X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

10 Questions To Ask - PGA Betting, DFS Picks, Golf Research - 2023 Dell Technologies Match Play

Scottie Scheffler PGA dfs lineup betting picks daily fantasy golf

This week is a completely different week and as a result, this article is coming out a little late as we wanted to get the bracket released before really making any assessments on the week. Now that it has been dropped, there are a few names that have shaken out and there are some groups that are front runners for the group of death. I am usually very stat heavy when it comes to betting, but I think this week we can let the Maniac take the wheel and rely on a gut feel or hunch based off golfers they are surrounded by.

We are going to ask a few questions that will guide us through a multitude of areas that impact how we go about handicapping an event. We look at historical odds of winners, traditional weather, skills that matter, and a few more interesting things. The goal of this article is to provide you with a high-level understanding of the nuances associated with this week's course and players.

I am a proud member of the RotoBaller team and put out a bunch of articles and podcasts each week that includes a more detailed research article, as well as DFS and betting articles that are intended to make your weekly golf experience that much more enjoyable. They are a combination of free and premium articles, with our premium package providing all the tools, articles, and discords you could wish for (code: "maniac" for 10% off). You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

#1. What is the format this week?

We have match play this week, with this week being its Swan Song, as it has been removed from the schedule going forward. Golfers will play three matches to get try and escape their pod along. Below are the golfers in their respective pods with their DK pricing and their "Death or Divine" score that we will get to later in the article.

 

#2. How to escape your pod?

Golfers will play three matches before they advance to the round of 16. They are awarded 1 point for a win, 0.5 points for a draw, and no points for a loss. 3 points secures you a ticket to the next round, while we have seen golfers have to win a sudden death playoff to decided who of the two golfers with 2.5 or 2 points gets to advance. Having already beat the guy who you have to go up against in a playoff does not give you an advantage to make it through, you still have to duel it out in a playoff (it's a dumb rule).

 

#3. Birdies or Bogeys?

All that matters this week is the man across from you. We want golfers who can make a lot of birdies, while also limiting the amount of "freebies" you give your opponent when making a bogey. Sometimes a clutch 15 foot par save can just suck the soul out of your opponent if its the fourth one of its kind that day.

Birdie leaders in the field:

Best bogey avoiders:

 

#4. Weak or Peak?

Is the strength of the field at its peak or is it weak?

We have 8 of the top 10 players in the world playing this week.

 

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushed it in 2023!

 

#5. Death or Divine?

This week we will switch out the weather for two pods that I believe are the death pod and the divine delivery pod. The death pod has the lowest average outright odds, while the divine deliver pod has the highest outright odds.

The Death Pod - Jon Rahm, Billy Horschel, Keith Mitchell, Rickie Fowler. It averages the lowest odds to win the event at 56.5. Billy Horschel's three opponents average as the lowest odds in the field by 6 points.

The Divine Pod - Will Zalatoris, Ryan Fox, Harris English, and Andrew Putnam. Their pod has been graced by angels, unicorns, and Sister Jean as it has an average odds to win the event of 120. Will Zalatoris has three opponents that average 148.33 to win the event with all three of them at 110-1 or higher.

 

#6. Distance or Direction?

Is distance or direction the most important stat off the tee?

I think distance is going to play a major role this week as there are holes that can be driven depending on the wind.

 

#7. Wedges or Woods?

Which proximity buckets are going to see the most divots this week?

I reverse engineered the proximity buckets based off the scorecard and diminished the importance of holes the closer they got to 18, as most matches will end by hole 16 or so.

This is how the adjusted proximity buckets will look for this week:

The best golfers from these ranges on a prorated basis:

 

#8. Sand or Grandstand?

Are errant approach shots going to land up in the sand or grandstands?

We are going to focus on golfers that have all around good short game as there are run off areas, rough, and bunkers guarding greens throughout the course. These are the golfers who excel around the green:

 

#9. Bermuda or Bent?

Are we putting on Bermuda or Bentgrass?

In match play putting can play a vital role in salvaging a hole. The best putters from inside 15 feet on all surfaces last 24:

The best putters inside 15 feet on Bermuda over the last 50:

 

#10. Model or Maniac

Are there golfers who the model is not liking as much as the Maniac?

