Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 23rd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ 49ers
The Chiefs take on the 49ers on Sunday, October 23rd at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (3-3)
- Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 2022
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Levi's Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chiefs @ 49ers
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 7, the Chiefs will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 24-20 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Kansas City lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed Kansas City as 2.5 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 54, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 44. Kansas City and San Francisco went into the 4th quarter all tied at 17-17, before the 49ers outscored the Chiefs by 4 in the final frame. Through 6 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 2-4. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-3. This week's betting total of 48.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Chiefs prepare to take on San Francisco, they have played well on offense, ranking 1st in points per game at 29.83. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 2nd ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 275.83 yards per game through the air. Although the 49ers defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Kansas City figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 20th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
San Francisco 49ers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the San Francisco 49ers are hoping to get back in the win column, after falling 28-14 to the Atlanta Falcons. The loss was costly, as it came against a NFC opponent. With the loss, San Francisco failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.5 advantage on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 45, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 42. In the game, San Francisco trailed the Falcons by a score of 28-14 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 6 games, the 49ers have an ATS record of 3-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-5. This week's betting total of 48.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the 49ers offense is averaging 20.33 points per game, placing them 19th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Chiefs defense giving up 149 points per game. Although the 49ers come into the game ranked just 22nd in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect San Francisco to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. A key matchup to watch through the game is if San Francisco will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 124.0 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. 49ers
When looking back at the recent matchups between Kansas City and San Francisco, the Chiefs have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 51.67 points. Kansas City and San Francisco did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. The Chiefs offense has averaged 28.67 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with San Francisco, compared to the 49ers at 23.0.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 2-1 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
Across their last 3 road contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 34.0 points per game.
San Francisco has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2
Across their last 3 home contests, San Francisco has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 24.67 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: 49ers 3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 48.0
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