👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

Our series of bold predictions continues. It has been a while since I contributed here at RotoBaller, but with my Master's Thesis winding down and the baseball season looming, I felt it was about time to hop back into the fold. Let's dust off the old hunch machine and see what kind of bold fantasy baseball predictions I can come up with this year.

I'm one auction draft deep at this point, and it was blatantly clear to me during that draft that I haven't done enough research for the season yet. Even still, here's a few players I'm high on and some that I will be avoiding.

Let's get to it!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

1. Byron Buxton will be a top 20 OF in 5x5 roto leagues

Buxton was the top prospect in baseball what seems like forever ago, but he struggled each and every time the Twins tried to bring him up to the bigs. That was, until September of last year. After finally regaining his power stroke with the AAA Rochester Redwings (I witnessed one of his towering bombs in person at Frontier Field in August), he returned to the Major Leage club and mashed nine home runs in the final month of games.

If he can produce those bombs at even half the pace he displayed in September, we're looking at a 22-25 HR outfielder with blistering speed. I'd imagine the worrisome strikeout rate will regress, and .280 will be an attainable batting average for Buxton. In both roto and points leagues, espeically those that don't penalize for strikeouts, that's a great value for his current consensus ADP of 178 (FantasyPros).

 

2. Yasmani Grandal will hit 30+ HR this season

Some fantasy analysts see Grandal's 27 HRs last year as an inflated number, aided by a high HR/FB percentage (25%) and of course the league-wide power boom. I think it's a sign of more things to come. Sure, I'm partially biased since his power binge carried me to a championship late last season, but hear me out. Grandal had a crazy high hard hit percentage of nearly 39% in 2016 and pulled the ball over 40% of time he made contact. That combination combined with a 39% fly ball rate makes for a decent power hitter.

Sure, Grandal rests a little more than the average catcher. And yeah, he has had some injury worries in the past. But hey, if this guy can get back some of the batting average points from 2015 and keep hitting hard balls in this Dodger lineup, you can expect top 5 production at a catcher position that rarely provides this type of power boost in roto leagues.

 

3. Joey Votto and Freddie Freeman will join Paul Goldschmidt in the top 3 of points league first baseman

Goldschmidt is not part of this bold prediction. This is basically my way of saying Votto and Freeman are two of my favorite first baseman to draft this season. Especially in points leagues where extra base hits and walks count for something, these two studs are right up my alley.

Both hitters have the ability to leave the ballpark at any time, and the young reinforcements joining their lineups should help their overall production. Votto has the better contact skills when he is on, so obviously he'll be the first to come off the board. Still, Freeman shouldn't be far behind, and both have the ability to put up gamechanging numbers, just like we saw at the end of last season.

 

4. James Paxton will become an ace

We saw glimpses of some nasty, nasty pitching by Paxton at the end of last season. He finally got his fastball and curveball to work together in the perfect harmony, baffling any hitter who dared to swing at them. According to Paul Sporer, a mechanical change vaulted Paxton's average fastball velocity to 96.8 mph (third best among starters in the MLB).

If Paxton can stay healthy and improve on his 171 total innings last year, the potential is there for him to turn this mechanical change into a career path change. You can currently get him just before Buxton, and he may also rank in the top 20 at his position come season's end.

 

5. Sean Manaea will strike out 200 batters in 2017

What can I say, I love my big lefties. I think the only thing holding Manaea back from completing this feat is a potential innings limit... OK so there are other possible outcomes. Even still, this is another young pitcher who made great strides in striekout and walk rates at the end of last season.

Manaea has an elite slider that he pairs with a decent four-seem fastball and changeup. With improved command at the end of 2016 and the ability to get ahead in counts, he put his strikeout slider on display. If Manaea can convince his manager to give him 190 innings or so this season, 200 strikeouts and fantasy stardom are firmly in reach.

