BALLER MOVE: Target ~290 Overall
ANALYSIS: A season after posting a ludicrous 1.78 ERA that sat a full run below his FIP, the pendulum swung all the way back for Clay Buchholz. His E-F was the highest among all qualified starters. As you might imagine, it’s fairly uncommon to see a pitcher’s ERA triple from one season to the next. Buchholz is an interesting case in that he’s had a large disparity between his ERA and FIP almost every season of his career. For his career, though, both marks are right around 4.00 -- which was his FIP last season. Given his pedestrian strikeout and walk rates, Buchholz profiles as a streamer in most leagues, but he’s not as bad as his ERA made him look last year.
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