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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, October 25.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Devin Booker OVER 26.5 Points - I'll start things off with Devin Booker's points prop tonight. We'll be looking at a trio of props in the Suns/Warriors matchup, as my model is giving a solid read on that game. Booker has hit this number in three of his last five, six of his last ten, and in each of his three games this season. While he didn't hit this number at all against the Warriors last season, I expect that to change tonight as my model gives him a median projection of 31.4 points, with a floor of 25.6 points.
Steph Curry OVER 5.0 Rebounds - This is an interesting case, given the number being a flat "5" without being able to "buy the hook" either way here. Curry has grabbed at least five rebounds in four of his last five games, eight of his last ten games, and in each game this season. He only managed to grab five boards in one of three games against the Suns last season, but I'm not too concerned as my model has taken into account the early struggles of the Suns allowing point guards to grab rebounds. My model gives Steph a whopping median rebound projection of 10.3, with a floor of 4.7.
Klay Thompson OVER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made - I'll finish things off with Klay Thompson's three-pointers prop. He hasn't had the recent success of Curry and Booker, hitting this number in just two of his last five, six of his last ten, and in one of three games to start the campaign. Klay knocked down just one three-pointer in his sole game against the Suns last season, but my model gives Klay a median projection of 4.2, with a floor of 2.4.
Other Recommendations - Andrew Wiggins OVER 16.5 Points, Stephen Curry OVER 26.5 Points, Saddiq Bey OVER 4.5 Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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