 

6. Hector Neris saves 35 games in 2017

Yes, I am also predicting that the Phillies will win 35 games. Crazy, I know (Go Pirates!). As a Pirates fan, I have seen Jeanmar Gomez pitch first hand. Let me tell you, I have no idea how he succeeded as a closer last season. Needless to say, I'm not convinced. I'm predicting impending doom for Gomez, and thus expect the talented Neris to be closing by May.

Neris has elite strikeout per inning stuff, and if he can win the job I think this Phillies team will give him plenty of close leads to work with. Especially in leagues that reward holds alongside saves, Neris is a relief pitcher to keep an eye on come draft day.

 

7. Daniel Murphy will hit below .290 this season

I don't have a whole lot of stats to back this one up, other than the vague notion that 31-year old players just don't up and raise their batting averages .70 points... like ever.

I get it, he benefitted from moving to a better lineup and redefined his swing. Whatever. What I will say is that I won't be spending a third round pick on him. Or a fourth. Or a fifth. So I guess I'm not getting him.

 

 8. The worst case scenario happens with Billy Hamilton

Everyone's excited by the massive stolen base and run potential that the speedy Hamilton provides. And sure, it's exciting to think about his skill set. But everyone who's drafting him before rounds 9 or 10 is taking a huge leap of faith.

Remember, this is a guy who almost lost his job a couple of times due to inability to get on base. It's tough to be productive in the steals and runs categories when you're in the dugout. Hamilton could have very well turned a corner last year, but I'll believe it when he does it for a full season. Until then, I'll settle for proven hitters who can contribute accrose the board in the middle rounds over the risky Hamilton.

 

9. Matt Harvey will be on the waiver wire by the end of the 2017 season

This is my way of saying that Harvey is on my "Do Not Draft" list. We saw the warning signs last season when his fastball velocity dropped and his strikeout rate followed suit. The once ace pitcher had numerous rought starts last year, and while there are some murmers of optimism coming from risk-taking fantasy owners this draft season, I'm not one of them.

My stance is simple: There are too many up and coming pitchers to be taking shots on someone like Harvey at this stage in his career. Sure, there's a chance he turns back into a decent option in the middle of your fantasy rotation. But that seems like the best case scenario at this point. You'll find me taking shots on guys like Robbie Ray and Tyler Glasnow instead.

 

10. Andrew McCutchen has the best right fielder season in Pittsburgh since Roberto Clemente

I saved my homer pick for last, and be warned there's not much backing it. McCutchen said all the right things in his Player's Tribune article last month. He's now being asked to shift over to right field, and it would be a great time to demand a trade in order to resurrect his career as a center fielder for a team who actually makes big moves at the trade deadlines.

But Cutch is staying put, and it seems like he's embracing this unique opportunity. As a diehard Buccos fan, I can't be any happier. McCutchen wants to fill the shoes of The Great One, standing in the shadows of The Clemente Wall instead of dead center field. I've never been much of a narrative guy, but I promise you that I'll have some McCutchen shares by the time April rolls around, especially if he gets off to a slow start. Let's see if the man who revived baseball in Pittsburgh can return to his status as the feared, clutch hitter he was two years ago.

 

More 2017 RotoBaller Predictions




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Immanuel Quickley

Questionable for Game 1
Kristaps Porzingis

Expected to Play Friday
Joel Embiid

Officially Out for Game 1 Against Celtics
Aaron Jones Sr.

Role in Minnesota Could Continue to Decrease in 2026
Romeo Doubs

Appears Poised for Larger Role in New England
Isiah Pacheco

Is Isiah Pacheco a Worthy Buy-Low Target for Dynasty Managers?
Rico Dowdle

Will Rico Dowdle Emerge as the Clear RB1 in Pittsburgh?
Rashid Shaheed

Can Rashid Shaheed Establish a Higher-Volume Role in Seattle in 2026?
Marcus Mariota

Set for Backup Role in 2026
Josh Hader

Moved to 60-Day Injured List
Ruke Orhorhoro

Jaguars Acquire Ruke Orhorhoro From the Falcons
NFL

Jordyn Tyson Could Come Off the Board as Early as Fifth Overall
Willson Contreras

Returns to Red Sox Lineup on Friday
Daniel Palencia

Goes on 15-Day Injured List With Oblique Strain
Jacoby Brissett

Sitting Out Offseason Workouts, Asking for Extension
Will Anderson Jr.

