X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Football ADP Analysis - Duke Johnson vs. Matt Jones

We're well into fantasy football draft prep season, and RotoBaller is here to help. In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the preseason and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

This player comparison column comes from RotoBaller lead columnists Bill Dubiel (@Roto_Dubs) and Ben Ruppert (@Ben_Ruppert_21). Bill will defend the most exciting player on an unexciting team in Duke Johnson, while Ben extols the virtues of another young back with home run capability and a clear path to playing time in Matt Jones. Feel free to reach out to either or both with questions or opinions.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Duke Johnson, Jr. (RB, CLE) - Bill Dubiel

After a pedestrian rookie season, Duke Johnson is primed for a breakout 2016 season. Boy, if that's not the most generic fantasy football analysis statement ever written, I don't know what is. However, just because it's cliché doesn't mean it's not true in this case.

Johnson was hyped a ton last year, and rightfully so. He finished his college career as the all-time leading rusher at Miami after being rated the number one running back in the nation coming out of high school. His trademarks were explosiveness and agility, a distinctive patience and burst that allowed him to hit holes and gain extra yards that didn't even appear to be there. On the downside he was not as effective as an interior runner, and there were plenty of concerns over his pass-blocking ability, not unlike Matt Jones.

It's clear watching Johnson at any level that he'll never be a ground-and-pound back--it's just not who he is. At 5'9" and roughly 210 lbs, he doesn't have the body to get in there and bang between the tackles. That absolutely doesn't matter from a fantasy standpoint, because Johnson's abilities as a pass-catcher will keep him fantasy-relevant for as long as he's on the field. Believe it or not (and I had to double-check this to make sure it was even accurate), Johnson was second among all NFL rookies in receptions with a whopping 61, behind only Amari Cooper.

The Browns organization is looking for a fresh start in 2016, and the hiring of Hue Jackson proves that they're serious about competing soon. Jackson is one of the best offensive minds in football today, and he's already shown that he's got a plan for Duke Johnson. According to Jackson, "Duke has suddenness and quickness and he can go catch the ball with anybody...He does so many different things that gives your offense a boost." With Robert Griffin III, stud rookie Corey Coleman and a (hopefully) returning Josh Gordon, Jackson will be able to spread the offense all over the field. Johnson will benefit greatly from defenses having to account for the two dynamic wide receivers, a dangerous tight end in Gary Barnidge, and the fact that RGIII can take off and run at any given time. Someone will (usually) be open, and it will be Johnson a good amount of the time.

I'm not going to talk about Isaiah Crowell. The plodding running back will still have a role in the offense--ya know, whenever they need someone to fall forward for three or four yards. I see the Browns working out of the shotgun a ton, and it'll be Johnson on the field more often than Crowell. The Browns are still going to lose a bunch of games this year, and when they're down there's even more reason for Johnson to be on the field. If anything Johnson will steal some of Crowell's touches on the ground.

Ultimately Johnson's upside is too high not to love given his current ADP. FantasyPros has him as the #73 overall pick, or RB28 in standard formats. If he can catch 80 passes, which is well within the realm of possibility (Danny Woodhead did that last year), and add on 400-500 yards on the ground, Johnson should provide an outstanding return on his investment, especially in any kind of format that provides reception bonuses.

 

Matt Jones (RB, WAS) - Ben Ruppert

Matt Jones is set to be the starting running back for the Washington Redskins in 2016. Those in standard and PPR leagues should be targeting him as an RB2 for his ability to run and catch passes out of the backfield. The situation he is in now is perfect to set up Jones for a break-out season.

Jones accumulated nearly 800 yards from scrimmage last season as Alfred Morris’ backup. The rookie averaged 16 yards per reception last season, highlighted by his 78-yard scamper in Week 10 against the New Orleans Saints. He also made a nifty one-handed grab for a first down in Week 9 against the New England Patriots. On passing downs when he is not going out for passes, he is an excellent pass blocker which should help keep him on the field for all three downs.

Jones did have issues with fumbles during his rookie season, but he would hardly be the first running back to have this problem early in their career--Tiki Barber and Adrian Peterson are two examples that come to mind. Not that I'm comparing Jones to either of those players, but both were able to overcome their issues and be top-flight NFL running backs. I believe with the work Jones is doing in the off-season, the same will apply for him. One way the coaching staff has helped is that they have given Jones a football that has sensors installed inside of it on key pressure points he should always be in contact with. When Jones is holding the ball properly, the ball is silent. However, when Jones is not holding the ball correctly on the sensors, it emits a warning signal that Jones and the coaching staff can hear. They can then call the play, and see where a correction needs to be made. ESPN's John Keim reports the Redskins have "seen what they wanted" from Matt Jones this spring. The Redskins will be much better off at running back than they were in 2015 if Jones performs this season the way he has practiced this spring.

