BALLER MOVE: Target ~180
CURRENT ADP: 203
ANALYSIS: Nick Castellanos was in the midst of a breakout last season before injury decommissioned him for most of the second half. Despite a steady upward trend in his production since breaking into the big leagues, Castellanos has yet to improve on his plate approach or contact issues. If he’d made enough plate appearances, Castellanos would have tied for the 11th-worst swinging strike rate and 19th-worst contact rate among qualified hitters. You can make that profile work, as evidenced by some of the company on those lists – guys like Carlos Gonzalez, Freddie Freeman and Adam Jones posted similar numbers. It’s tough to hit for a high average with that much swing-and-miss in your game, though, even when you hit the ball as hard as Castellanos does. But given his pedigree and youth (he’s entering his age-25 season) the upside here is a fine gamble after pick 200.
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