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Last week was my first crack at the Sleeper prop picks for Thursday Night Football. I am very excited to say we are a perfect 4-0 so far!
Last week, we dropped two prop articles and finished 7-2 on our selections, building on our 30-18 across all articles this season. This week, we have four new props in a wildly mediocre matchup between the Panthers and the Bears.
My name is Ellis Johnson and I have been writing for RotoBaller for four years. You can catch my weekly Fantasy Pie Shop articles on RotoBaller (trust me, it’s as fun as it sounds). RotoBaller is coming out with weekly DFS plays and lots of great analysis with their DFS pass. Be sure to check it out as the team has been crushing it so far this year!
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Bryce Young (QB, CAR)
Over 235.5 total yards
If you don’t love this pick, Sleeper has a special line of Young over 0.5 passing yards. Now that’s easy money right there.
Don’t worry, I'm not going to use that prop as a cop-out, because I think Young hits his over total yards. I expect a big bounce-back performance after throwing multiple pick-sixes in last week’s game against a shaky Colts secondary.
Young faces a Bears team that is allowing an average of 289 passing yards per game. Plus, Young is coming off his career-high 41 rushing yards, which was helpful as a cushion for this line. Hopefully, Justin Fields is back and may force this Panthers team to put up points. However, I think Tyson Bagent could still find enough success to keep this game competitive.
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Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
Over 45.5 rushing yards
The kid from Sherwood Park, Alberta has stolen the lead job from veteran RB Miles Sanders. Although he received the start last week, Sanders did manage to be efficient with his touches. As a result, I think these two are on track to be on a firm committee.
So why am I picking Hubbard’s yards? I love where this line is set. Hubbard is an explosive back playing with a QB that relies heavily on the run game. Over his last three games, he has seen 15 or more carries, making 45.5 yards very doable against an exploitable Bears defense.
Eddy Pineiro (K, CAR)
Over 5.5 Points Scored
Believe it or not, we have a revenge game for Pineiro here. Last week, we doubled up on kicker props and crushed it. However, last week, we had two of the league’s best kickers facing off. This week, we have two average kickers going head-to-head, but that won’t stop me!
Thursday games are usually good for one thing: greasy offensive games. On the season, the Panthers don’t often kick a lot of field goals. However, over the last two games, Pineiro has attempted and made five field goals.
I like that this line is 5.5, as he could easily hit two field goals and surpass the mark. It also opens the door for extra points against a Bears team that is allowing nearly 340 yards per game.
Cairo Santos (K, CHI)
Under 6.5 points scored
With Justin Fields still not declared the starter, the props are limited to choose from. So far, we’ve had some good outcomes picking kicker props, so let’s keep that rolling.
The Bears are tied for the second-fewest field goal attempts this season. Plus, the Panthers are allowing the eighth-fewest yards per game. As a result, I expect scoring drives will be at a premium.
Santos has not made multiple field goals in any of his last three games, and I struggle to see Chicago score more than three touchdowns in this game. As a result, even if he hits a field goal, I don’t see him hitting seven points.
Thanks for reading. Check out my prop picks for the Sunday games later this week!
Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. I am writing this as a thought-provoking guide that can hopefully help individuals make their own decisions.
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