twitter.com/xnTvMcZONa— NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024
Tier 5 Contenders - Need A Miracle
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6000)
Regular Season Record: 9-8
Win/Loss Streak: W1
Off DVOA Rank: 20th
DEF DVOA Rank: 14th
Tampa Bay doesn't do anything particularly well, but they don't have a ton of glaring weaknesses, either. Unfortunately, Baker Mayfield is banged up, and they need him to play his best to have a shot at escaping Wild Card Weekend with a "W".
13. Green Bay Packers (+9000)
Regular Season Record: 9-8
Win/Loss Streak: W3
Off DVOA Rank: 6th
DEF DVOA Rank: 27th
Jordan Love has exceeded expectations with over 30 passing touchdowns in his first full season as a starter. He brought the Packers to the playoffs, which is something Aaron Rodgers failed to do last year. However, Green Bay's defense will be a major issue against Dallas on Sunday.
Dontayvion Wicks puts the Packers ahead!
📺: #CHIvsGB on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/X0vcyHUoyR pic.twitter.com/Y1fZ4ntm17— NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024
14. Pittsburgh Steelers (+12000)
Regular Season Record: 10-7
Win/Loss Streak: W3
Off DVOA Rank: 15th
DEF DVOA Rank: 6th
Mike Tomlin has done it again. Bravo. But with Mason Rudolph under center and T.J. Watt ruled out of the game against the Buffalo Bills, this will be a quick exit for the historic franchise.
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