Another big positive for Jones is his lack of competition on the team. The other running backs on the Redskins roster are Chris Thompson, Mack Brown, and seventh-round pick Keith Marshall. The only player who could eat into Jones’ touches are Chris Thompson, who will be the change-of-pace back every now and then. Jones has no real threat, and will handle the bulk of the carries for the Redskins in 2016. Offensive coordinator Sean McVay has said “You’re seeing a much more matured player. I’ve been extremely encouraged with him--his understanding of where he fits in his protections, consistency in his tracks.”

The Redskins have the pleasure of facing the Eagles, Cowboys, and Giants twice each every season as well. These three teams all ranked in the bottom 10 teams in the league in rushing defense last season, which means there will be plenty of opportunities for big games for Jones. He has an excellent chance to break out and be a huge contributor this season for both the Redskins and for any fantasy owner smart enough to scoop him up.
WHO WON? WHO DO YOU WANT TO SEE NEXT? TWEET @ROTOBALLER AND LET US KNOW!

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jalen Johnson52 mins ago

Remains Out On Saturday
Trae Young1 hour ago

Probable Versus Houston
Tari Eason1 hour ago

Not Expected To Face The Hawks
Nikola Jokic2 hours ago

Will Play On Friday Night
Jeff Hoffman3 hours ago

Inks Three-Year Deal With Toronto
Alexandre Sarr4 hours ago

Ready To Face Bulls
Paul George4 hours ago

Will Play Against Pelicans
Khris Middleton4 hours ago

Available For Friday's Matchup With Orlando
Trayce Jackson-Davis4 hours ago

Good To Go Versus Pacers
Giannis Antetokounmpo5 hours ago

Active On Friday
Moses Moody5 hours ago

Returns To Warriors Lineup Friday
Tyrese Haliburton5 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Damian Lillard5 hours ago

Available For Friday
Dejounte Murray5 hours ago

Active On Friday
Evander Kane5 hours ago

Recovering From Knee Surgery
Myles Turner5 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Dylan Samberg5 hours ago

Returns To Jets Lineup Friday
Kyle Lowry5 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Alex Lyon5 hours ago

Unavailable Friday
Thatcher Demko5 hours ago

Expected To Return To Action Friday
Zion Williamson6 hours ago

Suspended For One Game
Fabian Zetterlund6 hours ago

Active On Friday
Dylan Guenther6 hours ago

Ruled Out Indefinitely
Paolo Banchero6 hours ago

Set To Return Against Milwaukee
Elias Pettersson6 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Aaron Gordon6 hours ago

Doubtful On Friday
Quentin Johnston6 hours ago

"Good To Go" For Saturday
Jordan Love6 hours ago

Malik Willis Off The Injury Report
Myles Turner6 hours ago

Questionable Friday With Illness
Draymond Green6 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Pacers
De'Aaron Fox6 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Jayden Daniels7 hours ago

Off The Injury Report, Set For First Playoff Start
DeVonta Smith7 hours ago

Off The Injury Report
A.J. Brown7 hours ago

Off The Injury Report Prior To Wild-Card Weekend
Amanda Ribas8 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mackenzie Dern8 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 101
Zac Gallen8 hours ago

Diamondbacks Avoid Arbitration With Zac Gallen
Josh Jung9 hours ago

Will Be Full-Go For Spring Training
Santiago Ponzinibbio9 hours ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Tampa Bay Buccaneers9 hours ago

Antoine Winfield Jr. Will Play On Sunday
Carlston Harris9 hours ago

Set For Welterweight Matchup
Pete Alonso9 hours ago

No Deal Close Between Pete Alonso And The Mets
Abdul Razak Alhassan9 hours ago

Returns To Action At UFC Vegas 101
Cesar Almeida9 hours ago

Looks For His Third UFC Win
DeVonta Smith10 hours ago

Missing Practice, Still Expected To Play
Isiah Pacheco10 hours ago

Returns To Practice On Friday
Jalen Hurts11 hours ago

Clears Concussion Protocol, Ready To Go For Sunday
Deshaun Watson11 hours ago

Ruptures His Achilles Again, Could Miss All Of 2025
Michael Pittman Jr.11 hours ago

Doesn't Need Surgery On His Back
Anthony Richardson11 hours ago

Colts To Add Competition For Anthony Richardson
Uros Medic11 hours ago

Opens Up UFC Vegas 101 Main Card
Punahele Soriano11 hours ago

Remains At Welterweight At UFC Vegas 101
Christian Rodriguez11 hours ago

Looks To Start Off 2025 On Right Note At UFC Vegas 101
Austin Bashi11 hours ago

Makes UFC Debut At UFC Vegas 101
Roman Kopylov11 hours ago

Looks to Extend Winning Streak At UFC Vegas 101
Chris Curtis11 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 101
Josh Naylor14 hours ago

