Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the game on Monday, November 20, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday Late Slate
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James Conner, 61.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
The Arizona Cardinals are back to full health with Kyler Murray and James Conner returning in Week 10. Conner has now had back-to-back games rushing for over 61.5 yards since returning from his injury. He has jumped back into full responsibility of the backfield as he hit 67% rush attempts in Week 10 and 70% in Week 11. He has a projection of 16 carries for 68.5 rushing yards versus a challenging Los Angeles Rams defense. However, with Murray back under center, Conner will get many opportunities to help open up the passing game with his capabilities of being able to run.
D'Andre Swift, 57.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
D'Andre Swift comes in with the second-highest implied total in Sunday's matchup versus the Buffalo Bills. With a total of -133 (57.08%) to hit the over in the Proptimizer, it's hard to pass up on Swift. He is coming off of a huge game on Monday night, where he recorded 76 rushing yards on 12 carries with three receptions for 31 receiving yards with a rushing touchdown. He holds a 51% rushing share on the season with 52% of routes ran and he has seen 19% of those routes become target. He has become a huge weapon in the Philadelphia Eagles offense and Sunday will only be better as the Buffalo Bills rank 21st when it comes to stopping opposing running backs.
Davante Adams, 67.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Davante Adams has returned to his old form after a quarterback and coaching change was made. Since the change, Adams has hit 29%, 50%, and 32% in target shares and near 30% targets per route run in those three weeks on average. He has also hit the over of 67.5 receiving yards in two of those three weeks. He had 86 yards and 82 yards in back-to-back weeks while finding the endzone in Week 11. The challenge will be a little tougher this week as Kansas City ranks seventh in defending opposing receivers. However, he has returned to leading the wide receiving core as he has become Aiden O'Connell's favorite target and will receive many targets to keep the Raiders in the game.
Kyler Murray, 230.5 Passing Yards (HIGHER)
Kyler Murray has made an immediate impact for the Arizona Cardinals and no one is surprised. Since returning from IR. Murray has recorded 249 passing yards in Week 10 and 214 passing yards in Week 11. He has made mistakes in both games with one interception, but the passing opportunities have been there. He had 32 attempts in Week 10 and 30 in Week 11. He is now projected for 30 passing attempts on Sunday for 229.7 passing yards. While the Cardinals receivers aren't the best, Trey McBride and James Conner will be able to give Murray the support and chances to exceed the 230.5 passing yards total.
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