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2016 Fantasy Baseball Tiered Rankings: Outfield - Part Two (February)

Welcome back! This is the second part of the outfield breakdown for our February ranks.

Brad Johnson, Max Petrie, Kyle Bishop, Harris Yudin, Jeff Kahntroff, Bill Dubiel, and I bring you that straight fire when it comes to helping you prepare yourself for the fantasy baseball season. Let's get right back to it, as we have plenty to dig through.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard, which is already loaded up with lots of great articles. Aside from staff rankings across all positions, we also dig into MLB prospect rankings, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well.

 

2016 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Analysis: Outfield (Part Two)

Tier Five

There are only eight players to be found here, so it's a relatively small tier. I’m the lowest on Michael Conforto as I’m concerned that his playing time gets toyed with. Gregory Polanco could take a big stride this year if he consistently brings his bat to the game. Josh Reddick is a quiet producer, and so long as he stays healthy should be a solid source of counting stats for owners. Stephen Piscotty and Randal Grichuk are both drawing interest as Piscotty appears to be the more balanced hitter, but Grichuk brings the boomstick.

Hanley Ramirez looks to shift to first base, but for us he is an outfielder, and the hope is that he can regain that swing of his in the middle of a very potent Boston lineup. Dexter Fowler has top of the lineup potential no matter where he signs, and if Baltimore grabs him and he hits in front of Manny Machado and Chris Davis, well bully for him. Matt Kemp is by himself in San Diego now, but he is the kind of player who still puts up good numbers even in a “bad year”. He set a career-high in pitches swung at out of the zone (36.9%) while also posting a career-best 83.4% zone contact rate, reducing his swinging strike rate and spraying the ball to all fields with more consistency.

Tier Six

This seems to be where we put most of the non-Hamiltonian speed threats. Here you find Ben Revere, Kevin Pillar, Delino DeShields, Steven Souza, Billy Burns, Evan Gattis (hey, he had all of those triples right?), Ender Inciarte, Wil Myers, Ben Zobrist, Jayson Werth, Gerardo Parra, Khris Davis, Marcell Ozuna, and Melky Cabrera.

Revere, Pillar, DeShields, Burns, and Inciarte are the real speed types. Souza has aspirations of 25/20, but he can’t keep striking out a third of the time he’s at the dish. Gattis, Davis, and Ozuna are the power ponies, but Gattis in Houston is much more palatable than Davis in Oakland, while Ozuna needs to prove he can channel his strength after faltering last year and seeing his soft contact rate jump 3%.

Myers’ durability woes really push him down, but he still has potential for power/speed if he can stay on the field. Zobrist is an all-around guy who is now in a sweet Cubbies lineup. Werth’s 2015 is the epitome of “hitting a wall”, and while he could bounce back a bit it’ll be hard to count on much more than 15/8 with a decent average. Melky’s days of five category contributions are gone, but he still has double-digit pop, good contributions in runs/RBIs, and won’t kill your average (though look out for the cold streaks).

Tier Seven

This has the next layer of “one-category” players and young projects. You’ve got big bats like Mark Trumbo, Jay Bruce, Carlos Beltran, Colby Rasmus, and Brandon Moss. Trumbo gets to hit in Baltimore, Bruce looks to bounce-back with regression in his sails, Beltran can still swing in a great stadium but needs to stay healthy, Rasmus is good for hot streaks but his average can zap you, with Moss also fitting that bill. Then the fleet of foot with Cameron Maybin, Odubel Herrera, and Byron Buxton. Maybin probably platoons with Anthony Gose to open the year, but he is the better hitter. Herrera is the most valuable Phillie hitter after Maikel Franco with his speed and modest power. Buxton needs to take big steps forward with hitting major league level pitching, but his potential is through the roof.

Your all-around types here are Eddie Rosario, Aaron Altherr, Rusney Castillo, and Aaron Hicks. All could quietly also produce a 15/15 year, though 12/12 is more realistic, but that is worth remembering in deeper leagues. Altherr and Rosario need to show that they can make the adjustments with their second cup of coffee that Castillo failed to do last year. Aaron Hicks is probably the most exciting due to his move to Yankee Stadium and if an injury to one of the other Yankee OFs opens the door to regular playing time for Hicks, he could hit at a 18/18 pace.

Tier Eight

Now you're really starting to notice that you’re in deeper waters, but there’s still intrigue. Brad Miller, Danny Valencia, and Brock Holt are probably best utilized with their other position eligibilities. Denard Span could be a great bargain if other owners have written him off thanks to the injuries of last year, but if he hits around .300 with 25 steals atop the Giants’ lineup…yeah you’ll take that. Of course he could never stay healthy again too, hip and core procedures on a guy with his build/skillset are scary. Nori Aoki is about the same as Span, though he brings less inherent risk coupled with dampened speed upside.

Khris Davis being traded means Domingo Santana has an opening to grab the left field job. Santana’s approach reminds me a bit of Souza (albeit with less speed), Steamer has him hitting 19 homers while stealing six bases and hitting .249, but if he holds the full time LF job then he can improve on that. Plenty of ifs for a 23 year old who needs to grow, but the opportunity for a breakout is there under a few layers.

Marlon Byrd is 38, but has hit 23-25 homers in his past three seasons, so I imagine someone will find a roster spot for him and let that power come out to play one more time. Kevin Kiermaier probably deserves a little more love from me, and if he can give you a 10/16/.260 season as an OF5 or bench bat, well you’ll take that. Chris Colabello gets a lot of scrutiny for his otherworldly .411 BABIP last year (deservedly so, as that’s not happening again), and while he’ll be platooning again he’s still a decent hitter with some pop in a great park and lineup.

Tier Nine

Here is the rest of the pack. Let's pick out a few notable names. Baltimore’s Hyun-soo Kim brings a balanced bat over from Korea. Yasmany Tomas gets another chance to prove himself in Arizona’s good environment. Jackie Bradley Jr. has shown flashes, but the bottom always fell out. There are also some buzzy prospects in Adam Duvall, Rymer Liriano, and Nomar Mazara. Don't get too cute here, but for those of you swimming in the deep end, we haven't forgotten about you.

 

Outfield Tiered Fantasy Baseball Rankings (February)