Diamondbacks Avoid Arbitration
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.14 hours ago

Blue Jays Avoid Arbitration
Andrew Kittredge15 hours ago

Inks One-Year Deal With Baltimore
Robert Thomas15 hours ago

Nets Two Goals On Thursday
Ilya Sorokin15 hours ago

Posts 30-Save Shutout On Thursday
Mikko Rantanen16 hours ago

Tallies Point No. 60 On Thursday
Zach Werenski16 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen16 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Thursday
Sidney Crosby16 hours ago

Tallies Three Points On Thursday
NFL1 day ago

Vikings, Rams Wild-Card Game Moved To Arizona
Framber Valdez1 day ago

Astros Avoid Arbitration
Randy Arozarena1 day ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Mason Marchment1 day ago

Recovering From Surgery
Jalen Hurts1 day ago

Practices In Full, On Pace To Play On Sunday
Samuel Ersson1 day ago

Returns To Action Against Stars
Sean Monahan1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Filip Chytil1 day ago

Will Not Play Thursday
Igor Shesterkin1 day ago

Returns To Rangers Crease Thursday
Brock Faber1 day ago

Out On Thursday
John Metchie III1 day ago

Listed As Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Cade Otton1 day ago

Upgrades To Full Participation On Thursday
Quentin Johnston1 day ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Jake Knapp1 day ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Joshua Palmer1 day ago

Ruled Out For Wild-Card Weekend
Michael Thorbjornsen1 day ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Luis Arraez1 day ago

Padres Settle On $14 Million Deal
A.J. Brown1 day ago

Being Rested On Thursday
Tarik Skubal1 day ago

Tigers Avoid Arbitration
Dylan Cease1 day ago

And Padres Avoid Arbitration
Logan Gilbert1 day ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Tyreek Hill1 day ago

"Committed" To Dolphins
Garrett Crochet2 days ago

Boston Discussing Long-Term Deal
Matthew Tkachuk2 days ago

Tallies Two Helpers In Victory
Davis Thompson2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Disappoints At The Sentry
Chris Kirk2 days ago

Sputters At The Sentry
Billy Horschel2 days ago

Looks Forward To Sony Open
Brian Harman2 days ago

Gets 2025 Started With A Rough Start
PGA2 days ago

Cameron Davis Finishes Strong At The Sentry
Keegan Bradley2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
Braxton Garrett2 days ago

To Miss 2025 Season Following Elbow Surgery
Taylor Pendrith2 days ago

Is A Dark-Horse Pick For Sony Open
Eric Cole2 days ago

Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Sony Open
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

A Big Name To Stay Away From At Sony Open
Nick Dunlap2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Sony Open
Tom Kim3 days ago

Making Season Debut At Sony Open
Hideki Matsuyama3 days ago

Looks To Make History At Waialae
Tanner Scott3 days ago

Mets Meet With Tanner Scott
Justin Verlander3 days ago

Signs One-Year Contract With San Francisco
Brandon Woodruff3 days ago

Hopes To Be Ready By Opening Day
Luke Clanton3 days ago

A Player To Watch At Sony Open
Thomas Detry3 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of Sony Open
Russell Henley3 days ago

A Course Horse At Sony Open
Stephan Jaeger3 days ago

A Risky Option At Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama3 days ago

Makes 2025 Debut At Sony Open
Maverick McNealy3 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Hawaii
Brent Rooker4 days ago

Signs Five-Year Extension
Nolan Arenado4 days ago

Red Sox Emerge As Strong Candidate To Land Nolan Arenado
Michael Lorenzen4 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Kansas City

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Wild Card Sunday FanDuel NFL DFS Picks - Main Slate (2024): Josh Allen, Saquon Barkley, Baker Mayfield, James Cook

Wild Card Weekend will begin with two games on Saturday, with the Chargers heading to Houston to meet the Texans before the Steelers and Ravens go at it again to cap off the night. The action will continue on Sunday, as three games will highlight what should be an exciting weekend of football. In this […]


A.J. Brown - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Packers vs. Eagles Showdown (Wild Card Weekend)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! It's finally playoff time, and we have what should be a chilly NFC Showdown as Jordan Love and the seven-seed Green Bay Packers (11-6) head to the City of Brotherly Love to take on Jalen Hurts and the second-seed Philadelphia Eagles (14-3). There were some injury storylines this week, including Jordan Love's […]


Zay Flowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Friday Wild Card Weekend Updates for Zay Flowers, Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, Mike Evans, Bucky Irving, J.K. Dobbins, Aaron Jones, and More

The NFL playoffs are officially here! While regular season fantasy football has concluded, many sickos still desire more fantasy football, whether through DFS or full playoff competitions. It all starts Saturday with Wild Card Weekend, leading into three days of games where 12 teams will battle to advance in the playoffs. While there are fewer […]


Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated NFL Playoff League Rankings for Fantasy Football: Saquon Barkley, Mike Evans, Travis Kelce, Joe Mixon, Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp, Josh Jacobs

Hopefully, many of you are coming off fantasy football regular-season titles. Whether you won or lost your traditional fantasy league, there are more ways to win! Below are our updated 2025 fantasy football playoff league rankings to help you make the best decisions for your playoff league rosters. You'll see where key options such as Lamar […]


Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Updated NFL Playoff League FLEX Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jameson Williams, Xavier Worthy, Khalil Shakir, Brian Robinson, Rashod Bateman, m

If you need help making roster decisions for your NFL playoff fantasy football league and lineup, you have come to the right place. Today, we'll go over our updated 2025 fantasy football playoff league FLEX rankings Below, you will see where key FLEX options such as Jameson Williams, Xavier Worthy, Khalil Shakir, J.K. Dobbins, Austin Ekeler, […]


Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Updated NFL Playoff League Running Back Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, JK Dobbins, Bucky Irving, Kareem Hunt, James Cook

With NFL playoff leagues set to begin, we've got you covered with our updated 2025 fantasy football playoff league running back rankings to help you make the best decisions for your rosters. Below, you'll see where key running backs such as Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, Bucky Irving, David Montgomery, Kareem Hunt, and J.K. Dobbins rank for […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Updated NFL Playoff League Wide Receiver Rankings for Fantasy Football: Puka Nacua, Justin Jefferson, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Xavier Worthy, Rashod Bateman

Whether you're looking to build on a successful 2024 fantasy football campaign or want a second chance at fantasy football glory, playoff leagues are a great way to keep competing! Our 2025 fantasy football playoff league wide receiver rankings will help you make the best decisions for your playoff league rosters. Here, you will see […]


Mark Andrews - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Updated NFL Playoff League Tight End Rankings for Fantasy Football: Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert, T.J. Hockenson, Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Tucker Kraft

Tight ends are always difficult to predict and project, and it doesn't get any easier for NFL playoff fantasy football leagues. To kick things off, we are here to guide you in setting the best possible lineup for your playoff rosters with our updated 2025 NFL playoff league tight end rankings. Let's dive into the […]


Josh Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Updated NFL Playoff League Quarterback Rankings for Fantasy Football: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels

No one enjoys it when the fantasy football regular season ends, but luckily, the FFPC hosts NFL playoff fantasy football leagues to keep the competition going! We've got you covered when setting the best possible playoff lineups with our updated 2025 NFL playoff league quarterback rankings. Below, navigate the rankings to see where RotoBaller ranks […]


Jake Bates - Fantasy Football Rankings, Kicker Waiver Wire Pickups, Streamers

Updated NFL Playoff League Kicker Rankings for Fantasy Football: Harrison Butker, Jake Bates, Justin Tucker, Cameron Dicker, Tyler Bass, Will Reichard

Kickers never get fame in the NFL or fantasy football, but they can make the difference between winning and losing. That said, we're here to help you find the right kicker option with our updated NFL Playoff League Kicker Rankings for fantasy football. Below, you will see where kickers such as Harrison Butker, Jake Bates, […]


TJ Watt - IDP, Pittsburgh Steelers, DST, Defense, Fantasy Football Def

Updated NFL Playoff League Team Defense Rankings for Fantasy Football: Chiefs D/ST, Eagles D/ST, Bills D/ST, Ravens D/ST, Steelers D/ST, Broncos D/ST

Unfortunately, traditional regular-season fantasy football leagues have come to an end. However, the good news is that NFL playoff leagues are starting up at the FFPC. We are here to guide you on selecting the right defense for your playoff league rosters with our updated 2025 fantasy football playoff league team defense (D/ST) rankings. Below, you will […]


Mike Evans - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated Wild Card Weekend PPR Rankings for Fantasy Football: Derrick Henry, Mike Evans, Saquon Barkley, Josh Allen, Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua

It's finally Wild Card Weekend, and there are plenty of ways to win following the fantasy football regular season. DFS contests and NFL playoffs fantasy football leagues are set to begin, and we have you covered. The grind never stops, and if you're going to play, you might as well win! In this article below, […]


Jordan Addison - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Updated Wild Card Weekend PPR FLEX Rankings for Fantasy Football: Ladd McConkey, Jordan Addison, J.K. Dobbins, Cooper Kupp, Joe Mixon, Aaron Jones

If you're reading this article, you're likely taking part in an FFPC NFL Playoff fantasy football league or are navigating rankings for DFS lineups. Either way, we're here to guide you with important rankings and projections all the way through the Super Bowl. In this article below, you'll find our Updated Wild Card fantasy football […]