🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

Our series of bold predictions continues. It has been a while since I contributed here at RotoBaller, but with my Master's Thesis winding down and the baseball season looming, I felt it was about time to hop back into the fold. Let's dust off the old hunch machine and see what kind of bold fantasy baseball predictions I can come up with this year.

I'm one auction draft deep at this point, and it was blatantly clear to me during that draft that I haven't done enough research for the season yet. Even still, here's a few players I'm high on and some that I will be avoiding.

Let's get to it!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

1. Byron Buxton will be a top 20 OF in 5x5 roto leagues

Buxton was the top prospect in baseball what seems like forever ago, but he struggled each and every time the Twins tried to bring him up to the bigs. That was, until September of last year. After finally regaining his power stroke with the AAA Rochester Redwings (I witnessed one of his towering bombs in person at Frontier Field in August), he returned to the Major Leage club and mashed nine home runs in the final month of games.

If he can produce those bombs at even half the pace he displayed in September, we're looking at a 22-25 HR outfielder with blistering speed. I'd imagine the worrisome strikeout rate will regress, and .280 will be an attainable batting average for Buxton. In both roto and points leagues, espeically those that don't penalize for strikeouts, that's a great value for his current consensus ADP of 178 (FantasyPros).

 

2. Yasmani Grandal will hit 30+ HR this season

Some fantasy analysts see Grandal's 27 HRs last year as an inflated number, aided by a high HR/FB percentage (25%) and of course the league-wide power boom. I think it's a sign of more things to come. Sure, I'm partially biased since his power binge carried me to a championship late last season, but hear me out. Grandal had a crazy high hard hit percentage of nearly 39% in 2016 and pulled the ball over 40% of time he made contact. That combination combined with a 39% fly ball rate makes for a decent power hitter.

Sure, Grandal rests a little more than the average catcher. And yeah, he has had some injury worries in the past. But hey, if this guy can get back some of the batting average points from 2015 and keep hitting hard balls in this Dodger lineup, you can expect top 5 production at a catcher position that rarely provides this type of power boost in roto leagues.

 

3. Joey Votto and Freddie Freeman will join Paul Goldschmidt in the top 3 of points league first baseman

Goldschmidt is not part of this bold prediction. This is basically my way of saying Votto and Freeman are two of my favorite first baseman to draft this season. Especially in points leagues where extra base hits and walks count for something, these two studs are right up my alley.

Both hitters have the ability to leave the ballpark at any time, and the young reinforcements joining their lineups should help their overall production. Votto has the better contact skills when he is on, so obviously he'll be the first to come off the board. Still, Freeman shouldn't be far behind, and both have the ability to put up gamechanging numbers, just like we saw at the end of last season.

 

4. James Paxton will become an ace

We saw glimpses of some nasty, nasty pitching by Paxton at the end of last season. He finally got his fastball and curveball to work together in the perfect harmony, baffling any hitter who dared to swing at them. According to Paul Sporer, a mechanical change vaulted Paxton's average fastball velocity to 96.8 mph (third best among starters in the MLB).

If Paxton can stay healthy and improve on his 171 total innings last year, the potential is there for him to turn this mechanical change into a career path change. You can currently get him just before Buxton, and he may also rank in the top 20 at his position come season's end.

 

5. Sean Manaea will strike out 200 batters in 2017

What can I say, I love my big lefties. I think the only thing holding Manaea back from completing this feat is a potential innings limit... OK so there are other possible outcomes. Even still, this is another young pitcher who made great strides in striekout and walk rates at the end of last season.

Manaea has an elite slider that he pairs with a decent four-seem fastball and changeup. With improved command at the end of 2016 and the ability to get ahead in counts, he put his strikeout slider on display. If Manaea can convince his manager to give him 190 innings or so this season, 200 strikeouts and fantasy stardom are firmly in reach.

 

6. Hector Neris saves 35 games in 2017

Yes, I am also predicting that the Phillies will win 35 games. Crazy, I know (Go Pirates!). As a Pirates fan, I have seen Jeanmar Gomez pitch first hand. Let me tell you, I have no idea how he succeeded as a closer last season. Needless to say, I'm not convinced. I'm predicting impending doom for Gomez, and thus expect the talented Neris to be closing by May.

Neris has elite strikeout per inning stuff, and if he can win the job I think this Phillies team will give him plenty of close leads to work with. Especially in leagues that reward holds alongside saves, Neris is a relief pitcher to keep an eye on come draft day.

 

7. Daniel Murphy will hit below .290 this season

I don't have a whole lot of stats to back this one up, other than the vague notion that 31-year old players just don't up and raise their batting averages .70 points... like ever.

I get it, he benefitted from moving to a better lineup and redefined his swing. Whatever. What I will say is that I won't be spending a third round pick on him. Or a fourth. Or a fifth. So I guess I'm not getting him.

 

 8. The worst case scenario happens with Billy Hamilton

Everyone's excited by the massive stolen base and run potential that the speedy Hamilton provides. And sure, it's exciting to think about his skill set. But everyone who's drafting him before rounds 9 or 10 is taking a huge leap of faith.

Remember, this is a guy who almost lost his job a couple of times due to inability to get on base. It's tough to be productive in the steals and runs categories when you're in the dugout. Hamilton could have very well turned a corner last year, but I'll believe it when he does it for a full season. Until then, I'll settle for proven hitters who can contribute accrose the board in the middle rounds over the risky Hamilton.

 

9. Matt Harvey will be on the waiver wire by the end of the 2017 season

This is my way of saying that Harvey is on my "Do Not Draft" list. We saw the warning signs last season when his fastball velocity dropped and his strikeout rate followed suit. The once ace pitcher had numerous rought starts last year, and while there are some murmers of optimism coming from risk-taking fantasy owners this draft season, I'm not one of them.

My stance is simple: There are too many up and coming pitchers to be taking shots on someone like Harvey at this stage in his career. Sure, there's a chance he turns back into a decent option in the middle of your fantasy rotation. But that seems like the best case scenario at this point. You'll find me taking shots on guys like Robbie Ray and Tyler Glasnow instead.

 

10. Andrew McCutchen has the best right fielder season in Pittsburgh since Roberto Clemente

I saved my homer pick for last, and be warned there's not much backing it. McCutchen said all the right things in his Player's Tribune article last month. He's now being asked to shift over to right field, and it would be a great time to demand a trade in order to resurrect his career as a center fielder for a team who actually makes big moves at the trade deadlines.

But Cutch is staying put, and it seems like he's embracing this unique opportunity. As a diehard Buccos fan, I can't be any happier. McCutchen wants to fill the shoes of The Great One, standing in the shadows of The Clemente Wall instead of dead center field. I've never been much of a narrative guy, but I promise you that I'll have some McCutchen shares by the time April rolls around, especially if he gets off to a slow start. Let's see if the man who revived baseball in Pittsburgh can return to his status as the feared, clutch hitter he was two years ago.

 

More 2017 RotoBaller Predictions




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Bam Knight

Carted Off, Questionable To Return With Ankle Injury
Joel Embiid

Questionable Versus Atlanta
Jarrett Allen

Expected to Return on Sunday
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out Before Kickoff
Puka Nacua

Rams Prioritizing Puka Nacua Extension
Collin Sexton

Unavailable Against Cleveland
Khris Middleton

Still Sidelined Versus Pacers
Alexandre Sarr

Out Again on Sunday
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Inactive for Week 15 Against Giants
Quentin Johnston

Sitting Out With Groin Injury in Week 15
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Active for Week 15 Against Giants
Rome Odunze

Officially Active for Week 15 Against Browns
De'Von Achane

Cleared to Play Against Steelers in Week 15
Ayo Dosunmu

Unlikely to Play vs. Pelicans
Tyrese Maxey

Trending Toward Second Straight Absence
LaMelo Ball

Misses Third Straight Game
Kristaps Porzingis

Remains Out Versus 76ers
Drew Eubanks

To Miss Time With Thumb Fracture
Evan Mobley

Sidelined 2-4 Weeks With Grade 1 Calf Strain
Jake Ferguson

Expected to Play in Week 15
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

is a Game-Time Decision for Week 15
Rome Odunze

Bears Remain Optimistic That Rome Odunze Will Play Against Browns
Christian McCaffrey

Trending Toward Playing in Week 15
Davante Adams

Expected to Suit Up Against Lions
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 15
Viktor Arvidsson

