Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks for MNF - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Monday Night Football (December 4, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Monday Night Football: Bengals vs. Jaguars. We swept last week’s MNF picks 3-0, bringing our season record to 18-8 (69% hit rate).

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for MNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 13 Monday Night Football

Jake Browning OVER 217.5 Passing Yards

In Browning’s first start last week he went 19-for-26 for 227 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. This week he faces off with the Jaguars on the road as nine-point underdogs. 

Jacksonville has given up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. They have given up over 217 passing yards in eight of eleven games, averaging 262.2 passing yards against. 

Rotoballer’s Proptimizer projects a 24.2% edge on this prop hitting the over, the second highest edge the tool is showing for any prop, based on a Sharp App projected line of 239.6 passing yards. 

Tyler Boyd UNDER 3.5 Receptions

Boyd enters the week as the WR46 in PPR scoring after largely failing to take advantage of WR Tee Higgins' extended absence in recent weeks. Last week in QB Jake Browning’s first start, Boyd caught three balls for 23 yards on a season-low 63% of snaps.

This week Boyd has a tough matchup against Jaguars slot corner Tre Herndon and his 66.9 defensive PFF grade. PFF has their matchup as the lowest-graded matchup advantage for Bengals receivers this week. 

In a week where Cincinnati will have their full complement of offensive weapons, Boyd will have a difficult time getting enough volume from rookie QB Browning. Fade him on Monday.

Trevor Lawrence UNDER 3.5 Rushes

After starting the season with a steady rush rate of 5.9 rushes and 29.4 rushing yards per game over his first seven contests, Lawrence has relied more heavily on his arm in recent weeks. Since Week 8, TLaw has averaged a significantly lower 2.5 rushes and 8.5 rushing yards per game. 

The Bengals' defense is most beatable through the air, giving up the seventh most passing yards this season (249.6) and the third-most over their last three games (290.7). Cincinnati owns the 8th-best pressure rate among defenses and has the third-best pass-blocking advantage of any defense this week according to PFF.

PFF agrees with this pick, projecting a 67.8% likelihood of this prop’s under hitting. Expect Lawrence to lean on his arm over his feet in this match-up.

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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