RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 210 overall
CURRENT ADP: ~238 overall
ANALYSIS: The fantasy potential of Ezequiel Tovar can basically be summed up by power + speed + Coors ='s goodness, with a remainder full of increasing hype. ATC already projects him as a big value but is also being pretty conservative on playing time, projecting less than 500 PA. And given Colorado's playing of top prospects in the past, this might be wise, as the Rockies have been known for giving young players inconsistent playing time.
But wait! There is this:
He’s gonna have to earn the job. We’ll give him every opportunity to earn it in Spring Training and see where it goes from there.
That's Rockies GM Bill Schmidt talking about his thoughts on Tovar making the big club from the jump. That's a nice change from the old regime and makes it easier to be bullish on Tovar's playing time. With something closer to 600 PA, ATC would put him in the range of 17 HR, 140 R+RBI, and 12 SB, driving his bargain potential even higher. Plus, for me, ATC is too conservative on his SB potential - Tovar had 17 SB in 295 PA at Double-A last season and combined for 24 SB in less than 500 PA at two levels in 2021.
Considering his price, I'll have plenty of exposure to Tovar, as I am a believer he'll make the club out of spring. Colorado could sign a cagey vet at any time, but for the moment, the only other shortstop on their roster is Alan Trejo.
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