Below are the top 10 golfers in my model:

These are a few golfers who the Maniac likes, who the model overlooked a little:

Hopefully, this helped you prepare for the odds dropping tomorrow morning! Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NFL11 mins ago

Shemar Jean-Charles Signing With Seahawks
Velus Jones Jr.22 mins ago

Signs With Saints
Colby Thomas1 hour ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Colby Thomas
Brock Stewart1 hour ago

Exits With Knee Injury
Evan Sisk2 hours ago

Optioned to Triple-A
Will Benson2 hours ago

Sent To Triple-A
Bryan Shaw2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Mookie Betts2 hours ago

Could Miss Tokyo Series
Quinton Byfield2 hours ago

Scores In Sixth-Straight Contest
Chase Elliott2 hours ago

May Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Las Vegas Lineups
Artemi Panarin2 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Eight Games
Pyotr Kochetkov2 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Saturday
William Byron2 hours ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Las Vegas
Tyler Reddick3 hours ago

Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Las Vegas
Anthony Cirelli3 hours ago

Strikes Twice On Saturday
Denny Hamlin3 hours ago

Could Denny Hamlin Be A Quality Driver For DFS At Las Vegas?
Alex Ovechkin3 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
Connor Dewar3 hours ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
NASCAR3 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Could Be A Solid DFS Option For Las Vegas
Brad Keselowski3 hours ago

Qualifies Deep In The Field For Las Vegas
Erik Jones3 hours ago

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Las Vegas This Week?
Daniel Suarez3 hours ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Daniel Suarez At Las Vegas?
Carson Hocevar3 hours ago

Showcases Speed And Can Be Worth Rostering At Las Vegas
Ryan Preece4 hours ago

Is Ryan Preece A DFS Fade For Las Vegas Lineups?
Joey Logano5 hours ago

Likely to Lead at Las Vegas, but Will He Lead Enough for DFS Consideration?
Michael McDowell5 hours ago

Wins Spire Motorsports's First Pole at Las Vegas
Austin Cindric5 hours ago

Qualified Third, but Almost Guaranteed to Lose Spots
Chase Briscoe5 hours ago

Las Vegas Performance Hard to Predict
Ty Gibbs5 hours ago

a Solid DFS Option in Theory, but Disastrous Recent Performance Likely Overrides That
Shane Van Gisbergen5 hours ago

Too Inexperienced at Las Vegas for DFS Consideration Despite Trackhouse Speed
Noah Gragson5 hours ago

Finished Well at Las Vegas Last Year, but Ran Worse
Austin Dillon5 hours ago

Decent at Las Vegas, but Not Worthy of DFS Play
Josh Berry5 hours ago

Poor Intermediate Record Likely to Override Strong Qualifying Result
Justin Haley5 hours ago

Spire Speed Suggests Justin Haley Is a Strong DFS Option
Cole Custer5 hours ago

Could be Valuable If Haas Has Intermediate Speed
Mitch Garver11 hours ago

Goes Hitless In Return To Cactus League Action
Austin Riley11 hours ago

Doubles In Return To Lineup On Saturday
Jordan Mason11 hours ago

Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
RJ Barrett13 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Sunday
Immanuel Quickley13 hours ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Jerami Grant13 hours ago

Unlikely To Play On Sunday
Marcus Smart13 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Anfernee Simons13 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Sunday
Christian Braun13 hours ago

Available On Saturday
Aaron Gordon13 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Jamal Murray13 hours ago

Will Play On Saturday Night
Nikola Jokić13 hours ago

Nikola Jokic Cleared To Suit Up Versus The Wizards
Colby Thomas14 hours ago

Sustains Injury On Saturday
Dee Eskridge14 hours ago

Sticking With Dolphins
Josh Giddey14 hours ago

Officially Out On Saturday Night
Ja Morant14 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday Night
JuJu Smith-Schuster14 hours ago

Returning To Chiefs
Josh Rojas14 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Tennessee Titans14 hours ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
Thairo Estrada14 hours ago

Removed From Saturday's Contest
Damian Lillard15 hours ago

Available Versus Indiana
Parris Campbell15 hours ago

Headed To Dallas
Nick Kurtz15 hours ago

Exits After Hit-By-Pitch
Giannis Antetokounmpo15 hours ago

Good To Go On Saturday
Jamal Murray15 hours ago

Added To Saturday's Injury Report
Jiri Kulich15 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Tobias Myers15 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Brice Turang15 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Fatigue
Tyler Myers15 hours ago

Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Nikita Kucherov15 hours ago

Good To Go Against Bruins
Yegor Chinakhov15 hours ago

Rejoins Blue Jackets Lineup Saturday
Cole Anthony15 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Joel Armia15 hours ago

Expected To Return On Saturday
Brady Tkachuk16 hours ago

Available Saturday
Donovan Mitchell16 hours ago

Questionable Against Orlando
Adam Fox16 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Rangers Lineup
Andre Drummond16 hours ago

Out Against Dallas
Ja Morant16 hours ago

Questionable On Saturday Night
P.J. Washington16 hours ago

Returning On Sunday
Philadelphia Eagles19 hours ago

Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
Dante Exum19 hours ago

Diagnosed With A Fractured Left Hand
Los Angeles Rams19 hours ago

Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
Amed Rosario19 hours ago

Returning On Saturday
Cam Thomas19 hours ago

Expected To Miss Rest Of The Season
Jose Trevino19 hours ago

Going For CT Scan
Kirk Cousins19 hours ago

Set To Receive Roster Bonus
Bryce Eldridge19 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Aaron Rodgers20 hours ago

Wants To Play In Minnesota
Blake Perkins20 hours ago

Cleared For Light Baseball Activities
Doug Nikhazy20 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Jung Hoo Lee20 hours ago

Scratched On Saturday With Back Tightness
Cody Bradford20 hours ago

Won't Throw For At Least Four Weeks
Washington Commanders21 hours ago

Clelin Ferrell Returning To Washington
New York Jets21 hours ago

Kris Boyd Signs With The Jets
Los Angeles Chargers21 hours ago

Mekhi Becton Inks Deal With Chargers
Tyler Johnson22 hours ago

Links Up With Jets
Kyle Juszczyk22 hours ago

Returns To 49ers
Eeli Tolvanen1 day ago

Scores Twice In Victory
WPG1 day ago

Kyle Connor Strikes Twice On Friday
Jack Roslovic1 day ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Friday's Victory
Leon Draisaitl1 day ago

Leads Edmonton To Victory
Liam O'Brien1 day ago

Exits With Undisclosed Injury
Josh Manson1 day ago

Exits On Friday
Atlanta Falcons1 day ago

Falcons Agree To Terms With Morgan Fox
Indianapolis Colts1 day ago

Colts Sign Corey Ballentine To One-Year Deal On Friday
Pittsburgh Steelers1 day ago

Brandin Echols Signs Two-Year Deal With Steelers
Kenny Yeboah1 day ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Lions
Avery Williams1 day ago

Signs With Eagles
Karel Vejmelka2 days ago

Makes Ninth Consecutive Start Friday
Dustin Wolf2 days ago

Set To Face Avalanche Friday
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Marvin Vettori2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Chidi Njokuani2 days ago

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos2 days ago

Looks For His 12th UFC Win
Kurt Holobaugh2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 104
Alexander Hernandez2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Gibson2 days ago

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Da'Mon Blackshear2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
Brendson Ribeiro2 days ago

Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
Diyar Nurgozhay2 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
MMA2 days ago

Seung Woo Choi In Dire Need Of Victory
Kevin Vallejos2 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 104
Jacob Bridgeman4 days ago

Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
Nicolai Hojgaard4 days ago

Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
Karl Vilips4 days ago

Makes PLAYERS Championship Debut After First PGA Tour Win
Taylor Pendrith4 days ago

A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Sahith Theegala4 days ago

Out Of Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick4 days ago

A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
Scottie Scheffler4 days ago

Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
Aldrich Potgieter4 days ago

A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
Denny McCarthy4 days ago

Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
Collin Morikawa4 days ago

Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
Robert MacIntyre4 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
Jordan Spieth4 days ago

Looking To Change Fortunes At TPC Sawgrass
Cameron Young4 days ago

Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
Michael Kim4 days ago

Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
Justin Thomas4 days ago

Looking For More Magic At TPC Sawgrass
Xander Schauffele4 days ago

Continues Competitive Return At The Players Championship
Rory McIlroy5 days ago

Looks To Reverse Recent History At TPC Sawgrass
PGA5 days ago

Victor Hovland Looking To Find Form At The PLAYERS Championship
Brian Harman5 days ago

A Sleeper Pick At The PLAYERS Championship
Min Woo Lee5 days ago

A Hard Name To Trust At The Players Championship
Alex Pereira6 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev6 days ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Justin Gaethje6 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Rafael Fiziev6 days ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Ignacio Bahamondes6 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Jalin Turner6 days ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Albert Haynesworth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Worst NFL Free Agent Signings Of All Time