Texans Agree to Three-Year Extension With Will Anderson Jr.
Juan Soto

Still on Track to Return Next Week
Los Angeles Angels

Garret Anderson Dies at 53 Years Old
Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers Not Expected to Take a QB at No. 21 Overall in the Draft
NFL

Jordyn Tyson's Friday Workout to be Heavily Attended
Quentin Johnston

Chargers Shut Down Trade Rumors Surrounding Quentin Johnston
Najee Harris

a Name to Remember After the NFL Draft
Mike Malott

A Favorite At UFC Winnipeg
NFL

Malachi Fields Could Provide More Value to NFL Team Than Fantasy Managers
Gilbert Burns

Set For UFC Winnipeg Main Event
Travis Etienne Jr.

Entering a Second Dynasty Peak
Kyler Phillips

Set UFC Winnipeg Co-Main Event
Charles Jourdain

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Tyler Allgeier

Familiarity with System Could Give Him an Early Edge
Jai Herbert

An Underdog At UFC Winnipeg
Kenneth Gainwell

Should Carve Out Meaningful Role with Buccaneers
NFL

Can Zachariah Branch Actually Succeed for Fantasy?
Mandel Nallo

Set For His UFC Debut
Ja Morant

Trade Talks Likely to Resume
Karine Silva

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Washington Wizards

Brian Keefe to Return as Washington Head Coach
Luka Dončić

Cade Cunningham, Luka Doncic Cleared for Awards Eligibility
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Looks To Bounce Back
Kristaps Porzingis

Could Sit in Must-Win Game
Quinten Post

Ruled Out for Friday's Play-In Game
Robert Thomas

Wraps Up Season With a Hat Trick
Mark Williams

Could Sit in Play-In Clash
Macklin Celebrini

Establishes Sharks' New Scoring Record
Grayson Allen

Iffy for Friday's Play-In Game
Scott Wedgewood

Keeps Kraken From Scoring Thursday
Nathan MacKinnon

Wins Rocket Richard Trophy With 53 Goals
Connor McDavid

Secures Sixth Art Ross Trophy With Four-Assist Performance
Connor Dewar

Ready for Game 1
Nikita Grebenkin

Unavailable at Start of Playoffs
Mac Jones

Is Mac Jones Worth Stashing in Dynasty Leagues?
Tez Johnson

Due for Touchdown Regression in Year 2
Parker Messick

Flirts With No-Hitter in Latest Gem Against Orioles
Jock Landale

Hawks Plan to Re-Evalute Jock Landale in Two Weeks
Mike Trout

Hits Five Homers in Series Versus Yankees
Jonathan Isaac

Considered Questionable for Matchup Versus Hornets
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Listed as Questionable for Friday
Joel Embiid

Expected to Miss Start of Playoffs
CGY

Arsenii Sergeev to Make NHL Debut Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Cleared for World Championship
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Dealing With Fractured Hand
Zach Whitecloud

Ready to Rock Thursday
Matt Coronato

Available Against Kings
Josh Manson

Expected to Return for Postseason
Nathan MacKinnon

Martin Necas Sit Out Regular-Season Finale
Spencer Arrighetti

Fans 10 in Season Debut, to Remain a Focal Point in Rotation?
Nick Pivetta

Dealing With Flexor Strain, Could Miss Months
Nico Hoerner

Homers, Drive in Five in Win Over Phillies
Shota Imanaga

Strikes Out 11 in First Win of the Season
Sal Stewart

Continues to Hit, Goes Deep Twice on Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani

