BALLER MOVE: Target ~190
CURRENT ADP: 306
ANALYSIS: Jayson Werth is entering his age-37 season, and he's averaged just 111 games per season since 2012 due to a variety of injuries. 2015 was the worst season of his career, and the end is nigh for the 13-year veteran.
That said, Werth was pretty awesome in the two seasons prior to 2015, hitting .304/.396/.491 with 41 homers, 19 steals and 333 R+RBI in 276 games. Even last year, he maintained his typically excellent plate discipline and batted ball profile. The driving force behind his struggles last season, besides the usual injury issues, was a .253 BABIP, 72 points below his career rate. This was only the second time he'd ever posted a mark below .300, and the underlying numbers simply don't support it. Werth is basically a lock to get hurt and miss time at this point, but for his current price tag, he is worth consideration at the end of drafts this year.
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