X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings MMA, UFC DFS Lineup Picks - UFC Vegas 51: Luque vs. Muhammad 2

I'm writing this thing exactly a month after the last time the UFC scheduled an event in the UFC Apex based in Las Vegas, NV. The promo led by Dana White took a four-week detour in which fights never stopped happening but they did so at way different places: from London (England) to Jacksonville, FL by the way of Columbus, OH. Two Fight Night events and a numbered (UFC 273) later, we're back in the Apex this weekend... with no belts on the line but a spicy rematch right in front of us.

Luque and Muhammad faced each other for the first time all the way back in UFC 205 on Nov. 2016. More than five years have passed since then, but you can rest assured temperatures will be high when we reach the climax of the even with this even headliner as Muhammad tries to avenge his then-first-round-KO defeat. Before we reach that point, and although some fights were dropped from the original card, we'll get to watch a few other interesting bouts around multiple weight classes worth tracking. Not the flashiest of cards, but surely one where we will find unexpected results and pleasant surprises.

In this article, I will be providing you with my fantasy MMA lineup picks for UFC Vegas 51: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 on 04/16/22. Give me a follow on Twitter @chapulana. Good luck!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

DraftKings MMA Welterweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Vicente Luque, $8500 - vs. Belal Muhammad

Battle of experienced fighters with virtually the same number of trips to an octagon (Luque's fought 16 times to Belal's 15) but very different results while doing it. The records look virtually the same, actually, with Luque sporting a career 14-2 count compared to Muhammad's 11-3-1. Remove everything that happened before 2019, though, and they'd be 7-1 and 6-1-1 respectively, which can't be much closer if you ask me. Now, for fantasy purposes, those similar records are far from close to one another. Just a quick peek at Luque's salary over DK lets you know everything about why he's a much tastier play--even if he's quite more expensive than Muhammad.

Luque has reached 94+ DKFP in four straight fights, of course, because he finished all of them with two subs and two KOs, three of those four happening before even reaching the third round. That's Luque for you (he's indeed won just once via judges' decision). Muhammad, on the other hand, has topped that 94-DKFP mark just once in his career back in Feb. 2021 when he won a decision against Dhiego Lima. He has finished only one fighter (submission) since Sep. 2019 and only two in his whole career. The only thing at which Muhammad is better than Luque in the fantasy realm is the takedown points, though it's not that he has terrific TD-landing rates (other than his latest 7-of-9 he had pulled off 7-of-40 from 2019 on). I find it hard for Belal to upset the favorite here, with good odds Luque finds a way to finish Muhammad for the second time in their brief rivalry.

 

DraftKings MMA Featherweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

T.J. Laramie, $7000 vs. Pat Sabatini

This fight is as contrasting as they get, though if we're honest we should be very pleased with whatever it can bring to us. That's mostly because both Sabatini and Laramie, although on short three- and one-fight UFC tenures, have yet to meet defeat. Sabatini has fought those three bouts in a span of seven months from late April 2021 to last November, and Laramie debuted back on Sep. 2020 and has yet to step inside an Octagon since. Not only that, but both fighters have one W each via first-round submission while Sabatini added two more via decision after 15 minutes of fighting time in those couple of outings.

Sabatini and Larami have yet to really showcase their full bag of talents, all things considered. Laramie has been inside the octagon for fewer than a minute of fighting time (submission in just 52 seconds) so his 0-for-1 takedowns and 0-for-4 in SS are pretty much neglectable. Sabatini hasn't been there for much longer, but the fact that he's logged a couple of 15-minute bouts (30 total minutes) in which he averaged just 1.6 and 3.0 SSA per minute is quite concerning. Yes, he landed 5-of-11 and 1-of-5 takedowns in those two outings, but that's the only thing saving his numbers in both the real and fantasy realms. If and only if one of these two is able to finish the other one, then maybe they become interesting DK plays approaching some 90-to-100 DKFP ceiling. If not, though, even if they end getting a decision-W you might be looking at a paltry 60-FP night from the winner. Not liking any of these two, but I'd side with Laramie getting his second finish and dropping Sabatini for the first time in the vet's UFC run.

 

DraftKings MMA Welterweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Miguel Baeza, $8700 - vs. Andre Fialho

We're not even three months into Fialho's UFC career, just imagine. He's 28 years of age, though, so it's not that he's coming out of the womb as a pro fighter--he's actually a 10-5 MMA fighter as a whole--though he suffered his lone UFC defeat in his debut (and also only fight under the UFC banner, of course). Miguel Baeza, while having fought fewer times since he started doing it among pros (12 times, 10-2) has done so in Dana's promotion five times already starting back on Dec. 2019. The truth is that everything makes sense for Baeza to stay put in the UFC given his bullying start to his career there going 3-0 in his first three fights (in a span of just 13 months) with two KO victories and another W via submission--all of them inside the first two rounds.

