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Top 101 Starting Pitchers: Rest-Of-Season Rankings for Fantasy Baseball (Week 13)

Brayan Bello - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Nick Mariano's updated fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings for Week 13 (2023). Baller Ranks is a weekly rankings list for the top-101 starting pitchers.

Welcome to summer, RotoBallers, as we crank up the heat with another edition of my weekly Top 101 Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks breakdown. The temperature is finally climbing here in New England as the fantasy season's third month hits its home stretch. See how your pitching staff stacks up against my two cents going into July with the weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

As usual, the tiers are the most important piece of the puzzle, though the position within them is still informative! We've added the previous week's position and the change (Delta) since then. Do note that I'm writing this before most of Tuesday night's games finish.

These ranks are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues and I try to present key injured pitchers where I have them for the rest of the season. Let's jump in with nearly three months of the season in the books.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Bryce Miller took on doubt after the Yankees and Rangers shelled him in back-to-back outings, but the rookie has stabilized of late. He’s won his last two starts with only one earned run in each tilt, allowing just five combined hits over those 13 innings. Shutting down the White Sox isn’t terribly impressive these days, but he still converted the opportunity. Consider that payback for slogging through a matchup with Texas.

-Eury Perez appears to have pitched himself into an extended timeline after reports about an impending shutdown swirled. Miami is contending for a Wild Card spot and they’d love to have Perez available for a postseason push. The 20-year-old has thrown 76 innings after only throwing 77 last season. Just take each upcoming start as a gift and don’t act surprised if the rug gets pulled.

-Braxton Garrett should maintain his place in the rotation with Trevor Rogers’ setback and Edward Cabrera’s new injury. And the aforementioned likely shutdown for Perez probably comes as one of those guys is set to return.

Garrett has done fantastic in upping his strikeouts while trimming walks in two straight seasons. From 2021’s limited sample (34 IP) to 2022, Garrett’s K-BB% soared from 7.5% to 17.7%. And now that mark has risen to 21.7%. His .330 BABIP is right there with his .334 career mark so don’t look for some luck-infused excuse. Continue riding the wave in Miami.

-Taijuan Walker was fading as June began but his last three outings have seen him tear through the Tigers, Dodgers, and A’s. Not the tallest task, but blanking the Dodgers over five innings is worth something. But what if I told you his Statcast page had his heater sitting at 94-95 mph in those three starts after it had previously fallen to 92 mph?

There is a similar jump for his entire arsenal. His fastball, sinker, splitter, and cutter all have a bit more zip. The four-seamer and sinker have the same velo, while the splitter and cutter also pair up around 89-90 mph. This usually helps him play them off of one another, though he did throw the cutter at a season-high 32% in his last outing.

Perhaps he’s identified a preferable sequencing, only time will tell. But there is an identifiable change under the hood behind the recent success. Don’t just scoff at him facing Oakland and chalk it up to variance.

-Gavin Williams is now scheduled to make his MLB debut on Wednesday against Oakland. The 23-year-old prospect quickly rose to Triple-A after torching Double-A (0.63 ERA, 20 Ks in 14 ⅓ IP). He’s continued to show strong whiffs with 61 punchouts in 46 frames at the higher level but has also seen his walk rate climb to 11.5%. He’ll need to keep that in check, but at least Progressive Field is a pitcher-friendly park. No matter what, the K upside is tremendous.

-Brayan Bello has quietly held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in all 10 starts since his ugly 2023 debut on April 17. He’s crushed the Yankees twice in a row, which you can say is fortunate scheduling, but he gets the White Sox next. Keep on enjoying the matchups, I’d say. The 24-year-old has a 2.86 ERA since, though the 3.88 FIP/3.82 xFIP are a bit more realistic moving forward.

He has the usual elite 59% groundball rate going for him, yet a .267 BABIP is generous for a Red Sox team sporting a -18 OAA (Outs Above Average). That’s the worst in baseball, folks. Debate the merits of defensive metrics as you like, but I think we can all agree that a team grading out as the worst probably has some traction.

-Kyle Hendricks isn’t winning any strikeout titles, but he has only walked six and allowed one home run over his first five starts of 2023 (28 ⅓ IP). His form had fallen in 2021 and ‘22, but his stellar seasons between 2014-20 were built on inducing crummy contact and painting corners. Across his 10-year career, Hendricks has never had a BABIP above .300 against him.

However, I’d caution you from buying into the surface stats too much, as his Statcast page shows the expected stats far more in line with ‘21 and ‘22 versus a renaissance back to his prime days. I know xStats can take some time to marinate, but his current xERA of 4.53 is way ahead of the 2.86 ERA. Compare that to 2022’s 5.07 xERA (4.80 ERA) and 2021’s 4.95 xERA (4.77 ERA). Just be careful out there.

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 13

Tier Name Rank $Value Last Rank Delta
1 Spencer Strider 1 $43.5 2 1
1 Shane McClanahan 2 $43.0 3 1
1 Shohei Ohtani 3 $42.0 1 -2
1 Gerrit Cole 4 $42.0 4 0
2 Luis Castillo 5 $41.0 5 0
2 Kevin Gausman 6 $40.0 6 0
2 Zack Wheeler 7 $39.0 9 2
2 Zac Gallen 8 $38.0 8 0
2 Corbin Burnes 9 $36.5 7 -2
2 Clayton Kershaw 10 $36.0 10 0
2 Framber Valdez 11 $35.0 12 1
2 Cristian Javier 12 $34.0 11 -1
2 Max Scherzer 13 $31.5 13 0
2 Nathan Eovaldi 14 $31.5 14 0
2 Aaron Nola 15 $31.0 15 0
3 Yu Darvish 16 $29.5 16 0
3 Justin Verlander 17 $28.5 17 0
3 Logan Webb 18 $28.5 19 1
3 Joe Ryan 19 $27.0 18 -1
3 Julio Urias 20 $26.0 20 0
3 Tyler Glasnow 21 $25.0 22 1
3 Joe Musgrove 22 $24.0 23 1
3 George Kirby 23 $23.5 27 4
3 Shane Bieber 24 $24.0 24 0
3 Dylan Cease 25 $23.0 30 5
3 Blake Snell 26 $22.0 41 15
3 Chris Bassitt 27 $21.5 25 -2
4 Sandy Alcantara 28 $19.5 21 -7
4 Pablo Lopez 29 $19.5 29 0
4 Hunter Brown 30 $19.0 31 1
4 Marcus Stroman 31 $19.0 37 6
4 Sonny Gray 32 $18.0 26 -6
4 Jon Gray 33 $17.0 34 1
4 Mitch Keller 34 $17.0 35 1
4 Zach Eflin 35 $17.0 36 1
5 Logan Gilbert 36 $16.5 28 -8
5 Jesus Luzardo 37 $16.5 38 1
5 Jordan Montgomery 38 $16.0 40 2
5 Charlie Morton 39 $15.5 43 4
5 Bobby Miller 40 $15.0 44 4
5 Andrew Heaney 41 $15.0 45 4
5 Justin Steele 42 $14.5 46 4
5 Bryce Miller 43 $14.5 48 5
5 Carlos Rodon 44 $14.0 50 6
6 Tanner Bibee 45 $13.5 39 -6
6 Nestor Cortes 46 $13.5 47 1
6 Freddy Peralta 47 $13.5 49 2
6 Brandon Woodruff 48 $13.0 51 3
6 Luis Severino 49 $12.0 42 -7
6 Merrill Kelly 50 $11.0 52 2
6 Michael Wacha 51 $10.5 56 5
6 Kodai Senga 52 $10.5 53 1
6 Michael Kopech 53 $10.0 57 4
6 Tyler Wells 54 $10.0 58 4
6 Lucas Giolito 55 $10.0 59 4
6 Andrew Abbott 56 $10.0 61 5
6 James Paxton 57 $9.5 62 5
6 Lance Lynn 58 $9.0 64 6
6 Eury Perez 59 $8.5 68 9
7 Bryce Elder 60 $8.0 60 0
7 Tony Gonsolin 61 $8.0 63 2
7 Jose Berrios 62 $8.0 66 4
7 Bailey Ober 63 $8.0 67 4
7 Logan Allen 64 $7.0 55 -9
7 Hunter Greene 65 $6.0 32 -33
7 Taj Bradley 66 $6.0 71 5
7 Jack Flaherty 67 $6.0 72 5
7 Braxton Garrett 68 $5.5 77 9
7 MacKenzie Gore 69 $5.0 69 0
7 Reid Detmers 70 $5.0 79 9
7 Gavin Williams 71 $4.5 -- --
7 Garrett Whitlock 72 $4.5 82 10
7 Taijuan Walker 73 $4.5 86 13
7 Ranger Suarez 74 $4.5 99 25
8 Drew Smyly 75 $4.0 73 -2
8 J.P. France 76 $4.0 74 -2
8 Kyle Bradish 77 $4.0 75 -2
8 Domingo German 78 $4.0 76 -2
8 Miles Mikolas 79 $3.5 78 -1
8 Alex Cobb 80 $3.5 54 -26
8 Max Fried 81 $3.0 85 4
8 Griffin Canning 82 $3.0 87 5
8 Jameson Taillon 83 $2.5 81 -2
8 Anthony DeSclafani 84 $2.5 84 0
8 Josiah Gray 85 $2.0 80 -5
8 Chris Sale 86 $2.0 88 2
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 87 $2.0 89 2
9 Patrick Sandoval 88 $2.0 90 2
9 Johan Oviedo 89 $2.0 91 2
9 Brayan Bello 90 $1.5 98 8
9 AJ Smith-Shawver 91 $1.5 93 2
9 Kutter Crawford 92 $1.5 -- --
9 Ben Lively 93 $1.5 92 -1
9 Bryan Woo 94 $1.0 -- --
9 Michael Lorenzen 95 $1.0 94 -1
9 JP Sears 96 $1.0 96 0
9 Dane Dunning 97 $1.0 95 -2
9 Trevor Richards 98 $1.0 100 2
9 Kyle Hendricks 99 $1.0 -- --
9 Wade Miley 100 $1.0 -- --
9 Yusei Kikuchi 101 $1.0 -- --


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