BALLER MOVE: Target ~220
CURRENT ADP: 240.7
ANALYSIS: Stephen Vogt's .251/.305/.406 line with 14 HR wasn't sexy, but the bar for catchers is pretty low. He is a little better than his surface stats suggest, too. His BABIP on ground balls was just .153 last year against a career average of .218. The shift was not the issue, as Vogt hit .287 against it. A few more singles are all it would take to bring his average to respectability, as his 15.6% K% is already strong.
Vogt also offers power upside. His HR/FB has never been great (7.4% last year, 8.9% career), but he makes up for it by hitting a ton of fly balls (46.5% FB% last year, 45.1% career). A true breakout could occur if he is acquired by a contender midseason, as 29 of his 45 career bombs have come on the road.
Plate appearances inflate Vogt's fantasy value, as well, as Oakland frequently DHs him on off days from catching. The 532 PAs he recorded last year were a ton for a catcher as a result. The team also bats him in attractive batting order slots, leaving Vogt with more counting stats than most catchers can hope to put up.
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