Strikes Out 10 in Win Over Mets
Connor Bedard

Has Two Assists in Season Finale
Claude Giroux

Sends Out Two Assists in Battle of Ontario Win
Tye Kartye

Registers First Career Three-Point Game
Owen Power

Records Two Assists Wednesday
Esa Lindell

Tallies Two Points in Regular-Season Finale
Reilly Smith

Produces Three-Point Performance Wednesday
Shane Wright

Returns With a Goal Wednesday
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads Clippers in Scoring Wednesday Night
Kristaps Porzingis

Impresses in Play-In Win
Stephen Curry

Leads Warriors to Vital Victory With 35 Points
Desmond Bane

Scores Game-High 34 Points in Play-In Loss
Tyrese Maxey

Guides 76ers Into Playoffs With 31-Point Effort
LaMelo Ball

Receives $60,000 Fine for Tuesday's Actions
Thomas Bryant

Practices in Limited Capacity Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch on Wednesday, But Won't DH
Nick Pivetta

Confident he'll Pitch Again This Year
Trevor Story

Carries Red Sox With Five RBI on Wednesday
Sam Antonacci

Officially Called Up by White Sox
Jorge Soler

Suspension Reduced to Four Games
Harrison Bader

Giants Place Harrison Bader on 10-Day Injured List With Hamstring Strain
CFB

Michigan Lands Commitment From Quarterback Kamden Lopati
Ketel Marte

Serving as Designated Hitter on Wednesday
Kevin McGonigle

Tigers, Kevin McGonigle Agree to Eight-Year Contract Extension
Sahith Theegala

Brings Strong Form Into Harbour Town
Wyndham Clark

Needs Putter to Show Up at RBC Heritage
Jacob Bridgeman

Looks to Return to Elite Form at Harbour Town
J.J. Spaun

a Volatile Option at RBC Heritage
PGA

Sungjae Im Offers High-Upside Value at RBC Heritage
Matt Fitzpatrick

Set for Another Strong Showing at RBC Heritage
Jason Day

Eyes Bounce-Back After Sunday Struggles at the Masters
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Rebound at Harbour Town
Cameron Young

Hoping to Secure Second Win of Season at RBC Heritage
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Again at RBC Heritage
Shane Lowry

Has Disappointing Final Round at Masters
Viktor Hovland

Hoping to Build on Final Round at Masters
Brian Harman

Struggling For Consistency Heading to RBC Heritage
Chris Gotterup

Putting Together Outstanding 2026 Season
Justin Thomas

Looks to Defend in Hilton Head
Jordan Spieth

in Search of Improved Putting at RBC Heritage
Marco Penge

May Continue Up-and-Down Ride at the RBC Heritage
Xander Schauffele

Could Get The Job Done at RBC Heritage
Jake Knapp

Keeps Building Strong Results in 2026
Kurt Kitayama

Trying to Regain Form From Florida
Collin Morikawa

Continues to be a Scary DFS Play at RBC Heritage
CFB

Tramell Jones Jr. Outperforms Aaron Philo During Florida's Spring Scrimmage
CFB

Keelon Russell Flashes in Alabama's Spring Game
Ty Gibbs

Holds off the Field for His First Cup Series Victory at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Earns His First Runner-Up Finish at Bristol
Kyle Larson

Dominant Performance At Bristol Falls Short of Victory
Tyler Reddick

Matches his Career-Best Finish at Bristol
Alex Bowman

Crashes Early at Bristol in Return From Injury
Carlos Ulberg

Is The New Light Heavyweight Champion
Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Azamat Murzakanov

Suffers His First Loss
Paulo Costa

Wins Back-to-Back Fights
Curtis Blaydes

Drops Decision At UFC 327
Josh Hokit

Remains Unbeaten
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar A Worthy DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Be A Solid DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF