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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 17th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bears @ Buccaneers
The Bears take on the Buccaneers on Sunday, September 17th at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Bears (0-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bears @ Buccaneers
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Chicago Bears - NFL Betting Analysis
The Bears' started their season by hosting the Packers, but they find themselves at 0-1 following a 38-20 loss. With the -18 point loss to the Packers, the Bears also took a loss vs. the spread as 1-point favorites. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Packers and Bears combined for 58 points. The over/under line was 41.
Chicago's offense produced a total of 311 yards against the Packers. When it came to third downs, the Bears had a conversion rate of 23.1%. The leading rusher for the Bears was Justin Fields with 59 yards, and Justin Fields contributed 216 passing yards. Against the Packers, Darnell Mooney was targeted seven times and caught four balls for 53 yards.
Defensively, the Bears' wrapped up the game with one sack and one interception. Additionally, the team's secondary gave up 237 passing yards, while the rush defense conceded 92 rushing yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
The Buccaneers began their season by traveling to face the Vikings, and they picked up a 20-17 win. Heading into the game, the Buccaneers were 4-point underdogs. With the straight-up win, they also covered the spread. The under hit in the Buccaneers' most recent game, as the team's combined for 37 points. The line going into the game was 45.
Against the Vikings' defense, Baker Mayfield led the way with 173 passing yards and a completion rate of 61%. On the ground, the Buccaneers ran the ball 33 times for 73 yards. The team had 6 third-down conversions (35.3%). Mike Evans was Tampa Bay's top receiving option vs. Minnesota with 66 on six receptions.
On the defensive front, the Buccaneers allowed 369 yards of total offense to Minnesota. Of these yards, 41 were gained on the ground, while the team's secondary allowed 328 yards on 44 attempts.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bears vs. Buccaneers
The Bears and Buccaneers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bears have a record of 2-1. The Bears also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- Across their ten previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 19 points per game.
- Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 18 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Chicago has an ATS mark of 0-2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bears +3
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 41.5
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