X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Wide Receiver ADP Fallers

Antonio Losada looks at the fantasy football ADP variation of three wide receivers from mid-July to mid-August and assesses their fantasy football value at WR in 2021.

We continue looking at ADP risers and fallers through the offseason as we already completed our first run back in June.

Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to draft and get a player on your team.

ADPs are helpful to gauge the average value of players on draft day as viewed by the competition.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Wide Receivers - ADP Fallers

 

Michael Thomas - New Orleans Saints

Welp. Michael Thomas, even entering his first non-Brees season, projected to a rather nice fantasy haul in New Orleans for the 2021 campaign. Now? Not so much, mostly because of an injury he sustained in June that required surgery with an expected four-month recovery time. Uh oh. Obviously, Thomas' sky-high ADP is cratering. Thomas has gone from a borderline second-round pick in most fantasy leagues to a virtual afterthought (considering his talent), dropping all the way to an average ADP of 100 overall.

Four months on the shelf means Thomas is probably missing around five games. That, sadly, just removes him from any WR1 conversation. It is what it is. When we discuss players at the absolute top of the ladder, it makes no sense banking on anyone with even the slightest of concerns around his status or upside. That's Thomas this season, as much as we hate it.

The Saints already were to have it tough fielding either Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill at the QB position, and now they will also have to work with a receiving corps made out of Tre'Quan Smith, Marquez Callaway, and TE Adam Trautman on top of that for at least a third of the season. The prices of those receivers aren't super-high (they're cheap, in fact), but what's the real upside they bring to the table, honestly? Make them WW targets at most.

 

Michael Pittman Jr. - Indianapolis Colts

It was all good around the Indy Colts... until it was not anymore. At the end of July, reports told us about WR Parris Campbell getting fully fit and ready to practice in full capacity during the month of August--the first knock on Pittman's upside. But a few days after that, the real blow came in the news of recently-signed QB Carson Wentz undergoing surgery and potentially missing 6-to-12 weeks.

There was a reason for Indianapolis to jump onto QB Brett Hundley just hours before this was reported, I guess--the second knock on Pittsman's upside. If Carson Wentz was already a borderline-draftable QB, he's now the man you have to fade no matter what. And with Hundley manning the offense, well, I need to be brutally honest and tell you to do so with all offensive players on the Colts for 2021.

Redraft leagues are about this-moment performance. Pittman wasn't probably going to win you the league, but he could be somewhat valuable. But now? Forget about it. Dynasty value might still be there, but nothing else. Pittman's ADP of 124 (nearly a 10th-rounder) needs to keep going down. I wouldn't advise taking Pittman in any draft, and if anything, just keep an eye on the WW and the performance of the Colts at the start of the year in case he somehow finds his way to some FP. Not worth the gamble.

 

Marquise Brown - Baltimore Ravens

Though Marquise Brown shows up in the chart above with the third-highest ADP drop among wideouts in the past month, the truth is that has only meant a 14-position fall which translates to not much more than a full round in 12-team leagues' drafts. So let's calm down a bit. That being said, there is legit concern regarding Brown and his hammy injury from earlier this month.

Brown got injured in the hamstring and it looks like the issues might be a little bit more worrisome than initially feared. Banged-up hammy + speedy athlete add up to problems, which is why fantasy GMs are shying away from Marquise, if only a bit. Adding wood to the Ravens' fire, rookie Rashod Bateman got injured himself on Aug. 10, leaving the receiving corps in a shaky state. Brown's GMs would have "celebrated" that news, but with Brown's own questionable situation, it's not that he's going to gain that much from Bateman's potential absence.

All of this stuff considered, Brown has moved between ADPs of 110 and 130 during the past few weeks. That's a reasonable price to pay for the potential WR1 in Baltimore come the 2021 campaign. Brown projects to 158+ PPR points and a WR59 finish with chances of getting into the WR4 realm (at least) if he truly connects with QB Lamar Jackson from day one. Brown has already reached 146.4 and 183 fantasy points in his two years as a pro, so it's not crazy to think he can keep raising the bar one more time this season.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cincinnati Reds5 hours ago

Terry Francona Returns After Dealing With Stomach Issue
Shohei Ohtani6 hours ago

Has "Positive" Bullpen On Saturday
Spencer Strider6 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start On Thursday
Luis Torrens6 hours ago

Dealing With Bruised Forearm
George Springer6 hours ago

Dealing With Back Spasms
Bobby Witt Jr.7 hours ago

Slugs First Homer Of The Season
Alexis Díaz7 hours ago

Alexis Diaz Might Not Return To Closer Role When Activated From Injured List
Austin Gomber7 hours ago

Shut Down From Throwing, Won't Pitch For A Few Weeks
Yoán Moncada8 hours ago

Yoan Moncada Expected To Miss Sunday's Game, Could Return On Tuesday
Matt McLain8 hours ago

Could Miss Sunday's Game Against Milwaukee
George Springer8 hours ago

Exits Saturday's Game Early After Crashing Into Wall
Carson Kelly9 hours ago

Provides Power On Saturday
Matthew Boyd9 hours ago

Throws Six Scoreless Innings
Ronald Acuña Jr.9 hours ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. To Meet With Doctors Soon
Eduardo Rodriguez9 hours ago

Records 12 Strikeouts
Jackson Holliday10 hours ago

Posts Three-Hit Performance
Trent Grisham10 hours ago

Blasts Two Homers
MLB12 hours ago

Red Sox-Cardinals Postponed On Saturday
Matt McLain12 hours ago

Scratched On Saturday
Yoán Moncada12 hours ago

Yoan Moncada Won't Play On Saturday
Luis Rengifo12 hours ago

Playing On Saturday
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
10
11
11
12
19
13
22
14
24
15
25
16
29
17
39
18
40
19
41

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
1
1
2
3
3
7
4
11
6
14
7
15
8
18
9
19
10
20