Fialho debuted against Michael Pereira already in an undercard fight of a numbered event (UFC 270) last January. The striking volume was good (135 SSA, 9.0 per minute), though the landing rate left a lot to desire (45 SSL, 3.0 per minute, 33% accuracy). No takedowns did he land--nor attempt, for that matter. Baeza, on the other hand, has scored at least 52 points in four of his five UFC fights including one that he ended up losing. In his wins, he's never dropped below a 98-DKFP mark, though that has three early finishes baked into the results, something a little bit unpredictable. Even then, Baeza's always shown nice volume and landing rates, attempting 10+ SSA per minute and landing 50%+ of those in all but one fight so far in his UFC career. Fialho might or might not rebound, so it's much safer to side with Baeza here given the track record and reasonable/viable floor. That said, don't chase him crazily because he's definitely not worth a big gamble.

 

DraftKings MMA Women's Bantamweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Mayra Bueno Silva, $9300 - vs. Wu Yanan

If I'm correct it's been a while since we've had a true main-card fight-for-your-life bout like this one. I'm saying that because this truly is one of those odd ones. Mayra has done it five times in the UFC while racking up... one victory. Mayra is 1-3-1 in the promo since she debuted in 2018 and then proceeded to fight twice in 2020 and two more times in 2021. Wu Yanan, on the other hand, got her first and lone win in her second fight under the UFC banner and is boasting a 1-3 record with one fight each in 2017, 2018, 2019, and January of 2021--her last one.

These two have shown similar ceilings in their victories as they both got those Ws via first-round submission with eerily similar numbers. Mayra spent 4:55 minutes and finished 11-of-32 on SSL-SSA with no takedowns to her name, and Yanan finished her foe in 4:00 while landing 18-of-36 SSA and 0-of-1 attempted TDs. On a per-minute basis, Yanan has the edge on strike attempts and of course takedowns--Mayra has yet to go for even one in a single fight...). That said, Mayra has been quite active with four fights (no wins, though) since Mar. 2020 compared to Yanan's one-fight resume since the end of Aug. 2019. There is a reason why one fighter is tagged at $9.3K and the other one at a slate-lowest $6.9K, and why I'm siding with Mayra Bueno on Saturday even while not expecting any sort of fireworks.

More DFS Analysis & Lineup Picks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Andrew Kittredge3 hours ago

Inks One-Year Deal With Baltimore
Robert Thomas3 hours ago

Nets Two On Thursday
Ilya Sorokin3 hours ago

Posts 30-Save Shutout On Thursday
Mikko Rantanen3 hours ago

Tallies Point No.60 On Thursday
Zach Werenski4 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen4 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Thursday
Sidney Crosby4 hours ago

Tallies Three Points On Thursday
Nikola Jokic14 hours ago

Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Framber Valdez15 hours ago

Astros Avoid Arbitration
Santi Aldama15 hours ago

Will Return On Thursday Night
Jaren Jackson Jr.15 hours ago

Will Suit Up Versus Houston
Desmond Bane16 hours ago

Active Against Rockets
Randy Arozarena16 hours ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Ja Morant16 hours ago

Back On Thursday Night
Robert Williams III16 hours ago

Resting On Thursday
Daniel Gafford16 hours ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Tim Hardaway Jr.16 hours ago

Will Not Play Against The Warriors
Bruce Brown16 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Davion Mitchell16 hours ago

Available Thursday
Moses Moody16 hours ago

Will Not Play On Thursday
Dennis Schröder16 hours ago

Dennis Schroder Available Versus Pistons
Draymond Green16 hours ago

Good To Go Thursday
Stephen Curry16 hours ago

Upgraded To Available Thursday
Giannis Antetokounmpo17 hours ago

Probable Against Orlando On Friday
Mason Marchment17 hours ago

Recovering From Surgery
Jalen Hurts17 hours ago

Practices In Full, On Pace To Play On Sunday
Samuel Ersson17 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Stars
Sean Monahan17 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Khris Middleton17 hours ago

Probable For Friday
Evgeni Malkin17 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Filip Chytil17 hours ago

Will Not Play Thursday
Robert Williams III17 hours ago

Questionable On Thursday
Igor Shesterkin17 hours ago

Returns To Rangers Crease Thursday
Brock Faber17 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Jerami Grant17 hours ago

