X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy - The Home Run Elephant in the Room

We've all heard about the home runs. A total of 6,105 balls left the yard in 2017 - or avoided outfielders sufficiently for an inside-the-park home run. The previous record of 5,693 home runs was set in 2000 during the peak of the steroid era. This time, juiced balls and mechanical changes seem to be driving the spike. Hitters have also adjusted to the league-wide increase in fastball velocity.

What does this mean for fantasy and dynasty owners? When once we talked about a 15-homer guy with decent accompanying stats - think Josh Reddick - as a core performer, we're now forced to seek more power. Anything less than 20 home runs per active roster spot isn't competitive.

In fact, I took a peek under the hood in four of my leagues and found the following: competitive teams averaged 24 home runs per active slot. A couple of those were two-catcher formats and one was a deep 20-team dynasty. To roster Reddick's 13 home runs and healthy .314 batting average, you need to offset him with a 33-HR slugger. Can we go about doing this as easily as it sounds?

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Prioritizing Power

Luckily it's never been easier to find affordable power. In all but the deepest dynasties, players like Justin Smoak, Logan Morrison, Scott Schebler, Lucas Duda, and Mark Reynolds were free or nearly free. The list goes on if you relax the constraints to "cheap to acquire." In shallower leagues, Aaron Judge, Joey Gallo, and Cody Bellinger supplied 39 or more home runs at a modest cost. More likely than not, new surprises will emerge in 2018. Even Scooter friggin' Gennett hit 27 home runs in only 497 plate appearances.

The power influx, especially from unanticipated sources, has major strategic implications for dynasty owners. It's more important than ever to churn the waiver wire. Even in my deepest league where we roster 900 players, prospects, and amateurs overall, guys like Tommy Pham, Paul DeJong, and Chris Taylor spent time on waivers. Finding these players will not only increase your competitive advantage in 2018, you can often convert them into long term assets. Whether your contending or rebuilding, plan to scour your free and cheap options.

A total of 117 players hit at least 20 home runs with another 70 or so showing the potential to reach that threshold. That's not including prospects set to graduate to the majors. Some of those players will fall under the 20-homer plateau. Others will exceed it. If I had to bet, I'd put money on more than 117 players reaching 20 home runs this coming season. If the World Series is any indication, the rate of balls leaving the yard won't slow down any time soon.

Since power is plentiful, it's never been harder to win the category. In the recent past, an owner could draft Giancarlo Stanton and Nelson Cruz in the early rounds then focus on other categories. While a Stanton and Cruz pair will help you to post a healthy homer total, they're now only a moderate disabled list stint away from looking an awful lot like a waiver wire guy. The real danger is with no-power hitters like DJ LeMahieu or Joe Mauer. You may find yourself tempted by their over-.300 batting average, but it's difficult to overcome a roster spot supplying under 10 home runs. This is less of an issue with counting stats like stolen bases, although it is still an important consideration.

Ultimately, the key to victory is vigilance. That was true before the home run spike, and it's especially true now. Make sure you're getting home runs from all of your roster spots. Try to upgrade those that project to supply 15 or fewer. If you happen to be using a no-power option like Billy Hamilton to stay competitive in another category, make sure you can offset the pain with a Khris Davis type. Even if you're rebuilding, make sure you stick your hand in the waiver wire lottery. You never know when you'll find a free core performer. They'll be out there.

 

More 2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy

 

2018 Draft Kit and Premium Pass

When you join early and purchase our Premium Pass for the entire MLB season, you get 50% off. Dominate your leagues all year long with our preseason, in-season, and DFS Premium Tools.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tua Tagovailoa23 mins ago

Could Be Up In The Air If Dolphins Advance To Postseason
Tee Higgins30 mins ago

Has Been Playing Through High-Ankle Sprain
Jalen Hurts42 mins ago

Continues Progressing, Could Practice This Week
Zay Flowers2 hours ago

Likely Out Next Week
Derrick Henry2 hours ago

Caps Off Season With Two Touchdowns
Cleveland Browns4 hours ago

Browns Fire Offensive Coordinator Ken Dorsey
Tua Tagovailoa5 hours ago

Unlikely To Play Sunday
Tony Pollard11 hours ago

Likely Good To Go Against Houston
Darnell Mooney11 hours ago

A "Long-Shot" To Suit Up On Sunday
Zay Flowers11 hours ago

Likely Sustains Knee Sprain In Week 18
Ja'Marr Chase12 hours ago

Leads The Way In Week 18
Tee Higgins12 hours ago

Leaves With Ankle Injury
Jerry Jeudy14 hours ago

Sets Browns Record In Week 18 Loss
Bogdan Bogdanovic14 hours ago

Ruled Out For Saturday
Jalen Johnson14 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Trae Young14 hours ago

