BALLER MOVE: Target ~75
CURRENT ADP: 97
ANALYSIS: Jonathan Lucroy entered last season coming off the best performance of his career, out-doing the career year he had in 2013. Perhaps even more importantly, his 2014 production came while playing virtually every day, a rare feat for catchers. Unfortunately, Lucroy missed about a third of the season with a broken toe and a concussion. When he did play, he failed to reach the level he had in the previous two seasons. The end result was a pedestrian .717 OPS and a 13th-place finish among catchers in the Yahoo game.
His batted ball data didn’t change much from previous years, though he missed more often on pitches outside the zone and had more trouble than usual catching up to fastballs. These led to an increase of nearly five percent in his strikeout rate, though he remained above-average in this area. Given the steadiness of most of his peripherals and the fact that he’s still only 29, a rebound seems likely. Lucroy could also see a boost in value if and when the Brewers trade him to a contender.
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