Ruled Out On Thursday
Damian Lillard18 hours ago

Likely Available For Friday
John Metchie III18 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Cade Otton18 hours ago

Upgrades To Full Participation On Thursday
Quentin Johnston19 hours ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
J.K. Dobbins19 hours ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Jake Knapp19 hours ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Joshua Palmer19 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wild-Card Weekend
Michael Thorbjornsen19 hours ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Davion Mitchell19 hours ago

Probable Against Cleveland
Ochai Agbaji20 hours ago

Ruled Out Thursday Against Cleveland
Luis Arraez20 hours ago

Padres Settle On $14 Million Deal
A.J. Brown20 hours ago

Being Rested On Thursday
Tarik Skubal20 hours ago

Tigers Avoid Arbitration
Dylan Cease20 hours ago

And Padres Avoid Arbitration
Logan Gilbert20 hours ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Tyreek Hill21 hours ago

"Committed" To Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders21 hours ago

Raiders Fire General Manager Tom Telesco After One Season
Zay Flowers21 hours ago

Officially Out For Wild-Card Game
Zay Flowers23 hours ago

Not Practicing Friday, Highly Unlikely To Play Saturday
Garrett Crochet1 day ago

Boston Discussing Long-Term Deal
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Tallies Two Helpers In Victory
Petr Mrazek1 day ago

Stands Tall Against Colorado
Connor Bedard1 day ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Wednesday
Logan Thompson1 day ago

Leads The Way In Overtime Victory
Pierre-Luc Dubois1 day ago

Scores Twice On Wednesday
Jeff Petry1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Trent Miner2 days ago

Set For First Career Start On Wednesday
Beck Malenstyn2 days ago

To Remain Out On Thursday
Davis Thompson2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Disappoints At The Sentry
Chris Kirk2 days ago

Sputters At The Sentry
Billy Horschel2 days ago

Looks Forward To Sony Open
Brian Harman2 days ago

Gets 2025 Started With A Rough Start
PGA2 days ago

Cameron Davis Finishes Strong At The Sentry
Keegan Bradley2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
NFL2 days ago

Bill Belichick Has No Plans To Return To The NFL
Deebo Samuel Sr.2 days ago

49ers Plan To Bring Deebo Samuel Sr. Back Next Year
Zay Flowers2 days ago

Absent From Wednesday's Practice
Braxton Garrett2 days ago

To Miss 2025 Season Following Elbow Surgery
Taylor Pendrith2 days ago

Is A Dark-Horse Pick For Sony Open
Jalen Hurts2 days ago

Expected To Practice On Wednesday
Eric Cole2 days ago

Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Sony Open
Zay Flowers2 days ago

A Long Shot To Play On Wild-Card Weekend
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

A Big Name To Stay Away From At Sony Open
Nick Dunlap2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Sony Open
Tom Kim2 days ago

Making Season Debut At Sony Open
Hideki Matsuyama2 days ago

Looks To Make History At Waialae
Tanner Scott3 days ago

Mets Meet With Tanner Scott
Justin Verlander3 days ago

Signs One-Year Contract With San Francisco
NFL3 days ago

Ashton Jeanty Declares For 2025 NFL Draft
Tua Tagovailoa3 days ago

Dolphins Have "No Concern At All" About Tua Tagovailoa's Long-Term Health
Las Vegas Raiders3 days ago

Raiders Fire Head Coach Antonio Pierce
David Montgomery3 days ago

Expected To Return For Divisional Round
Tyreek Hill3 days ago

Dolphins Say Tyreek Hill Did Not Request A Trade
Brandon Woodruff3 days ago

Hopes To Be Ready By Opening Day
Luke Clanton3 days ago

A Player To Watch At Sony Open
Thomas Detry3 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of Sony Open
Russell Henley3 days ago

A Course Horse At Sony Open
Stephan Jaeger3 days ago

A Risky Option At Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama3 days ago

Makes 2025 Debut At Sony Open
Maverick McNealy3 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Hawaii
Brent Rooker3 days ago

Signs Five-Year Extension
Nolan Arenado3 days ago

Red Sox Emerge As Strong Candidate To Land Nolan Arenado
Michael Lorenzen4 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Kansas City
Gavin Lux4 days ago

Traded To Cincinnati
Luis Arraez4 days ago

Yankees Talking With Padres About Luis Arraez
Clayton Kershaw6 days ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
RotoBaller NFL Betting Picks Stock

