Leonard Fournette (RB, TB) - 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~20 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~25

ANALYSIS: There's no good explanation for why Fournette is going outside the top-12 running backs right now. He got off to a slow start last season, but that was out of his control. He didn't truly take the reigns of the backfield until Week 4 when he got an 82% snap share. Between Weeks 1 and 3, Fournette only played on an average of 50% of the snaps and averaged just 12.7 opportunities per game.

Things changed after Fournette was handed the backfield in Week 4. From that game against the Patriots through Week 14, he averaged 21 opportunities (14.7 rush attempts and 6.3 targets) on a 70% snap share. Fournette was the RB5 during that stretch, averaging 21.3 PPR fantasy points per game.

And there's room for improvement. Fournette didn't score a touchdown in almost half of those 10 games between Weeks 4 and 14. On the season, he scored 10 touchdowns on 264 opportunities. That's just a touchdown every 26.4 opportunities. In comparison, Austin Ekeler scored a touchdown every 15 opportunities last season. Both guys are on high-powered offenses that were top-five in plays per game in 2021. While Ekeler is certainly in for some negative regression, Fournette, on the other hand, should see his touchdown rate positively regress in 2022.

And for those worried about Rachaad White, don't be. The Buccaneers gave Fournette a three-year extension worth $21 million, with $12 million guaranteed. As long as Tom Brady is the quarterback of this team, Fournette will continue to play a heavy majority of the snaps. And even if White takes some snaps, it's not likely to be anything more than 30% as long as Lenny is healthy. Buy low on Fournette and reap the benefits all season long!

More Fantasy Football Values and Sleepers

Will Dissly (TE, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 24% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers tight end Will Dissly is the TE21 for the year, averaging six half-point PPR fantasy points per game. The veteran tight end was a popular streaming option in Week 11 because of his matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. They […]

Mike Fanelli 4 days ago

Zach Ertz (TE, WAS) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 33% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz has had a solid season. The veteran tight end is the TE11 for the year, averaging 7.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. While Terry McLaurin has been Jayden Daniels' go-to target, Ertz has seen at […]

Mike Fanelli 4 days ago

Taysom Hill (TE, NO) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 54% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill is the ultimate do-it-all weapon. While he is listed as a tight end, the veteran’s fantasy value comes in the run game. He has had at least 14 rushing yards in every game this season. […]

Mike Fanelli 4 days ago

Elijah Moore (WR, CLE) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 8% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore has been a fantasy football bust for most of his career. The veteran wide receiver is the WR71 for the year, averaging 5.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. However, he has played significantly better since […]

Mike Fanelli 4 days ago

Quentin Johnston (WR, LAC) – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 12

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12-Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 41% of Yahoo Leagues ANALYSIS: Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston has had a breakout sophomore year after an awful rookie season. The former TCU star is the WR40, averaging 10.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite missing time with an injury. He has been […]

Mike Fanelli 4 days ago