To Play On Saturday
Kawhi Leonard15 hours ago

To Make Season Debut On Saturday
Gabe Vincent15 hours ago

Tagged As Doubtful For Sunday
Alex Caruso15 hours ago

Remains Sidelined On Sunday
Jeremy Sochan16 hours ago

Will Suit Up Saturday
Jalen Brunson16 hours ago

Will Play Saturday
Anthony Davis16 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Sunday
LeBron James16 hours ago

Probable For Sunday
Khris Middleton16 hours ago

Will Face The Blazers
Giannis Antetokounmpo16 hours ago

Cleared For Action On Saturday
Bradley Beal17 hours ago

Will Play Saturday
Cade Cunningham17 hours ago

Available For Saturday
Chase Brown17 hours ago

Inactive For Week 18
Dejounte Murray17 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Zay Flowers17 hours ago

Won't Return In Week 18
Clayton Kershaw17 hours ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles
Noah Clowney18 hours ago

Upgraded To Available On Saturday
Joel Embiid18 hours ago

Active For Saturday Night Matchup Against Nets
Brandon Miller18 hours ago

Questionable Heading Into Sunday Against Cavaliers
LaMelo Ball18 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday's Game Against Cleveland
Trendon Watford18 hours ago

Resumes On-Court Workouts, Will Be Re-Evaluated In One Week
Kelly Oubre Jr.19 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out For Saturday's Game Against Nets
Dallas Goedert20 hours ago

Eagles Activate Dallas Goedert From Injured Reserve
Austin Ekeler20 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve Ahead Of Week 18
Chris Olave20 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 18
Green Bay Packers20 hours ago

Jaire Alexander Placed On Injured Reserve
Jameis Winston21 hours ago

Inactive For Week 18, Serving As Emergency Quarterback
Nelson Agholor21 hours ago

Inactive For Week 18
Thatcher Demko23 hours ago

Joining Team For Five-Game Road Trip
Pyotr Kochetkov23 hours ago

Starts Against Wild On Saturday
Joseph Woll23 hours ago

In Maple Leafs Net On Saturday
Scott Wedgewood23 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Jack Drury23 hours ago

Back For Hurricanes Saturday
Auston Matthews24 hours ago

Returns To Action On Saturday
Jordan Binnington1 day ago

Shuts Out Senators
Brandon Saad1 day ago

Ends Goal Drought With A Hat Trick
Mike Matheson1 day ago

Records Two Assists Friday
Nick Foligno1 day ago

Pots Two Goals In Friday's Win
Juuse Saros1 day ago

Logs Fourth Shutout Of The Season
Leon Draisaitl1 day ago

Nets Game-Winner On Friday
Charlie Morton2 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Baltimore
Jared Spurgeon2 days ago

To Miss 2-3 Weeks
Oskar Sundqvist2 days ago

Unavailable Friday
Justin Faulk2 days ago

Iffy For Friday's Action
Colton Dach2 days ago

Set For NHL Debut On Friday
Connor Murphy2 days ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
David Savard2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Tallies Two Helpers On Thursday
Alex DeBrincat2 days ago

Tallies Three Points On Thursday
Jonathan Quick2 days ago

Leads The Way On Thursday
Pete Alonso3 days ago

Angels "Looking At" Pete Alonso
Xander Schauffele4 days ago

Hoping To Find Success Again At Majors In 2025
Chris Kirk4 days ago

Starts 2025 Defending The Sentry Title
Max Homa4 days ago

Hopes To Rebound After Disappointing 2024 Season
Nick Dunlap4 days ago

Looks To Build On Impressive Rookie Season
Collin Morikawa4 days ago

Heads To The Sentry After Excellent 2024 Season
PGA4 days ago

Sungjae Im Hoping To Start 2025 Season Strongly At The Sentry
Russell Henley4 days ago

Closes Out 2024 Season Strong
Jason Day4 days ago

Looks Ahead To 2025 Season At The Sentry
Akshay Bhatia4 days ago

To Repeat Last Year’s Sentry Performance?
Ludvig Aberg4 days ago

Returns To The Sentry
Jesús Luzardo4 days ago

Jesus Luzardo Feeling 100 Percent
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

Making First Career Start At Kapalua
Corey Conners4 days ago

Making Third Consecutive Start At Kapalua
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

A Gametime Decision For Year's First Event
Tony Finau4 days ago

Making Sixth Start At Kapalua After Rumor-Filled Offseason
Justin Thomas4 days ago

Looks To Get Off To Fast Start In 2025 At Kapalua
Patrick Cantlay5 days ago

Looks For Hot Start In 2025
Sam Burns5 days ago

In Top Form Ahead of Kapalua
Cameron Young5 days ago

Needs To Avoid Bad Rounds In Hawaii
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Looking For Big 2025 Start In Hawaii
Hideki Matsuyama5 days ago

Always A Threat In Hawaii
Billy Horschel5 days ago

Seeks To Build Off Great 2024 Campaign
Jack Flaherty5 days ago

Orioles Interested In Reunion With Jack Flaherty

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP