BALLER MOVE: Target Late in NL-Only Leagues
CURRENT ADP: 336
ANALYSIS: The reasons fantasy owners may have loved Sergio Romo in years past are the same reasons they should love him moving forward. That one bad stretch of giving up a ton of homers pushed Santiago Casilla ahead of him in 2014, and Casilla has done well enough to hold onto the job since. Romo is better than Casilla, though, and quite frankly, Hunter Strickland is better than Casilla, too.
Romo’s rates not only stabilized in 2015, but they improved to levels we haven’t seen since his amazing 2011 campaign. His nice 2.98 ERA actually has bad luck baked into it (.331 BABIP and a 72.7% strand rate), as his 1.91 FIP, 2.42 xFIP and 2.17 SIERA point to an even better year. He threw his first pitch for a strike 70.4% of the time and posted a very strong 16.7% swinging strike rate on the heels of that devastating slider that he threw 59.2% of the time. In 2012 that slider earned an 11.5 pitch value, in 2013 it was 11.7, in 2014 it dropped to 3.6, and last year it came back up to 11.7. Buy into the talent on draft day.
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