With the free agency period for the 2025 NFL season now underway, many big-name players will find new homes as teams compete to sign anyone and everyone they think they need to help their squad. While many signings end up being good moves, or at least help their teams fill holes at certain positions on […]


D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injuries

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Avoids: Running Backs to Buy or Sell (2025)

Running back volume and production is highly mercurial in the NFL. It can thus be difficult to know when to trade away and when to trade for tailbacks. There is constant competition for roles in certain backfields, and red-herring situations are abound due to injuries and plain luck. While some RBs are certainly safe in […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News Updates

2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Third-Year Breakouts

Patience can be tough, especially in fantasy football. We want instant production from rookies, but these players often take a while to get going. These youngsters need to adjust to the speed of the NFL and learn from their early struggles to break out fully. The third year in the NFL is oftentimes when things […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Florio's Free Agency Fantasy Football Winners and Losers!

Free Agency is the most fun week of the NFL offseason. Even when it is not the strongest class, there is never a shortage of excitement. Players changing teams at a rapid rate. It is a week filled with hope that your favorite team will add stars and that those under-the-radar players you love will […]


Josh Downs - 2025 Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook

The 2025 NFL Draft is quickly approaching. For the last few months, dynasty fantasy football gamers have been meticulously studying the incoming rookie class to gain any edge they can on their league mates. While we should be anxiously awaiting our rookie drafts, we must also take time and analyze how veteran players are valued […]


Tyron Smith Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

New York Jets and former long-time Dallas Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith was one of the best offensive linemen in the NFL for an extended period of time. He's made five All-Pro teams, two with the first team and two with the second team, been selected to eight Pro Bowls, and earned a spot on […]


Bills Defense - Von Miller IDP Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Fantasy Football Team Defense

Von Miller Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

Buffalo Bills linebacker Von Miller, one of the greatest pass-rushers in NFL history, was released by his team on March 9, 2025. He had signed a six-year, $120 million deal with the team in 2022, but the soon-to-be 36-year-old wasn't able to make it to the end of that contract, so he's now looking for […]


Aaron Jones - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Staying Put - Impact Players Re-signed: Aaron Jones, Zach Ertz, Jaylen Warren, more

NFL free agency is a frenzy. As football fans, we love to see the movement around the league. It allows us to dream about the possibility of our team signing a fresh player who could make a serious impact. However, one cannot overlook the impact of re-signing significant contributors. While it is not as exciting […]


Tucker Kraft - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends To Buy in 2025

My friend Josh used to make me listen to the Bring Me The Horizon song "Diamonds Aren't Forever," which begins with the line "We will never sleep, cause sleep is for the weak." That sentiment rings true in fantasy football dynasty leagues as well. You can't get complacent. You can't stop thinking about how to […]


Zay Flowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football WR Buy or Sell: Zay Flowers, Rashee Rice, and Jordan Addison (2025)

The 2024 NFL Draft class had seven first-round wide receivers. Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze were selected in the top 10. Meanwhile, Brian Thomas Jr., Xavier Worthy, Ricky Pearsall, and Xavier Legette were Day 1 selections. More importantly, Nabers and Thomas finished their rookie seasons as top-7 wide receivers in half-point PPR […]


Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Sleepers, Draft Targets: Early 2025 Analysis

One of the biggest factors in winning fantasy football teams is finding middle-to-late-round sleepers. With wide receivers typically carrying the most drafted players of any position, it makes sense that taking multiple stabs at the position in search of hitting multiple-round values is the way to set yourself apart in drafts. For 2025, the draft […]


Caleb Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, QB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

2025 NFL Free Agency Frenzy: Biggest Winners and Disappointments at Every Fantasy Football Position

NFL franchises will have an opportunity to reshape their rosters before the draft. Fantasy managers will have a chance to read the tea leaves and make measured strikes against their fantasy football opposition ahead of rookie drafts. Savvy managers will use this period to try to get the best return on some previous investments, as […]


DK Metcalf - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Free Agency Fantasy Football Analysis: Fallers On New Teams (2025)

With the first wave of NFL free agency coming to an end, several fantasy-relevant players have signed on to new teams. The quarterback carousel still has several dominoes to fall, but Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, and Kenny Pickett have found new homes within the first few days of the new league year. The running back […]