Ranking Tier Name Brad Max Kyle Nick Harris Jeff Bill
1 1 Mike Trout 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
2 1 Bryce Harper 2 2 2 2 1 2 1
3 2 Giancarlo Stanton 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
4 2 Andrew McCutchen 3 4 4 4 4 6 4
5 2 Jose Bautista 8 5 6 5 5 7 5
6 2 George Springer 6 9 5 6 6 9 7
7 2 Mookie Betts 5 6 9 7 7 5 10
8 2 A.J. Pollock 7 7 8 8 15 4 6
9 2 Starling Marte 9 8 7 12 13 8 8
10 2 Ryan Braun 11 10 10 9 8 10 9
11 3 J.D. Martinez 10 12 11 10 11 12 11
12 3 Justin Upton 13 11 12 11 9 13 14
13 3 Charlie Blackmon 12 14 13 13 19 15 15
14 3 Nelson Cruz 15 16 15 15 10 16 16
15 3 Lorenzo Cain 18 19 14 16 14 11 12
16 3 Carlos Gomez 14 13 23 19 22 14 19
17 3 Kyle Schwarber 16 15 16 21 17 24 17
18 3 Carlos Gonzalez 19 17 19 18 16 21 18
19 3 Adam Jones 20 20 21 14 25 19 13
20 3 Yoenis Cespedes 23 21 20 17 12 20 20
21 3 Jason Heyward 17 18 17 20 18 25 21
22 4 Yasiel Puig 21 23 18 23 26 17 24
23 4 Hunter Pence 26 22 22 22 33 22 23
24 4 Jacoby Ellsbury 22 24 41 30 20 18 25
25 4 Brett Gardner 25 26 27 31 31 23 31
26 4 Curtis Granderson 30 33 28 28 24 32 26
27 4 Alex Gordon 24 31 29 33 28 37 29
28 4 Kole Calhoun 28 27 31 36 32 35 28
29 4 David Peralta 38 28 24 27 38 31 32
30 4 Christian Yelich 29 37 35 29 21 34 36
31 4 Matt Holliday 40 30 32 26 42 30 30
32 4 Joc Pederson 33 41 25 38 23 36 35
33 4 Jorge Soler 42 32 30 34 35 29 33
34 4 Corey Dickerson 36 29 33 24 37 54 22
35 4 Adam Eaton 35 40 26 25 47 28 39
36 4 Billy Hamilton 27 25 53 52 29 27 34
37 4 Michael Brantley 49 38 37 41 27 33 27
38 4 Shin-Soo Choo 37 35 38 32 30 41 40
39 5 Michael Conforto 31 34 40 48 36 39 42
40 5 Gregory Polanco 44 36 42 43 43 26 36
41 5 Josh Reddick 32 43 36 40 53 40 38
42 5 Stephen Piscotty 39 39 39 37 39 52 44
43 5 Hanley Ramirez 34 48 44 35 44 47 46
44 5 Randal Grichuk 43 44 34 39 54 45 45
45 5 Dexter Fowler 48 42 43 45 46 48 43
46 5 Matt Kemp 41 45 45 42 52 49 41
47 6 Ben Revere 55 51 56 55 41 44 48
48 6 Kevin Pillar 52 55 51 49 49 46 51
49 6 Delino Deshields 65 49 48 47 40 59 53
50 6 Steven Souza 56 56 46 46 45 53 61
51 6 Billy Burns 45 54 47 59 50 55 55
52 6 Evan Gattis 47 47 55 44 57 73 49
53 6 Ender Inciarte 59 46 54 56 61 51 47
54 6 Wil Myers 68 60 65 58 34 42 58
55 6 Ben Zobrist 54 52 58 57 55 63 50
56 6 Jayson Werth 50 61 49 68 67 43 52
57 6 Gerardo Parra 46 50 57 54 56 71 60
58 6 Khris Davis 63 62 52 53 58 50 62
59 6 Marcell Ozuna 67 57 50 61 65 57 57
60 6 Melky Cabrera 57 53 59 62 69 62 54
61 7 Cameron Maybin 70 59 62 60 72 60 59
62 7 Mark Trumbo 78 78 69 50 59 38 74
63 7 Jay Bruce 64 70 68 51 64 65 69
64 7 Carlos Beltran 62 67 63 64 76 58 66
65 7 Eddie Rosario 60 64 67 72 68 67 67
66 7 Odubel Herrera 58 66 60 74 86 66 56
67 7 Aaron Altherr 61 63 61 63 88 68 65
68 7 Colby Rasmus 71 75 66 65 51 70 72
69 7 Rusney Castillo 69 58 64 69 89 56 68
70 7 Brandon Moss 51 71 74 67 74 74 64
71 7 Byron Buxton 75 76 72 79 48 61 70
72 7 Aaron Hicks 77 68 70 66 78 69 63
73 8 Brad Miller 66 69 71 78 71 72 76
74 8 Denard Span 74 73 86 77 60 64 71
75 8 Danny Valencia 53 65 79 75 80 81 73
76 8 Nori Aoki 73 72 80 80 62 75 88
77 8 Domingo Santana 81 77 77 70 66 76 87
78 8 Marlon Byrd 80 79 73 76 84 80 75
79 8 Kevin Kiermaier 83 84 75 85 73 73 80
80 8 Chris Colabello 93 82 84 73 75 90 86
81 8 Brock Holt 79 83 81 83 94 91 79
82 9 Hyun-soo Kim 76 92 98 71 - 85
83 9 Derek Dietrich 82 96 76 84 - 88 81
84 9 Yasmany Tomas 97 74 96 86 81 78 82
85 9 Austin Jackson 72 95 88 82 91 87 -
86 9 Jackie Bradley Jr. 96 97 83 87 77 77 90
87 9 Eduardo Escobar - 88 89 88 - 84 89
88 9 Dalton Pompey 86 80 78 98 87 97 -
89 9 Nick Markakis 87 91 93 92 79 -
90 9 Leonys Martin 94 93 95 93 63 93 -
91 9 Andre Ethier 85 87 87 90 99 83 -
92 9 Avisail Garcia - 85 - 99 82 - -
93 9 Mark Canha 98 89 82 109 83 86 78
94 9 Franklin Gutierrez 95 100 90 81 - 79 91
95 9 Anthony Gose - 102 85 100 93 82 77
96 9 Jarrod Dyson 106 81 94 97 70 94 -
97 9 Alex Rios 88 90 99 94 96 - 84
98 9 Desmond Jennings 99 86 - 96 90 92 -
99 9 Josh Hamilton 91 94 97 95 92 89 -
100 9 Preston Tucker 107 99 91 89 - 83
101 9 Chris Coghlan 84 103 100 91 - -
102 9 Adam Duvall 90 104 - 103 85 99 -
103 9 Michael Taylor 89 102 92 102 95 98 -
104 9 Oswaldo Arcia - 105 - 104 100 96 85
105 9 Coco Crisp 92 106 - 101 98 95 -
106 9 Angel Pagan 102 99 - 107 - - -
107 9 Rymer Liriano 105 101 - 105 - 100 -
108 9 Seth Smith 101 107 - - - - -
109 9 Rajai Davis 100 - - 108 - - -
110 9 Abraham Almonte 104 - - - - - -
111 9 Nomar Mazara 103 - - 106 - - -
112 9 Will Venable - 108 - 110 97 - -

 

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