Not Expected to Play Sunday
Elias Pettersson

Unavailable Sunday
Jonas Brodin

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Emil Lilleberg

Exits Early Saturday
Will Smith

Hurt in Saturday's Victory
Pavel Dorofeyev

Exits Win With Injury
Jalen Suggs

Injured on Saturday Night, Leaves Arena in a Wheelchair
Daniel Jones

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to be Ready for Training Camp
Brandon Aiyuk

Placed on Reserve/Left Squad List, Out for the Season
Christian McCaffrey

Expected to Play in Week 15
Haydn Fleury

Cleared to Play
Simon Nemec

to Miss "Some Time"
Jake Evans

Back for Canadiens Saturday
Ilya Lyubushkin

Returns to Stars Lineup Saturday
Roope Hintz

Good to Go Saturday
Charlie Lindgren

Activated From Injured Reserve
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Available Against Oilers
William Nylander

a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers' "Optimism Has Run Out" on Brandon Aiyuk
Philip Rivers

Will Start on Sunday Against the Seahawks
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
De'Von Achane

Expected to Play Monday Night
Rome Odunze

Bears Optimistic Rome Odunze Will Play in Week 15
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
Cason Wallace

Off Injury Report Saturday
Keyonte George

Erupts for Career-High 39 Points Against Memphis
Bones Hyland

Exits Early With Knee Contusion
Isaiah Joe

To Miss Fourth Straight Game
Isaiah Hartenstein

Removed From Injury Report
Austin Reaves

To Be Re-Evaluated In One Week With Calf Strain
Logan O'Connor

Still Not Ready for Season Debut
Lukas Dostal

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ

Arseni Gritsyuk Ruled Out for Weekend's Action
Connor Bedard

Ruled Out for Saturday
Zeev Buium

Canucks Acquire Zeev Buium From Wild
Marco Rossi

Moves to Vancouver
Quinn Hughes

Traded to WIld
Joel Embiid

Available Against Indiana
Ja Morant

Back on Friday Night
Tre Jones

is Returning on Friday
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
Kennedy Nzechukwu

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 112
King Green

Returns At UFC Vegas 112
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 112 Main Card
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody
CFB

Joe Klanderman Joining Baylor Coaching Staff
CFB

Kentucky Hiring Jay Bateman as Next Defensive Coordinator
Si Woo Kim

Closes 2025 With Strong Finish Among Putting Woes
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Rebound in 2026 After Down Year Off the Tee
Brian Harman

2025 Season a Step Back Despite Spring Win
Sam Burns

' Elite Putting Headlines a Solid 2025 Season
Sepp Straka

Ends Stellar 2025 Campaign on a High Note
Robert MacIntyre

Closes Out a Steady 2025 Campaign
CFB

Chip Kelly Interviews for Georgia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

Louisville Receiver Chris Bell has a Torn ACL
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
CFB

Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
Justin Rose

Turns Back the Clock in 2025
CFB

Jim Knowles Expected to be Hired as Tennessee's Defensive Coordinator
Harris English

Enjoys Solid Finish at Hero World Challenge
CFB

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles Not Being Retained at Penn State
CFB

Indiana's Stephen Daley Done for Season After Post-Game Injury
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Kyle Finnegan

Tigers, Kyle Finnegan Agree on Two-Year Deal
Bo Bichette

Red Sox Out on Bo Bichette For Now
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Extend Manager Rob Thomson Through 2027 Season
Michael King

the Mets' Top Rotation Target?
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Could Move Back to Leadoff Spot
CFB

Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
CFB

Bryan Harsin, Justin Wilcox Candidates for Washington State Head Coach Job?
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Agrees to Deal With the Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber

Returning to Phillies on Five-Year Deal
CFB

Ole Miss Hiring John David Baker as Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Ty Howle the Top Target for Virginia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
Shohei Ohtani

to be Used More as Traditional Starting Pitcher Next Year
Yordan Alvarez

to Become Full-Time DH in 2026?
Mason Miller

Padres Plan to Keep Mason Miller in the Bullpen
Ranger Suárez

Orioles Interested in Signing Ranger Suarez
Anthony Volpe

Yankees Don't Expect Anthony Volpe to be Ready in April
Gerrit Cole

Targeting a Return in May/June

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP