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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Eagles @ Patriots
The Eagles take on the Patriots on Sunday, September 10th at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) vs. New England Patriots (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Eagles @ Patriots
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Philadelphia Eagles - NFL Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Eagles' 2022-2023 campaign came to a close with a Super Bowl defeat, as the Eagles suffered a 38-35 loss against the Chiefs. Across the regular season, the Eagles went 14-3 record, going 7-1 on the road and 9-3 at home. In the NFC-East, Philadelphia finished 5-2 putting them 1st in the standings.
Last season, Jalen Hurts completed 66.5% of his passes for a total of 3701 yards. For the season, he finished 10th among QB's in passing yards and 9th in touchdowns (22). Hurts' passer rating for the season was 101.6 (8th). Last season, the Eagles offense averaged 385.8 yards per contest, placing them 3rd in the NFL. For the season, they outgained their opponents 16 times and averaged 29.0 points per game (2nd). In the passing game, the Eagles were 9th in the league, while averaging 152.0 rushing yards per game (4th).
The Eagles are coming off a season in which they were 7th in points allowed. Opposing team's finished the year with an average of 19.8 points per game vs. the Eagles defense. Philadelphia's run defense wrapped up the season 16th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 62.9% vs. the Eagles and a passer rating of 77.9.
Against the spread, the Eagles went 10-10 last season. Philadelphia was favored in 19 of their 20 games last season. As the favorite, they went 16-3 straight up and 10-9 against the spread. The Eagles finished with an over/under mark of 11-9.
New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
The Patriots are coming off a season in which they finished with an overall record of just 8-9. In the AFC-East, New England was 3rd and went 3-3 against division opponents. At home, the Patriots finished 4-4 while going 4-5 on the road.
Last season, Mac Jones completed 65.2% of his passes for a total of 2997 yards. For the season, he finished 18th among QB's in passing yards and 14th in touchdowns (14). Jones' passer rating for the season was 84.8 (39th). In 2022, the Patriots offense finished 26th in the NFL in third-down conversion rate (34.9%) and averaged 314.6 yards per game, putting them 20th in the league. On average, they threw the ball 31.8 times per game leading to 208.0 receiving yards per contest. New England's rushing attack finished 20th in yards per attempt.
On the defensive end, the Patriots are coming off a season in which they gave up an average of 20.4 points per game, putting them 11th. Overall, opponents averaged 322.0 yards per game vs. New England. In terms of turnovers, the Patriots forced 30 takeaways, which was 2nd in the NFL.
New England's over/under record last season wrapped up at 8-9 with their games averaging 41.8 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 7-9-1 with an average scoring margin of +1 point per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Eagles vs. Patriots
The Eagles and Patriots did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Eagles have a record of 2-1. The Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 54 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- Although Philadelphia has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 35 points per game in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, New England has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have gone 0-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Eagles have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots +4
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 45
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