September 10, 2023, on a Sunday afternoon, features the Hollywood Casino 400 from the Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. This is the 28th 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, 5-player, or even 6-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best, and easiest-to-win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections.
PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score, which has a scoring system where the first nets 45 points, the second is worth 42, the third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
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William Byron MORE Than 43.5 Points
There are some numbers that say maybe that guy is pretty good on these tracks. Now, William Byron and any of the Hendrick Motorsports Racing cars cannot be counted out because of how fast they are on intermediate, low-wear tracks. Byron has finished first, second, and third this season on such courses. Better yet, with Kyle Larson already in the playoffs, Larson may only go for so many points to make sure Byron functionally clinches before Bristol next week.
Now, the place differential from ninth is not so optimal. However, the No. 24 cars run very well on these tracks. Look at Larson's practice and 15-lap run speed. Byron was right there on Saturday. Let's take the MORE here on Sunday afternoon.
Ross Chastain MORE Than 34.5 Points
Okay, Ross Chastain's average start of 6.25 at Kansas is solid. On Sunday afternoon, he begins sixth. Over the past three races, Chastain has contended quite well with two top-five results and some solid stage results (no stage wins, however). That said, the Trackhouse Racing drivers are comfortable at Kansas and carry top-five late-run speed going into the final stage.
Now, Chastain needs to keep the momentum rolling. He is going to go for another top-five on Sunday afternoon and that helps the chances of Chastain ending up with 35 or more points. Take the MORE here.
Bubba Wallace MORE Than 42.5 Points
The Bubba Wallace prop train rolls into Kansas Speedway on Sunday afternoon. Wallace has been a boon all season for us on PrizePicks. It is hard to believe that there are only eight races left after the Hollywood Casino 400. Wallace loves intermediate tracks and won here last fall. Some thought the win was a fluke.
The 23XI Racing driver managed to finish fourth this May despite more pit issues and qualifying 17th. Again, place differential is not as urgent. Kansas is a forgiving track and he should lead a few laps, too. Take the MORE here.
Chase Elliott Less Than 35.5 Points
It is nuts to doubt Chase Elliott here but his starting fourth with two other Hendrick drivers in the playoffs is a little concerning. Yes, he is chasing an Owners Championship but the points are where it is at for the chase. Elliott did finish seventh in the spring and 11th last fall. Before that, he was second and fifth in the previous two fall races, respectively.
Now, can the No. 9 Chevy stay up front on Sunday afternoon? The answer is not certain. Darlington was a nice top-10 but he did not lead any laps. Take the LESS.
Christopher Bell Less Than 46.5 Points
Christopher Bell has had a bizarre season where he wins a pole and then underperforms. The Joe Gibbs Racing Driver has not finished inside the top 10 in any of the four times he has started from the top spot this season. At Darlington, that turned into a 23rd and Michigan was a 13th. That kind of drop in place differential hurt the fact he set all those fast laps and led 40 overall last Sunday.
It could be dicey to risk the lower for a fifth time in this scenario. Aside from the accident in the spring race, Bell has a third, fifth, and eighth in the previous three appearances, respectively. Still, we ride with the LESS.
Other Recommendations:
- Kyle Busch LESS Than 58.5 Points
- Ryan Blaney LESS Than 40.5 Points
- Ty Gibbs MORE Than 49.5 Points
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