2024 NFL Playoff Wildcard Weekend Betting Picks (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools and Content can be accessed on the premium dashboard. To see ALL of Jamie's bets (and others from RotoBaller experts), head over to the RotoBaller Discord. You'll find every bet and prop in the #NFL-BETTING-PROPS channel there!   Background My name is Jamie Calandro (@jac3600 on X), and I have been a high-volume […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Chargers vs. Texans Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Nico Collins, J.K. Dobbins, Joe Mixon, Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Justin Herbert, C.J. Stroud, Will Dissly

It's time for postseason NFL action, and many of you are taking part in NFL playoff fantasy football leagues or DFS contests. Below you can read our matchups analysis article for the Chargers vs. Texans game to help make any fantasy lineup decisions for whatever you are participating in. The Texans have regressed late in […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Ravens vs Steelers Showdown (Wild Card Round)

Welcome to the NFL Playoffs RotoBallers! Saturday night's Wild Card matchup pits the Pittsburgh Steelers against the Baltimore Ravens in an AFC North showdown. With an over/under of 45.5 and the Ravens as -9.5 favorites, we’re looking at a potential blowout scenario where the game script could heavily favor Baltimore’s rushing attack and clock control. […]


Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Very Early 2025 Fantasy Football Rankings with Rookies and Tiers - Top 230 for Redraft Leagues

The 2024 NFL regular season just ended, but that doesn’t mean fantasy football has to. At least not totally. If you play in a dynasty or keeper league, or maybe you’re just consumed by fantasy football and cannot get enough, these 2025 fantasy football rankings should get you thinking about next season. Anytime you’re doing […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Playoffs Rankings: Fantasy Football Draft Rankings and FFPC Playoff Challenge (2025)

Welcome, RotoBallers, to the 2025 NFL Playoffs and our continuing coverage of fantasy football playoff leagues. Fantasy football is still going strong during the NFL playoffs – including new drafts and contests forming before the Wild Card Weekend games. The NFL postseason starts with one of the most challenging and unique fantasy football playoff leagues […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Chargers vs. Texans Showdown Wild Card Weekend

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have the first week of the playoffs and are here to cover you for every playoff game this season! First up, we have the Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) traveling to Houston to take on the Texans (10-7), where the Chargers are three-point favorites in this one. I do not see anyone […]


Brock Bowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, TE, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Re-Drafting The 2024 NFL Draft: Entire First Round Do-Over

Is Caleb Williams or Jayden Daniels the better prospect? What about Drake Maye? The answer seemed obvious last April. It's not so clear now. With a year of NFL tape, franchises alter how they view rookies. Would management make the same selections or jump at the chance to snag a different prospect? Below, I redraft […]


Jalen McMillan - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wide Receiver Matchups to Target on Wild Card Weekend - Courtland Sutton, Jalen McMillan, Rashod Bateman

Welcome to WR Matchups to Target: Wild Card Weekend edition. We finished the regular season with two more “in the money” picks (3x multiplier on DraftKings salary), including the WR1 on the week in Drake London, putting our final tally at 30 such picks for the regular season (34% rate). Six games are on deck […]


Brian Robinson Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings Running Backs, Waiver Wire Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Brian Robinson Jr., Najee Harris, Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Jordan Love

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to our Wild Card Weekend fantasy football busts, or players who may disappoint. The regular fantasy football season is over but the games don't stop now. Whether you play in a playoff fantasy league or set DFS lineups, you'll want to avoid potential landmines. Below are my five fantasy football busts, or […]


Puka Nacua - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Free Wild Card Weekend NFL Betting Picks and Expert Predictions

Well, we only went 1-1 to close out the regular season last week. The Lions took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings and easily covered the 2.5-point spread. The Commanders, however, let us down after head coach Dan Quinn decided to pull Jayden Daniels from the game due to an injury scare. Washington would […]


Justin Tucker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Kicker Streamers

NFL Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Weather Report

Welcome to the NFL playoffs! Sure, your traditional fantasy football league has come to an end, but there's still so much left to play for. There is the FFPC Playoff Challenge, Daily Fantasy Contests, and so much more. As always, the purpose of this article is to help you make informed lineup decisions based on […]


A.J. Brown - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Wild Card Weekend: Justin Herbert, James Cook, A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, T.J. Hockenson

Wild Card Weekend is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Justin Herbert, James Cook, A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin, and T.J. Hockenson. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely […]


Jayden Daniels - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks - Main Slate: Jayden Daniels, Bucky Irving, Puka Nacua, and more

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We shift gears a bit this week, as we enter the NFL playoffs. Wild Card Weekend consists of six games spread across three days, and while the info found in this article is applicable across all the different slates that DraftKings is offering, this was written with the Sat-Mon "Main Slate" in […]