RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target ~140
CURRENT ADP: 230
ANALYSIS: Even though Michael Conforto had fewer than 200 plate appearances above A-ball, the Mets were aggressive in promoting him last July. Thrown into the fire of a pennant race, Conforto shined, putting together a .270/.335/.506 line with nine homers and 56 R+RBI in 56 games. The power was somewhat surprising, as his .236 ISO was well above the .165 mark he posted in his brief minor-league career. Conforto's junior season at Oregon State was a hitting clinic, as he hit .345/.504/.547, but even that resulted in a lower ISO than that of his rookie season, as the slugging percentage was mainly driven by a high average.
So no, he's probably not going to maintain a 30-HR pace over a full season. As you might guess from his track record, though, he's a good bet to keep making hard contact. He produced a 22.6 LD% and a hard hit rate above 40% to go with solid plate discipline, so there's room to grow in the batting average department. Somewhere in the .280-.290 range with 20 homers and what should be decent counting stats in a solid Mets lineup? Not a bad return in the late rounds.
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