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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, May 31st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Marlins
The Padres take on the Marlins on Wednesday, May 31st 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (25-29) vs. Miami Marlins (28-27)
- Date: Wednesday, May 31st 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Marlins
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres come into this road contest vs Miami with a below .500 record (25-29). In the NL West standings, the team ranks 4th. San Diego will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 13-14 away from home.
San Diego's record vs. the runline is just 26-28 despite being favored 34 times through 54 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 18-34 with an average betting line of 9.
Blake Snell gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 1-6. Compared to other starting pitchers, Blake Snell has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 5.04. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .244 against him. Blake Snell has given up nine home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .353. With a total of 31 walks, Snell has a WHIP of 1.56.
On offense, San Diego has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. Together, the Padres offense has the 29th-ranked batting average, at .222. So far, the team is the 14th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 63 deep shots. Throughout the season, San Diego is ranked 20th in OBP (.317).
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 28-27, the San Diego Padres will host the San Diego Padres, currently ranked 3rd in the NL East. So far, Miami has been tough at loanDepot Park, putting together a mark of 14-12.
Being favored 24 times in 55 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 22-33. The team has an over/under record of 24-28, with an average betting line of 8.
Braxton Garrett gets the start for the Marlins with a below .500 record at 1-2. Braxton Garrett will take the mound with an ERA of 4.50. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.289). Braxton Garrett has given up seven home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .346. Garrett has a WHIP of 1.40, with 11 walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Miami, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.8 runs per game. Heading into play, the Marlins are hoping their strong batting average of .259 will start translating into runs. Despite the team's high batting average, they off to a slow start in the power department, ranking 24th in the league, at 54 total home runs. To date, Miami has the MLB's 18th-rated OBP, sitting at .319.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Miami, the Padres are the betting favorite at -123 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 55.16%. The MLB preditive model shows San Diego having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take San Diego on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline
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